Matthew Lowrimore
UFC
Show Bio
UFC Fight Night 218 takes place on Saturday night at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a heavyweight fight between Derrick Lewis and Serghei Spivac as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 218 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 218 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC Fight Night 218 Main Card best bet
Marcin Tybura ML over Blagoy Ivanov (-135)
Marcin Tybura comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-7. He is 10-6 in the UFC, most recently beating Alexandr Romanov by majority decision in August 2022. Tybura is averaging 3.61 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 3.38 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is solid, averaging 1.42 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 32% and his takedown defense is 79%.
Tybura is a small favorite in this fight, but does look to be the right side based on how balanced he is. He has the better striking and grappling and is 6-1 in his last 7 UFC fights. Blagoy Ivanov, on the other hand, is just 1-2 in his last 3 fights, therefore backing Tybura will be the play.
UFC Fight Night 218 Preliminary Card best bets
Jeka Saragih ML over Anshul Jubli (-105)
Jeka Saragih has an MMA record of 13-2. Saragih is averaging 3.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 1.52 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 2.98 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 100% and he has not been taken down in the UFC.
Saragih looks to be the right side because of his balanced fighting style. He has won 8 times by KO/TKO and 4 times by submission, therefore backing Saragih to win will be the play.
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Hyun-Sung Park ML over SeungGuk Choi (-190)
Hyun-Sung Park comes into this fight with an MMA record of 7-0. He is averaging 4.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 61%. Park is absorbing 4.70 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 4.28 takedowns every 15 minutes and 4.3 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 28% and his takedown defense is 100%.
Park looks to be the best play in this fight, even though he is the clear favorite. He has won his last 6 fights in a row by finish and has the ability to win in multiple ways. For that reason, backing Park to win will be the play.
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Make sure you also read our UFC Fight Night 218 four-fight parlay (+380 odds!)
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