UFC on ESPN 44: Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen predictions & four-fight parlay (+506 odds): Quarantillo crushes Barboza

Dec 7, 2019; Washington, DC, USA; Billy Quarantillo (red gloves) after his win over Jacob Kilburn (not pictured) during UFC Fight Night at Capital One Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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UFC on ESPN 44 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. This card features a featherweight fight between Max Holloway and Arnold Allen as the Main Event.

Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +506 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 44 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.

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Billy Quarantillo ML over Edson Barboza (-175)

Billy Quarantillo comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-4. He is 6-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Alexander Hernandez by KO/TKO in December of 2022. Quarantillo is averaging 7.88 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. He is absorbing 5.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling is also good, averaging 1.55 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same time period. Quarantillo has a takedown accuracy of 24% and his takedown defense is 58%.

Quarantillo is a large favorite in this fight, but given his early success in the UFC, this is justified. Edson Barboza has had a ton of success in the UFC, as well, but is just 3-7 in last 10 UFC fights. Quarantillo has the advantage in both striking and grappling, therefore backing him to win will be our play.

Tanner Boser vs Ion Cutelaba – Over 1.5 rounds (-140)

This fight is pretty much evenly matched with Ion Cutelaba as a slight favorite. Both fighters have plenty of finishes in their career, but Tanner Boser has seen his last 5 of fights go over 1.5 rounds. Cutelaba has seen 2 of his last 5 fights go over 1.5 rounds, therefore backing the same here will be the play.

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Chris Gutierrez ML over Pedro Munhoz (-200)

Chris Gutierrez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-3-2. He is 7-1-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Frankie Edgar by KO/TKO in November of 2022. Gutierrez is averaging 4.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. He is absorbing 2.58 strikes and has a striking defense of 64%. His grappling is not as strong, though, averaging 0.44 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Gutierrez’s takedown accuracy is 37% and his takedown defense is 73%.

Gutierrez is a heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. He has 7 wins in his last 8 UFC fights (with 1 draw), while Pedro Munhoz is 1-4 in his last 5 UFC fights. Given the current form of both guys, backing Gutierrez to win will be my play.

Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia – Fight to go the distance – Yes (-200)

Rafa Garcia is the overwhelming favorite in the fight, but Clay Guida can never be counted out due to his veteran presence. Guida has seen 5 of his last 8 fights go the distance, while 7 of Garcia’s last 8 UFC fights have done the same. They both certainly have finishing ability, but backing this fight to go the distance is the way to play it.

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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.

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