Matthew Lowrimore
UFC
Show Bio
UFC Fight Night 218 takes place on Saturday night at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a heavyweight fight between Derrick Lewis and Serghei Spivac as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite parlay for this card, with odds of +380 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 218 predictions for the 5-fight Main Card.
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Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac – Fight to end by KO/TKO (-250)
Serghei Spivac is a heavy favorite in this fight, likely because he is the more balanced fighter. However, Derrick Lewis can never be counted out due to his immense power. Lewis has seen 28 of his 36 career fights end by KO/TKO, which includes his last 6 UFC fights in a row. Spivac has seen 9 of his 18 career fights end by KO/TKO, which includes his last 3 UFC fights. Because they both can end a fight with a single punch, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be the play.
Da Woon Jung vs Devin Clark – Fight to go the distance – No (-200)
Da Woon Jung is the clear favorite, but while he should be able to win, Devin Clark is an experienced fighter and could have a chance. It should be noted that 3 of the last 4 fights for Clark have ended inside the distance, while 15 of Jung’s 19 career fights have done the same. For that reason, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be the lean.
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Dooho Choi vs Kyle Nelson – Fight to go the distance – No (-200)
Dooho Choi is a large favorite in this fight, but it is hard to back a guy who has not fought in the UFC since 2019 and not won a UFC fight since 2016. Not that Kyle Nelson has done any better, with just 1 win in his 5 UFC fights. What is more likely is that this fight will end by KO/TKO. Choi has 11 wins by this method and 13 of his 18 career fights have also ended by this method. Nelson has seen 3 of his 5 UFC fights end by KO/TKO as well, therefore backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be the play.
Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt – Fight to go the distance – No (-190)
Yusaku Kinoshita is a heavy favorite, and while he looks to be the right side, he still has not fought in an official UFC event. He has, however, seen all 7 of his fights end inside the distance. This includes his only loss, which was by disqualification. Adam Fugitt, on the other hand, has seen 9 of his 11 fights end inside the distance, therefore backing the same here will be the play.
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