Parlays

Villanova will look to move to 5-1 in conference play as they head to Amica Mutual Pavilion to take on Providence. The Wildcats’ game plan is clear: take advantage of a vulnerable Friars perimeter defense and capitalize from beyond the arc. Villanova loves shooting the three, and that could spell trouble for Providence on Tuesday. The Wildcats rank third in the Big East in three-point shooting (36.1%), and Providence ranks last in opponents’ three-point field goal percentage (37.9%). Recent opponents have taken advantage of a weak Providence defense – Xavier went 12-30 (40%) from beyond the arc against Providence, and UConn went 18-32 (56.2%), and Villanova will look to do the same. 

Defensively, Villanova holds a significant advantage, limiting opponents to 67.8 points per game compared to Providence’s 84.9. While the Wildcats aren’t as strong offensively, averaging 78 points per game compared to the Friars’ 89.1, the matchup sets up well for them. Villanova is shooting 46.8% from the floor this season, and they have plenty of depth to keep things moving offensively. Bryce Lindsay leads his team with 15.6 points per game – and despite scoring just 9 and 4 points in his last two starts, I expect the sophomore to get back on track in this matchup. The Friars’ offense is very talented, but the Wildcats’ defense will look to contain Jason Edwards, and in doing so, the Wildcats will secure another conference win.

Villanova vs Providence prediction: Villanova -2.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Virginia Cavaliers will travel to the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville to take on the Cardinals in an ACC showdown on Tuesday. The Cavaliers are 14-2 overall and 3-1 in conference while in the midst of a 3-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 12-4 overall and 2-2 in conference, having lost 2 of their last 3. This will be their 3rd straight game at home, which is typically a spot I like to play on, but Louisville could be without 2 of its best guards in Mikel Brown Jr. and Ryan Conwell on Tuesday. 

Isaac McKneely will be called upon to lead the Louisville offense against his former team, but I don’t see it being enough if the Cards are going to be without both Brown and Conwell. Even if they are without just 1 of those 2 guards, it’s going to be a challenge to score consistently against this Virginia defense – a unit that is 4th nationally in effective field goal percentage and 22nd in KenPom’s adjusted defensive field goal percentage. For what it’s worth, the Cavaliers are #1 in the ACC in both of those metrics so far, and they have outperformed defensive expectations in 5 straight outings according to Haslametrics. 

Virginia hasn’t found much consistency from the perimeter in conference play, but the Cavaliers have a handful of shooters that connect on at least 37% of their three-point shots.They’ve shown their offensive upside away from home in games against Texas, Dayton and NC State, and I expect that upside to show against a Louisville defense that has underperformed against most of its top offensive opponents. Give me Virginia.

Virginia vs Louisville best bet: Virginia Cavaliers +3.5 (-110) widely available at the time of publishing. Playable to +1.5. 

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UConn enters this Big East matchup playing at an elite level, sitting at 16-1 overall and 6-0 in conference play, backed by one of the most efficient profiles in the country. The Huskies average over 80 points per game while allowing around 63, ranking near the top of the Big East in assist rate (18+ per game) and defensive efficiency. Offensively, UConn spreads production across the lineup, with Solo Ball (≈15 PPG) and Alex Karaban (≈14 PPG) leading a balanced attack that thrives on ball movement and spacing. Inside, the Huskies continue to control the paint and the glass, limiting second chance opportunities and forcing opponents into tough half court possessions. While UConn has consistently built leads, they have shown a tendency to slow tempo once ahead, often prioritizing clock control over margin, which can keep games closer than expected late.

Seton Hall has quietly emerged as one of the Big East’s most physical and disciplined teams, entering the matchup at 14-2 overall and 4-1 in conference play. The Pirates are built on defense, allowing under 63 points per game, and excel at turning games into “grind it out” battles. Offensively, Seton Hall relies on balance rather than volume scoring, with A.J. Staton-McCray and Tajuan Simpkins each contributing double figures while valuing possessions and limiting turnovers. At home, Seton Hall’s defensive intensity and rebounding presence tend to rise, helping them stay competitive even against top tier opponents. With the Pirates capable of shortening the game, controlling pace, and forcing UConn into longer possessions, this matchup profiles as a tighter Big East battle than the spread suggests.

