Parlays

Wednesday's MLB Parlay
Today
The Athletics
Boston Red Sox
Athletics @ BOS Red Sox · Run Line
BOS Red Sox -1.5
Our Analysis

I expect a multi-run win for the Boston Red Sox as they take on the Athletics Wednesday evening. Lucas Giolito is set to start this game for Boston, marking his 25th start of the season for his new club. The veteran right-hander has been a productive member of this rotation, providing the team with a 3.31 ERA across his 136 innings of work. He enters the game in good form with no more than 2 earned runs allowed in any of his last 4 outings. I expect a strong effort as he takes on an Athletics lineup that is worse when on the road.

Mason Barnett is set to start for the Athletics in this game. The right-hander has made 3 starts totaling 12.2 innings of work with an 8.53 ERA to show for it. His AAA numbers were not much better, and it is clear that his MLB promotion was out of a need for innings rather than a performance-based promotion. Boston is set up nicely for offensive success in this game, against both the starter and a shaky bullpen, and I look for a multi-run win in this one.

Boston Red Sox vs The Athletics prediction: Boston -1.5 (+110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +105.

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San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
SF Giants @ ARI Diamondbacks · Money Line
SF Giants Win
Our Analysis

The San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks finish a series on Wednesday afternoon, and this series has become an unexpected battleground for the NL wild card. Both teams are trying to chase down the Mets, and the D-Backs have now climbed over both the Giants and Reds to put themselves in the hunt. For the Giants, Wednesday is awfully close to a do-or-die game, and I like them to salvage a win in the series after Arizona walked off a 6-5 win on Tuesday. My Giants vs Diamondbacks pick is the Giants on the money line.

For sure, I love the SF pitching situation far better. Justin Verlander has been terrific over his past 4 starts, thumbing his nose at Father Time while allowing only 3 runs in the past 24 innings. He is also backed by one of the league’s best bullpens when he leaves. Arizona will roll the dice with Brandon Pfaadt, and a roll of the dice it is with him every time out. Pfaadt has been blown up a ton of times this season, and only once in his last 4 starts has he escaped the 5th inning or allowed fewer than 4 runs. And whenever he leaves the game, he is followed by a D-Backs bullpen that has been a liability all season long. Arizona is clearly the superior lineup, but it is hard to look past this pitching advantage for the Giants. Give me SF to win.

Giants vs Diamondbacks prediction: Giants ML (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
TOR Blue Jays @ TB Rays · Money Line
TOR Blue Jays Win
Our Analysis

The Blue Jays have taken the first 2 games of this series by scores of 2-1 and 6-5. They now enter Wednesday’s matchup riding a riding a 6-game win streak. The Blue Jays have been one of the best teams in baseball since the All-Star break, and with the way they are rolling, it’s tough to go against them right now. It also helps that Kevin Gausman is slated to take the mound for Toronto. Gausman is coming off a complete game, 2-hit shutout against the Astros, and has allowed just 2 earned runs over his last 3 starts and 24 innings of work. Pitching on the road hasn’t phased him, as he is holding opponents to a measly .190 batting average away from Toronto. Look for the veteran right-hander to stay locked in against the Rays in this one.

The Rays appear to just be trying to get to the finish line at this point. Tampa Bay has fallen to 9 games back in the wild card, and has lost 9 of their last 11 games. Ian Seymour has been solid since transitioning to a starting role, but he has a tough assignment in this one going up against a Toronto offense that is doing plenty of damage right now. Back the Blue Jays on the road.

Blue Jays vs Rays prediction: Blue Jays ML (-130) available at time of publishing. Playable to -135.

