Parlays

Friday's MLB parlay
Today
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
ATL Braves @ PHI Phillies · Money Line
ATL Braves Win
Our Analysis

The Atlanta Braves will look to stay red-hot as they hit the road to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. Atlanta has been one of the best offensive teams in baseball this season, batting .276 and averaging 5.6 runs per game. As for the Phillies, they have struggled at the plate, hitting just .229 while averaging 4 runs per game. Taking the mound for the Braves will be the left-hander, Martin Perez, who enters with a 0-1 record and a 3.14 ERa through 3 starts this season. Taijuan Walker will take the mound for the Phillies as he tries to slow down this red-hot Braves offense to keep his team in it. On the season, Walker has struggled, going 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA. 

Atlanta holds the clear advantage offensively and also has the more reliable pitching situation in this matchup. If Walker runs into trouble early, it could spell more trouble for a Phillies bullpen that owns a 4.66 ERA on the season. Walker has yet to pitch beyond 5 innings in any starts this season, which only increases the likelihood that bullpen becomes a factor. While Perez hasn’t gone deep into games either, the Braves bullpen has been far more dependable, posting a 3.06 ERA. The Phillies are just 5-7 at home and have struggled against left-handed pitching, hitting only .178 this season – another key advantage for the Braves. At the end of the day, I don’t think the Phillies have what it takes to keep this game close. Look for the Braves to win big, making them my best bet of the day. 

Braves vs Phillies best bet: Atlanta Braves ML (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -125.

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Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
MIL Brewers @ MIA Marlins · Money Line
MIL Brewers Win
Our Analysis

Both the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins have struggled heading into this 3-game series. The Brewers have lost 6 of their last 10, averaging 3.9 runs per game while supporting a 4.65 ERA. For the Marlins, they’ve lost 7 of their last 10, averaging the same 3.9 runs per game while holding a 4.19 team ERA. As the Brewers look to get back on track, they’ll be handing the ball over to the rookie Robert Gasser, who will be making his first start of the season. In spring training, Gasser allowed 14 hits, giving up 7 runs and striking out 14 in 12.1 innings pitched. For the Marlins, Janson Junk will be looking for his first win of the season, entering with a 0-2 record and a 4.32 ERA through 3 starts. 

Despite their recent struggles, the Brewers still hold a 10-8 record and have shown signs of improvement on the mound, allowing just 2 earned runs over their last 2 games against Toronto. While the offense hasn’t been firing on all cylinders, this is still a dangerous lineup, as William Contreras (.317), Christian Yelich (.314) and Brice Turand (.300) offer plenty of production to challenge Junk in this matchup. The Marlins are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season compared to the Brewers 5.1, and they hold a slight edge in the bullpen with a 3.30 ERA versus the Brewers’ 4.00. Still, the overall lineup advantage sits with the Brewers.

While there’s a question mark around Gasser and how he’ll perform in his first major league start this season, Milwaukee has what it takes to get to Junk early and pick up a convincing win.

Brewers vs Marlins prediction: Milwaukee Brewers ML (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number.

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Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
LA Dodgers @ COL Rockies · Run Line
LA Dodgers -1.5
Our Analysis

The red-hot Los Angeles Dodgers will travel to the Mile High City to take on the Colorado Rockies on Friday night. The Dodgers come into this game riding a 3-game win streak and have won 8 of their last 10 games. Tyler Glasnow is projected to get the start for the Dodgers, and he has been solid in his first 3 outings with a 4.00 ERA across 18.0 innings pitched, having struck out no fewer than 6 batters in each of them.

The Dodgers are leading the MLB in runs scored per game, averaging 5.8 per game. In fact, they are leading all major offensive stat categories, and I expect this to continue at Coors Field. Much of the Dodgers lineup has not faced the Rockies starter Tomoyuki Sogano, but look out for Shohei Ohtani who is 2/2 against the right hander with 2 home runs.

Outside of 1 or 2 bats in their lineup, the Rockies do not have much offensive power. Going up against Glasnow does not make things any easier. I think the Dodgers will continue their good play and take the win by margin. Give me the Dodgers in this one.

Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction: LA Dodgers -1.5 (-185) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns
Warriors vs Suns Same Game Parlay
SGP
Game Totals
Over 219.5
Player Assists
D. Green (GS) - Over 6.5 assists
Player Rebounds
B. Podziemski (GS) - Under 6.5 rebs

Warriors vs Suns parlay pick: Over 219.5 (-110)

After dropping 35 on the Clippers, Stephen Curry is officially back in the fold and looking at his best. As such, expect this Warriors offense to hit its stride. He has faced off against this Suns team 3 times this season already, helping the Warriors score at least 118 in 2 of those contests. The hosts will have all of their offensive weapons available to them, too. Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Jalen Green are all more than capable of going off for a 30-piece. Against a Warriors team that finished 23rd in defensive rating over the last 10 regular-season games, they should get every opportunity. These sides also finished the season in the top 5 in 3-pointers made per game, so expect fireworks from beyond the arc.

Warriors vs Suns parlay pick: Draymond Green over 6.5 assists (-110)

With his running partner in Curry back in full swing, assists should be easier for Draymond Green to come by. He managed 9 in his last game against the Clippers and should be equally adept at sharing the ball here. Over his last 9 games, he has increased his assist numbers, averaging 6.9 per contest. Green tends to take on a larger playmaking role in important games, too. Just once in his career has he averaged more than 8 assists over a regular season. However, the forward has averaged more than 9 across 5 different postseasons. In a win-or-go-home game, I expect Green to be trusted to pull the strings of the offense.

Warriors vs Suns SGP pick: Brandin Podziemski under 6.5 rebounds (-135)

Warriors guard Brandin Podziemski managed to pull down 7 rebounds in his last outing against the Clippers, but I expect him to have trouble replicating that here — as that was the first game in 9 contests in which he was able to secure 7+ boards. The Suns have not been a favorable opponent for him in this category, either. Over 4 contests this season, he averaged just 2.5 per game against them, failing to surpass 3 in any of them. The Warriors will likely have their main bigs in Kristaps Porzingis and Al Horford available to lead their rebounding charge, so they will need less from Podziemski on that front.

Free Picks and Parlays

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Free Parlay Picks, Strategies, Guides, and Must-knows

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