UFC Fight Night 206: Holly Holm vs Ketlen Vieira four-fight parlay (+550 odds)

An overall, general view of the octagon at UFC Fight Night, Sunday, December 8, 2019, in Washington, D.C.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC · 1 month ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

UFC Fight Night 206 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card will feature a women’s bantamweight fight as the Main Event.

Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this event, with odds of +550. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 206 predictions for the full 11-fight card.

Chidi Njokuani ML (-240) over Dusko Todorovic

Chidi Njokuani comes into this fight with an MMA record of 21-7. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Marc-Andre Barriault by KO/TKO back in February of this year. Njokuani is averaging 3.91 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 72%. He is absorbing 1.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. He has not shown any grappling ability so far in the UFC, but has a takedown defense of 78%.

Njokuani does not have many fights in the UFC, but has dominated both of his opponents so far and has managed to avoid taking a ton of damage. Dusko Todorovic is just 1-2 in his last 3 UFC fights, so backing the power of Njokuani looks to be a solid play.

Jailton Almeida win by finish (-225) over Parker Porter

Jailton Almeida comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-2. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Danilo Marques by KO/TKO back in February of this year. Almeida is averaging 3.28 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. He is absorbing 0.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 12%. His grappling has been elite so far, averaging 7.68 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.5 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 71% and his takedown defense is 50%.

Almeida is easily the biggest favorite on this card, taking his money line out of play. He has won all 15 of his career fights by finish though, while Parker Porter has lost 5 times by finish. For that reason, backing Almeida to win by finish will be the play.

Uros Medic ML (+120) over Omar Morales

Uros Medic comes into this fight with an MMA record of 7-1. He is 2-1 in the UFC, most recently losing Jalin Turner by submission back in September of 2021. Medic is averaging 10.53 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 75%. He is absorbing 3.42 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. He has not shown much grappling ability so far, but has a takedown defense of 66%.

This fight is very even and both guys will be looking for a bounce-back win after losing by submission last time out. Neither guy has much grappling ability, but Medic has much better striking. For that reason, backing Medic will be the lean.

Jonathan Martinez ML (-225) over Vince Morales

Jonathan Martinez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-4. He is 6-3 in the UFC, most recently beating Alejandro Perez by unanimous decision back in February of this year. Martinez is averaging 4.58 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 3.82 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also not very strong, averaging 0.37 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 37% and a takedown defense of 73%.

Martinez has been much more consistent as of recently, winning 4 of his last 6 fights, while Vince Morales is 3-3 over his last 6 fights. Martinez does a better job at limiting the damage against him, so backing him will be the play.

Don’t miss our UFC Fight Night 206 best bets!

Pickswise is the home of free UFC Predictions and UFC Picks. Our expert UFC handicappers bring you the best bets from the top UFC and UFC Fight Night cards.

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