Rams vs. Broncos Same Game Parlay: Best SGP Picks
Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season continues with Sunday Night Football between the Los Angeles Rams and Denver Broncos at Empower Field in Denver. Both teams are 1-1, so this a pretty crucial early-season contest. After all, no team with realistic Super Bowl aspirations wants to be under .500 after three weeks.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 8:15 pm ET on ESPN. Also be sure to check out our full Rams vs Broncos predictions.
Broncos ML (+110)
Under 44.5 (-118)
Kyren Williams Over 52.5 rushing yards (-112)
Parlay odds: +1000
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the entire plan here, as Los Angeles running back Kyren Williams racking up plenty of yards seemingly goes against Denver ML at the Under. However, there is no reason why those legs can’t cash even if Williams has a decent noght at the office delivering a big performance would obviously work well with a convincing win for his team. Let’s break down each of the three legs.
Broncos ML (+110)
It’s hard to get a read on the Rams right now. They have played one terrible game, but that was in Australia and their preparation for it was – in hindsight – terrible. They have played one great game, but that was against an opponent that lost its starting quarterback on the first drive. What we do know about head coach Sean McVay’s outfit is that it will be undermanned this weekend. Star defensive end Myles Garrett is on injured reserve due to a knee injury. Elsewhere on defense, safety Kam Kinchens (hamstring) is doubtful. On the other side of the ball, wide receiver Puka Nacua missed last week’s victory over the Giants and is listed as doubtful. The Broncos bounced back from an opening loss to the Chiefs by beating a solid Jaguars squad 20-13 last weekend. Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 home games, and its only such loss during this stretch is the AFC Championship against New England when it was without starting QB Bo Nix. The value is on the underdogs in this spot.
Under 44.5 (-118)
Each of the Rams’ first two games produced just 34 points. Their offense was effective against the Giants, but the Broncos’ defense presents a much tougher test. New York does not have a shutdown cornerback, so WR2 Davante Adams went crazy with Nacua sidelined. In this case, Denver CB Pat Surtain II can put the clamps down on Adams – assuming that Nacua is once again unable to play. Head coach Sean Payton’s defense ranked #2 in yards per pass attempt allowed last season, #2 against the run, #2 overall, #3 in scoring and #1 in sacks. The Broncos struggled to contain the Chiefs in Week 1, but Patrick Mahomes and company are already evoking memories of the not-too-distant glory days in Kansas City. Denver’s defense improved dramatically against Jacksonville, allowing just 13 points, 268 total yards and 4.9 yards per play. I don’t think either offense will make a whole bunch of headway on Sunday night.
Kyren Williams Over 52.5 rushing yards (-112)
Early returns in 2026 suggest that the way to go about solving Denver’s defense is on the ground. The Broncos rank eighth in the NFL against the pass and 29th against the run. They are surrendering 157.5 rushing yards per game on a bloated 5.1 yards per carry. With Nacua doubtful and tight end Colby Parkinson (knee) questionable, Los Angeles has even more reason to feature the running game in this matchup. Williams splits carries with Blake Corum, but there should be more than enough opportunities to go around for both guys. After pretty much everyone on the Rams was stymied Down Under by the 49ers, Williams rebounded with 85 rushing yards on 12 carries against the Giants. The Notre Dame product has exceeded this 52.5 quota in a whopping 34 of his last 38 games.
