Commanders vs Giants Predictions, Picks, Odds & Betting Guide
The second half of the 2026 NFL season officially gets started tonight as Week 10 kicks off with an NFC East clash between the Washington Commanders and New York Giants on Thursday Night Football. These teams played out an embarrassing overtime that resulted in a tie just a few weeks ago, where both teams squandered positions that almost made it harder to lose than win. Now they each look for redemption on the primetime stage. New York is rolling at the top of the division at 5-2-1, while Washington desperately needs a win to remain in any sort of contention.
Commanders vs Giants kicks off at 8:15 PM ET live on Amazon Prime Video, and we've got you covered with all our top NFL predictions across multiple betting markets. You can lock in our expert NFL picks on the side and total from pro NFL bettor Chris Farley, while, props pro Bobby Stanley has his best Commanders vs Giants player prop bets, targeting Malik Nabers and Jayden Daniels. Justin Martin has his Commanders vs Giants anytime touchdown scorer predictions as he looks to build on primetime winners at +400, +330, +280 and +250 odds. You can also get Ricky Dimon's Commanders vs Giants Same Game Parlay at +650 odds. Let’s go.
Commanders vs Giants Latest Odds
Odds courtesy of bet365 and available at 9:00 AM ET on Thursday, November 12. Find out the latest NFL odds for every Week 10 matchup.
Money Line: Commanders (+116) vs Giants (-136)
Point Spread: Commanders +2.5 (-111) vs Giants -2.5 (-109)
Game Totals: Over 40.5 (-118), Under 40.5 (-102)
Commanders vs Giants Expert Predictions & Picks
Chris Farley’s Commanders vs Giants Spread Pick: Giants -2.5 (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
These teams contested a tie in embarrassing circumstances a few weeks ago, but this time it's the Giants who should come out on top. New York's defense has been a force while the offense has been serviceable with JJ McCarthy under center. They should edge past the Commanders at home.
Chris Farley’s Commanders vs Giants Total Prediction: Under 40.5 (-102)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
I frankly have no idea where points are coming from in this game. Both offenses qualify as bottom-three in explosive plays, each defense is formidable, and each play-caller prefers to lean on the run game. This is 3-4 points too high.
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Commanders vs Giants Player Prop Bets
Best Commanders vs Giants Player Prop Bet: Malik Nabers (NYG) Over 5.5 Receptions (-125)
Odds available at Fanatics Sportsbook at time of publishing.
I'm leaning on tried-and-true WR Malik Nabers to be a big factor in primetime. He's over this line in five of eight games this season, including 20 targets for 11 receptions in the OT tie with the Commanders in Week 5. After seeing Puka Nacua go for 19 targets and 14 receptions against this same Commanders defense, I'm expecting a similar workload for Nabers.
Don't miss out on Bobby Stanley's best Commanders vs Giants player prop bets for tonight, featuring another play on Jayden Daniels. You can also find out Justin Martin's Commanders vs Giants touchdown scorer best bets, including a longshot at +420 odds!
Commanders vs Giants TD Scorer Best Bet: Malik Nabers (NYG) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)
Odds available at Fanatics Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Malik Nabers had his worst week last Sunday since Week 3. He totaled just 43 yards, ending his four-game streak of 100+. For what it's worth, Nabers dropped a long touchdown pass last Sunday. Nabers could look to put on a show against a Commanders team he had 121 yards and a touchdown against in a Week 5 tie.
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Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Same Game Parlay
Giants -5.5 over Commanders (+140)
The first meeting between these division rivals resulted in an infamous and, quite simply, disastrous tie. New York fumbled in field-goal range when it could have won the game in overtime, after which Washington let the clock run out when it also found itself in chip-shot range for a game-winning field goal. It has to be said that the whole situation was far more embarrassing for the Commanders, so they might have trouble getting it out of their minds in the rematch. They also have to go on the road after having home-field advantage for the first encounter. Head coach Dan Quinn’s crew is 0-3 on the road this season compared to a respectable 2-2-1 in the nation’s capital. New York is a solid 3-1 at MetLife Stadium.
Due to both injuries of his own a a depleted receiver corps, Jayden Daniels has taken a step back since his breakout rookie campaign. Washington’s defense is fine, but the offense simply is not generating enough points. The Giants, on the other hand, are trending in a positive direction on both sides of the ball. Running back Cam Skattebo is projected to return after missing last week’s 19-11 win over Philadelphia due to hamstring issue. Quarterback J.J. McCarthy (hip) was also a full participant in practice on Tuesday and should be good to go for this one. Defensively, the G-Men rank #9 league wide in opponents’ yards per play (5.0) and second overall in opponent yards per pass (6.0). Linebacker Arvell Reese, who leads NYG in solo tackles (49), earned NFC Defensive Player of the Week honors with three sacks, 10 solo tackles and three tackles for loss. Give me the home team to prevail by at least a touchdown on Thursday night.
Malik Nabers (NYG) Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Nabers has been stellar this season, with 53 receptions on 78 targets for 648 yards and two touchdowns. He had an especially huge day against the Commanders last month, getting a ridiculous 20 targets and hauling in 11 of those for 121 yards and a score. Rams receiver Puka Nacua had 14 catches on 19 targets, 150 yards and one TD last weekend against this same Washington defense. It would be no surprise if Nabers goes crazy in Thursday’s matchup.
Malik Nabers (NYG) to Score a Touchdown (+160)
The LSU product has found the endzone only twice so far in 2026, but the encouraging sign is that one of those has come against the Commanders and both have come in the last five games. Washington has given up the fourth-most passing touchdowns in the NFL (16). Nabers has scored in two of four appearances against the Commanders in his young professional career, so getting him this far into plus money to add another TD to his total has outstanding value.
Commanders vs Giants SGP odds: +650
After primetime SGP winners this season at +750, +700 and +650, read Ricky Dimon's full analysis for his Commanders vs Giants Same Game Parlay for TNF
NFL Week 10 Picks
Check out our expert NFL predictions for EVERY Week 10 matchups below:
- Commanders vs Giants TNF predictions
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