Parlays

Wednesday's college basketball parlay
Yesterday
Butler Bulldogs - NCAAB
Georgetown Hoyas - NCAAB
Butler @ Georgetown · Point Spread
Georgetown -6.5
Our Analysis

This number is less about how good Georgetown is and more about where Butler is right now. The Bulldogs aren’t just losing; they’re unraveling. When teams hit a true late-season skid, the biggest issue isn’t talent — it’s game flow. Defensive possessions get shorter, offensive patience disappears and small deficits snowball because the group no longer trusts the next stop or the next shot.

That’s the danger against Georgetown at home. The Bulldogs already are 1-7 SU on the road this season and the Hoyas play at a higher level in D.C. Even more concerning, the Hoyas don’t need explosive offense to cover this number — they just need structure. Georgetown has been just fine in holding up, particularly against Butler. These 2 sides last met in January, when the Hoyas controlled the Dogs on both sides of the court in a 77-64 win. Now with home court on their side, all they have to do is rinse, wash and repeat. If Butler falls behind early, their recent profile suggests extended drought risk. Right now, Butler is fragile. At home, Georgetown is positioned to expose that. Let’s lay the points.

Butler vs Georgetown prediction: Georgetown -6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -7.

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Arkansas Razorbacks
Alabama Crimson Tide
Arkansas @ Alabama · Point Spread
Arkansas +4.5
Our Analysis

Winners of 3 straight and 7 of their last 10, the Arkansas Razorbacks will hit the road for Tuscaloosa on Wednesday night to play the Alabama Crimson Tide for the only time during the regular season. Arkansas’ most recent win came at home against Alabama’s arch rival, in what was an excellent offensive showing from the Hogs against Auburn. They scored 1.32 points per possession on 67.5% shooting from the interior, while the Tigers struggled to find offensive consistency without Keyshawn Hall. 

Like Arkansas, Alabama finds itself in the midst of a nice winning streak and has prevailed in 7 of the last 10 games. The offense has come alive since the 100-77 loss to Florida, as the Tide have scored 89 or more in 4 straight and have made at least 12 threes – as many as 17 – in each of those games. It will be interesting to see if that holds up against an Arkansas defense that is 3rd in the SEC in three-point rate allowed and while limiting conference opponents to 31.3% on those attempts. In fact, over their last 5 games, the Razorbacks are in the 87th percentile or better nationally in three-point rate allowed, three-point percentage allowed and three-point assist rate – which means this Arkansas squad matches up nicely against the perimeter-oriented Alabama offense. We saw it a bit last year, when Coach Cal’s Razorbacks held Alabama to 5-of-19 from 3, albeit that game being in Fayetteville rather than Tuscaloosa with completely different teams. However, the overall structures of these systems remain the same. 

This Arkansas defense has traveled well this season, sitting 31st nationally in adjusted efficiency in road games per Bart Torvik, as well as 24th in opposing 3-point percentage and sixth in block rate. In conference road games, the Razorbacks lead the SEC in forced turnover rate and opposing free-throw rate, which should give them a chance to win the shot volume battle against Alabama. In their 6 conference road games, they are 4-2 ATS. Zooming out a bit, they are 17-8 ATS this season and have covered in 8 of their 12 games since the new year. Meanwhile, Alabama is 11-14 ATS this season and 2-4 ATS at home since January 1. 

Arkansas vs Alabama prediction: Arkansas +4.5 (-112) available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.

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DePaul Blue Demons - NCAAB
Seton Hall Pirates
DePaul @ Seton Hall · Point Spread
Seton Hall -8.5
Our Analysis

The DePaul Blue Demons will travel to Newark on Wednesday night to play a Big East Conference game against the Seton Hall Pirates. Neither team is a projected tournament team, but Seton Hall still has a chance to make the Big Dance if it can finish the season strong. DePaul is better than it has been in recent years, but it still will be in for a big challenge in this matchup. Seton Hall is currently a -8.5 favorite, and I like it to cover.

The Pirates’ defense is among the best in the country and they should be able to turn over DePaul at a high rate. According to KenPom, Seton Hall’s defense is ranked #7 in turnover percentage; DePaul’s offense is ranked #246. The Blue Demons average 12.1 turnovers a game and will likely struggle to take care of the ball on Wednesday. I believe that the Pirates’ defense will be the difference in this matchup. Let’s roll with Seton Hall.

DePaul vs Seton Hall prediction: Seton Hall -8.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -10.

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Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks
Pistons vs Knicks Same Game Parlay
SGP
Money Line
NY Knicks Win
Player Rebounds
M. Robinson (NY) - 8+ rebs

Pistons vs Knicks SGP pick: New York Knicks ML over Detroit Pistons (-180)

This first game after the break will be an interesting test for the Pistons, who will be without their leading rebounder Jalen Duren (suspended after the brawl in the win over Charlotte). Detroit enters Madison Square Garden with high expectations, as it has beaten the Knicks by 31 and 38 points in the 2 meetings so far this year. The pair of 30+ point losses certainly sting if you’re a Knicks supporter, and this is the final opportunity for Jalen Brunson and company to get something in this matchup prior to the playoffs. No Duren down low certainly helps, KAT and Mitchell Robinson got plenty of time to rest ahead of this game — so the Knicks should have the edge in that area.

That plus playing at home will be their calling cards in this game, as the Knicks failed to cover only once in the last 6 games at MSG. You could argue they are also the more in form team with 10 wins in 12 outings and a 10-2 ATS record during this stretch. It might sound counterintuitive to have the Knicks favored following 2 bad outcomes in games earlier this season against the Pistons, but the combination of Duren being out and the revenge factor makes the Knicks an intriguing bet. Coming out the break, it might take both sides to get accustomed to playing at a high level on a regular basis, I have slightly more faith in the Knicks — who will be playing in familiar surroundings.

Pistons vs Knicks SGP pick: Mitchell Robinson to record 8+ rebounds (+102)

Considering the absence of Duren, this bet has the potential be a home run. At +102 odds, we get the Knicks’ leading rebounder to go over 7.5 boards — which is something he has done in 63% of games played this season (25 of 40). That number has stayed consistent for the most part this year, especially at home — where he has cleared the line 14 times in 22 games (64%).

Detroit ranks 10th in rebounds allowed to centers this season. With Duren missing in the middle, they will certainly have a tougher time keeping opposing rebounders off the glass. New York suffered greatly in the rebounding department in the first 2 meetings this season, losing that battle by 14 and 9 in the 2 blowout losses — so it goes without saying that they need to reverse that trend in order to get the win at home on Thursday. Robinson has delivered double-digit boards in 2 of the last 4 meetings; the last time he played the Pistons at MSG, he finished with 11.

Pistons vs Knicks SGP pick: Cade Cunningham 2+ made threes (-164)

Cade Cunningham represented the Pistons in LA over the weekend, but he didn’t exert too much energy so he should be well rested for this game. He has been on a mission this season, leading the Pistons to one of their best starts to a season in franchise history. His individual numbers also off the charts — especially in meetings against the Knicks. The 3-ball is at 36.4% over his past 10 games, while against New York that number is at an astonishing 57.1% in 2 H2H encounters this season.

Cunningham’s combination of size and strength, together with a quick first step, are too lethal for any defender the Knicks throw at him. He is a matchup nightmare on most nights due to his frame; this has allowed him to clear this line in almost 60% of games played this season (28 of 47). When adversity hits, Cunningham tends to step up. On the road, he has appeared in 24 games this season and has knocked down a pair of threes 15 times. The Knicks rank 9th in threes allowed to opposing point guards this season and also 10th in threes allowed overall as a team.

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