UConn vs Seton Hall Prediction: Seton Hall +6.0 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +5

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Fresh off their convincing 19-point win over Washington, the Phoenix Suns head to Miami in hopes of winning their 4th game in a row. It’s been a remarkable turnaround for this franchise, so remarkable that they find themselves ahead of the Rockets in the standings despite trading away their best player to that team in the offseason. Phoenix has been a goldmine when it comes to covering the spread. They have the NBA’s best ATS record at 28-11, equaling to a success rate of almost 72%. Apart from Jalen Green being out, they are basically at full strength going into Tuesday’s game vs the Heat.

Miami too has been a solid bet against the spread, covering in 22 of 39 games. However, their recent form hasn’t been all that good with just 1 win in 5 games, including 3 consecutive losses by an average of more than 20 points per loss. All 3 of those were on the road, Tuesday sees them return to South Beach where they are 13-6 SU for the season. The offense has just gone ice-cold, in the loss to Indiana they knocked down just 4 threes. It’s not often you’ll see this team finish under 100 points, this has happened twice in their last 3 games.

Phoenix has been a very reliable bet this season, I feel like they have the offensive firepower to hang with the Heat in this game. It’s pretty much a toss up game in my opinion, but I have slightly more faith in the team that’s won 3 in a row as opposed to the one that just got blown out by Indiana and Minnesota this past week. Take Phoenix outright.

Suns vs Heat prediction: Suns ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Denver Nuggets have been dealing with a number of injuries to their starters. Jamal Murray is listed as questionable to play and Aaron Gordon is probable. But outside of this, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun and Jonas Valanciunas are all unavailable. That should give the New Orleans Pelicans a great chance to pick up a win at home.  They have already won 6 games at their home floor and will look to improve on that against a shorthanded opponent. The hosts will be without Herbert Jones and Jose Alvarado tonight, but with Saddiq Bey listed as questionable, they could get a boost to their wing rotation.

The Nuggets are extremely short of depth at center, not something you want to be when going up against rookie sensation Derik Queen. Zion Williamson has been in great form too, averaging over 22 points per game on 64% shooting from the field this month. With no size in the paint, the Nuggets should have major difficulties slowing down the Pelicans frontcourt. Over the last 10 games the visitors are also down in 24th in opponent 3-point percentage. Against a team with marksmen like Trey Murphy III and Jordan Poole, the hosts offense should thrive here. They should have too much firepower for a team as shorthanded as the Nuggets.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction: Pelicans ML (+115) available at time of publishing. 

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Victor Wembanyama and his San Antonio Spurs look to deliver yet another knock-out punch to the defending champs Oklahoma City Thunder as these teams meet up for the 4th time this regular season. San Antonio is up 3-0, winning the last 2 meetings by double-digits. The most notable win was in the NBA Cup semis though, ever since that game the dominance of the Thunder has waned a bit. On the other hand, San Antonio has remained very stable and still holds the 2nd seed in the Western Conference with a really solid outlook on the remainder of the season.

No Isaiah Hartenstein in this game for the Thunder, a big blow potentially going up against the 7-foot-5 (?) alien Victor Wembanyama. Even with Hartenstein the Thunder have struggled to keep teams off the glass this season, ranking only 21st in opponent rebounds per game allowing 54.6. Over their 3 most recent games that number is up to 62.3 per game, I can already picture the alarm bells going off in the pre-game meeting, highlighting just how important winning the rebounding battle will be here. Apart from that issue, I don’t think there’s anything else that needs to be highlighted here. OKC has failed to cover in 5 consecutive games, but they are still a remarkable 17-3 SU in 20 home games.

