Jaguars vs Ravens Player Props: Best Bets and Predictions
Week 9 brings us officially halfway through the NFL season, and we get our first primetime look at the Jacksonville Jaguars (outside of London). When the schedule-makers chose this game for Thursday Night Football, they had high hopes of a Lamar Jackson vs Trevor Lawrence showdown between two teams vying for the top seed in the AFC. Instead, we will see the Baltimore Ravens trot out QB Joe Fagnano to face off against one of the best rush defenses in the NFL. Fagnano was thrust into the starting role as an undrafted free agent in Week 8 against the Buffalo Bills after Lamar Jackson injured his right thumb the first play into the game, followed by Tyler Huntley departing with a toe injury. He finished 10/21 for 91 yards and an interception. Let's get into my best Jaguars vs Ravens player prop bets for TNF, while you can also get our expert NFL picks for all the Week 9 matchups and every game throughout the 2026 NFL season.
Best Jaguars vs Ravens Player Prop Bet: Justice Hill (BAL) Over 30.5 Rush+Receiving Yards (-113)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. 1u
Justice Hill has been a moneymaker for me in this market, as the books are unsure how to properly gauge his workload and the rotation of quarterbacks in Baltimore makes him hard to pin down. He's been involved in over 46% of the snaps in five of the eight games this season and has been over 5+ combined touches in five of eight games.
Hill's value is primarily in the passing game, and a negative game script will aid in that, but Hill has also seen 4+ carries in five of eight games. This TNF matchup lends itself to blowout potential, which would see Baltimore abandoning the run, but Hill had a 47-yard run on third-and-long in Week 5 against the Falcons, and for the season he's averaged 13.8 yards per carry on third down alone (six carries for 83 yards).
As a whole, Hill has had 13 touches for 126 yards on third down when including his receiving totals. This is a spot I expect Fagnano to be in very frequently on Thursday night.
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Jaguars vs Ravens Player Prop Pick: Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. 1u
Trevor Lawrence is over this line in five of seven games this season. He's having an MVP-worthy year with 17 touchdowns to only four interceptions, and the Jaguars hold a 5-2 record, sitting atop the AFC South. The Ravens have been defensively sound against opposing QBs for a majority of the season, but they've faltered when finally playing elite-level quarterback play.
Baltimore had not allowed 2+ passing touchdowns to a quarterback until Week 7, when they met Joe Burrow... who had four passing touchdowns. That was followed by Josh Allen last week, who had two passing touchdowns. I put Trevor Lawrence (this season) in that elite level of quarterback play, and I think we're getting a beatable number at 1.5.
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