Who will win Super Bowl 56? Odds, breakdown and best bets: Ravens ready to reach top of the mountain
Mandatory NFL minicamps are taking place across the league, which means training camp is right around the corner. In other words, so is the 2021 NFL season. It’s exciting to say the least, and we all can’t wait for football to be back.
With the season coming up, there are a plethora of wagers to consider. Futures betting is in full swing, and today we’re taking an early look at some Super Bowl odds.
Let’s break everything down, starting with the odds before we turn our attention to a couple of best bets that have value:
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Kansas City Chiefs +500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +650
Buffalo Bills +1200
Los Angeles Rams +1300
Baltimore Ravens +1400
San Francisco 49ers +1400
Cleveland Browns +1600
Green Bay Packers +1600
Dallas Cowboys +2500
Denver Broncos +2500
Indianapolis Colts +2500
Seattle Seahawks +2500
Unsurprisingly, the Chiefs and Buccaneers — last season’s Super Bowl teams — have easily the lowest odds of any teams. The Rams have risen up the ranks to have the fourth-lowest odds after their splashy offseason trade for former Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford. Can Stafford unleash an offense Jared Goff was holding back and take Sean McVay back to the Super Bowl?
It’s not too often a team goes 5-11 and then has the fifth-lowest odds to win it all the following year, but that’s exactly what we’re seeing with the 49ers. San Francisco suffered a ton of injuries last year, and clearly oddsmakers are forgiving.
Even with the Packers’ uncertainty surrounding Aaron Rodgers, you aren’t going to get too much of a discount on Green Bay to win Super Bowl 56. On a similar note, the Broncos might be so high because of speculation they could trade for Rodgers.
The Cowboys are hoping for a big bounce-back season with a healthy Dak Prescott, while the Seahawks also will have some level of upside with Russell Wilson under center. Now that we’ve digested the odds let’s get to the fun stuff …
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Super Bowl 56 best bets
At these current prices, I’m intrigued by the Chiefs at +500 and Ravens at +1400. Kansas City has won the AFC in back-to-back years, and they would’ve won it in 2018 too if not for a Dee Ford offsides penalty. I don’t see any reason to believe they’ll be worse than last year, and in fact they could be a good amount better.
The Chiefs have completely overhauled their offensive line, ensuring Patrick Mahomes won’t be running for his life like he was in the Super Bowl. Not counting Week 17, when they rested their starters, the Chiefs lost only one regular-season game last year.
The Ravens have disappointed in the playoffs for the past couple of years, which has created some value. Baltimore has been a consistent regular-season winner, and I don’t think the Browns are about to overtake them in the AFC North. Fade the Cleveland hype.
Lamar Jackson was the unanimous MVP a couple of seasons ago for a reason. He’s going to enter 2021 with a big chip on his shoulder thanks to their postseason letdowns, which is a scary thought for the rest of the league. The Ravens, not the Bills, can be the biggest threat to the Chiefs in the AFC.
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Super Bowl 56 longshot best bets
Every NFL season you’ve got to throw on a couple of long-shots to make things interesting. Of the teams whose Super Bowl 56 odds we didn’t list, the Chargers at 33/1 and Vikings at 40/1 are the ones that jump out to me. Los Angeles has had one of the most talented rosters in the league for years now, they just haven’t been able to stay healthy.
With Justin Herbert potentially making a sophomore leap, there’s no reason this team can’t be elite if injuries permit. New head coach Brandon Staley should dramatically improve the defense, and Derwin James will be back after missing all of 2020. The offensive line has been significantly upgraded by the drafting of Rashawn Slater and signing of Matt Feiler.
The Vikings were a big disappointment last year, but after a disastrous 1-5 start they actually played fairly well. Kirk Cousins quietly put up very good numbers. Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson form one of the league’s top receiving duos, and they’ve still got Dalvin Cook in the backfield. The defense was really banged up last year, and should improve under Mike Zimmer’s watchful eye. The secondary was really young, and they’ve now added corners Patrick Peterson, Bashaud Breeland, and Mackensie Alexander in this offseason.