The Spurs have had the Thunders’ number this season in all 3 meetings and I’m continue to backing them until that changes. They’re once again heavy underdogs according to the bookmakers, even a 7-point win for OKC and this bet cashes. Back the Spurs on Tuesday.

Spurs vs Thunder prediction: Spurs +7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Detroit Red Wings will travel to TD Garden to take on the Boston Bruins. The Red Wings are coming off an overtime win over the Carolina Hurricanes last night. The Red Wings currently rank 2nd in the Eastern Conference and have won 4 of their last 5 games overall. The Bruins have also won 4 of their last 5 games, though they have had very different results in their last 2 games. In the most recent game, they beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 1-0. In the game prior to that the Bruins beat the Rangers 10-2. With both teams in fantastic form, it should be a very good game.

Looking at the statistics, both teams are averaging over 3 goals per game while giving up more than 3 goals per game. Over the past 5 games, the Bruins have scored 22 goals while giving up 12. For the Red Wings, they have scored 19 while giving up 11. As we can see, these teams are playing very similar hockey right now. The biggest difference between them is that the Bruins lead the NHL in opponent penalty minutes. This is a major disadvantage as the Red Wings rank toward the bottom of the league in penalties. The Red Wings also score on 24.7% of their powerplays and average 28.4 shots per game. Overall, this should be a tight game but I trust the offense of the Red Wings more than the Bruins. I am taking the Red Wings on the money line.

Red Wings vs. Bruins Prediction: Red Wings ML (+110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The New York Islanders will take on the Winnipeg Jets Tuesday. The Jets come into this one winning 2 in a row, which is wild considering the Jets were riding an 11-game losing streak prior to that. This shows the improvements the Jets have been making and it has shown in their offense as they have scored 17 goals in the last 5 games. While the Jets have been impressive, the Islanders come into this one winning 3 of their last 4 games while scoring 18 goals in that span. Both teams are scoring great but rank in the bottom half of the NHL in scoring on the season.

The issues for the Jets is partly due to the lack of shot opportunities they have. On the season, they rank 26th in total shots while the Islanders rank 16th. The other concern is that they give up 3.11 goals per game. This could be problematic against an Islanders team that is scoring well right now and has significantly better goaltender play. On the season, the Islanders rank 3rd with a .906 save percentage and have an 81.7% penalty kill percentage. The Islanders also have 6 shutouts this season compared to the Jets with none. Overall, both teams are in good form but the Islanders defense has been better on the season and that should be the deciding factor. I am taking the Islanders on the money line.

Islanders vs. Jets Prediction: Islanders ML (+115) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Dallas Stars let us down in Los Angeles on Monday night. Well, the Stars did their part, scoring four goals, but the defense and goaltending was just a little too good, allowing a single goal. However, the Stars hit the expressway to Anaheim with no rest, taking on the Ducks. When these teams have met lately, it’s fire-wagon hockey, with goals coming early and often. The first meeting in Dallas on Nov. 6 in Dallas resulted in a 7-5 win by Anaheim, while the Stars returned the favor with an 8-3 rout in their recent visit to The Pond on Dec. 19. The Over has cashed in 3 straight meetings, too, while the Over is 5-2 in the past 7 encounters.

Dallas has scored 3 or more goals in 6 straight meetings, and 12 of the past 13 outings. The Over is 4-2 in the past 6 games despite Monday’s Under result in Los Angeles, while going 8-3-1 in the past 12 outings. The Stars have allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of the past 9 games, too. The Over has cashed in 2 of the past 3 games when playing on no rest, too. For Anaheim, it has cashed the Over in eight in a row, and 11 of the past 12 games. The Ducks have had terrible defense and goaltending issues, allowing 5 or more goals in each of the past 5 outings, while conceding 60 goals in the past 12 games.

Over 6.5 (-115) at time of publishing. Playable to -130.

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