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Falcons vs Saints Predictions, Picks, Odds & Betting Guide
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Falcons vs Saints Predictions, Picks, Odds & Betting Guide

Andrew Wilsher
Andrew WilsherAuthor
UpdatedOct 5, 2026
Reading time4 min

NFL Week 4 wraps up with an all-NFC South clash on Monday Night Football as the Atlanta Falcons pay a visit to the New Orleans Saints. After a horrendous start, the Falcons bounced back last time with an emphatic victory over the Packers on TNF, while the Saints' offense has looked electric this year behind Tyler Shough.

Falcons vs Saints kicks off at 8:15 PM ET live on ESPN, and we've got all the betting angles covered for MNF. You can get our expert NFL picks on the side and total for this matchup, along with every game throughout the entire season. Plus, we have Prop Holliday's best NFL player prop bets and JutPicks' anytime touchdown scorer predictions, along with a Falcons vs Saints Same Game Parlay! Let’s break it all down.

Falcons vs Saints Latest MNF Odds

Odds courtesy of bet365 and available at 9:00 AM ET on Monday, September 28. Find out the latest NFL odds for every Week 4 matchup.

Money Line: Falcons (+105) vs Saints (-125)

Point Spread: Falcons +1.5 (-110) vs Saints -1.5 (-110)

Game Totals: Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-105)

Falcons vs Saints Predictions & Picks

Chris Farley’s Falcons vs Saints spread pick: Falcons +1.5 (-105)

The Falcons rebounded from a tough start to earn a dominant win over the Packers on TNF last week, and now with 11 days off to prepare, they should at least keep things close with the Saints, who are coming off a tough collapse to the Raiders.

Chris Farley’s Eagles vs Bears total prediction: Under 41.5 (-108)

Both of these teams have a ton of upside when it comes to offensive production. Saints head coach Kellen Moore has masterminded a ton of success with QB Tyler Shough under center, and should deliver another big performance. Meanwhile, the Falcons finally showed up with Bijan Robinson running riot against the Packers, and that should be the case again here.

Get pro NFL bettor Chris Farley’s full analysis for his Falcons vs Saints MNF picks tonight - he's on a 4-0 run with his 5-star best bets!

Falcons vs Saints Player Prop Bets

Best Falcons vs Saints player prop bet: Kyle Pitts (CHI) Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

It's scary to see a Kyle Pitts over bet in 2026. I have yet to touch him betting-wise this season, but I'm planting a flag here in Week 4. The Saints have allowed the second-most targets and yards to opposing tight ends through three weeks. In Week 4, my expectation is that Pitts becomes more involved and moves up the pecking order.

Get the full analysis for Prop Holliday's best Falcons vs Saints player prop bets, including another pick at +275 odds!

Falcons vs Saints TD scorer best bet: Drake London (ATL) anytime touchdown scorer (+135)

Nobody was happier to see Michael Penix Jr. line up under center than Drake London on TNF last week. London was peppered with 10 targets and jumped into the top 15 in target share amongst wide receivers. That rank is expected to climb on MNF with a reception line of 6.5.

Lock in Justin Martin's Falcons vs Saints TD scorer best bets - we've nailed recent primetime winners at +400, +280, +220 and +135 odds!

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Same Game Parlay

Falcons ML over Saints (+110)

Atlanta was completely inept when Cooper Rush was running the offense in the first two games, but Michael Penix immediately restored order by winning at Green Bay 35-14 in Week 3. The Washington product completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and one touchdown while playing turnover-free football after the opening drive. That game was on Thursday night, too, so the Falcons are effectively coming off a mini-bye.

Kyle Pitts (ATL) Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

This is a fantastic buy-low spot for Kyle Pitts. Atlanta’s talented tight end has been non-existent so far, making just two receptions on six targets for 20 yards through three weeks. Count on much more production on Monday night. This is a favorable matchup for Pitts. New Orleans has already watched opposing tight ends make 25 catches for 250 yards and two touchdowns.

Chris Olave (NO) Over 7.5 Receptions (+123)

The Saints are without RB1 Travis Etienne (on injured reserve with a hamstring problem) and Alvin Kamara is well past his prime. Moreover, the Falcons are #1 in the NFL in run defense by a country mile – allowing just 47.7 yards per game. It’s safe to assume that New Orleans’ offense will be extremely one-dimensional in this matchup. That means Olave could see a ton – and I mean a ton – of balls come his way from Tyler Shough.

Falcons vs Saints SGP odds: +650

After cashing a +750 SGP on TNF, don't miss our expert's Falcons vs Saints Same Game Parlay for MNF

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