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Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
Dolphins vs Bills TNF Same Game Parlay
SGP
Game Totals
Over 49.5
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
K. Shakir (BUF) to score a TD
Player Passing Yards
T. Tagovailoa (MIA) - 250+ pass yds

Over 49.5 (-110)

Miami gave up 33 points to both Indianapolis and New England in the first 2 weeks. If those teams can do that to the Dolphins, just think what Buffalo is capable of producing on Thursday Night Football. It’s also worth noting that the visitors have 4 defensive starters who are questionable, including DE Chop Robinson. It’s hard to describe just how bad the Fins were against an unspectacular Patriots offense, and now they have to face a Bills juggernaut that has already churned out 900 total yards of offense in 2 outings.

How dynamic is Buffalo’s offense? Well, Josh Allen basically did nothing and it still pinned 30 points on the Jets – this after beating the Ravens 41-40 in the season opener. The only question mark surrounding the home side is defense. Baltimore ran all over the Bills and now 3 key guys are questionable (DT Ed Oliver, LB Matt Milano and CB Taron Johnson).

Khalil Shakir to score a touchdown (+205)

Khalil Shakir was targeted just twice and made only 1 catch in last week’s game. That is not going to cut it for the Bills. They got away with it in an easy win over the Jets, but in the long run, they probably won’t go where they want to go without Shakir being productive. He is their WR1, after all. Count on Allen making a concerted effort to get his top target involved early and often on Thursday night. Shakir made 6 receptions in each of his team’s 3 playoff games last season and did the same in Week 1 against Baltimore. There is no reason why he can’t be productive – a touchdown included – against a Miami defense that ranks #24 against the pass through 2 weeks and has surrendered 3 TDs through the air.

Tua Tagovailoa to record 250+ passing yards (+123)

Tua Tagovailoa might simply reach the 250-yard mark by default. He could throw a million passes on Thursday. It would be no surprise, obviously, if the Dolphins fall into an early hole and get blown out. If that’s the case, they will have to shorten the game by passing, passing and passing some more. Tagovailoa is coming off a 315-yard effort against New England, and that was with a somewhat modest 32 pass attempts. Buffalo ranked #24 against the pass in 2024, so this is a defense that will probably give a fair amount of yardage via the airwaves.

Ricky Dimon
Friday's CFB parlay
Fri Sep 19
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State · Point Spread
Tulsa +13.0
Our Analysis

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane hit the road to battle the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater. Oklahoma State leads the all-time series 44-28-5, including 10 straight victories in the series since Sept. 11, 1999, including a 45-10 win last season on Sept. 14 in Tulsa. Oklahoma State is 6-1 against the spread in the past 7 meetings, with the under going 4-0.

Tulsa dropped a 42-23 game at home against Navy, failing to cover as a 14-point underdog as the over cashed. The under is 2-1 in 3 games to date, however. For Oklahoma State, the last time we saw it on the football field, it was blasted 69-3 at Oregon as a 28.5-point underdog. Oklahoma State will be champing at the bit to get back on the field after a bye win Week 3. However, Oklahoma State is 0-2 against the spread so far this season, and it’s hard to understand why the Cowboys are favored by 2 touchdowns in this one. The Golden Hurricane might not win, but a team which was dusted by 66 last time out has no business laying double digits to anybody. Take the Golden Hurricane plus the points in this one.

Tulsa vs Oklahoma State prediction: Tulsa +13 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +12.5.

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Iowa Hawkeyes
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Iowa @ Rutgers · Point Spread
Rutgers +2.5
Our Analysis

We have Big Ten Friday football as the Iowa Hawkeyes head to the state of New Jersey to play the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The conference isn’t going to throw its top tier teams out there on Fridays, but Iowa and Rutgers are both two middle-of-the-pack teams that should be on track for bowl games, and a game like this sometimes makes a huge difference in the final standings. I think this game is a suspicious spot where Vegas is trying to trap us, knowing that -2.5 dares us to take the favorite by a field goal, and I think they expect the majority of the public bettors to back Iowa on name recognition alone. (And probably the under also, because, well, it’s Iowa.) But I think the Scarlet Knights are a stronger team right now, and I am going to take the points with Rutgers.

Rutgers has a more talented roster than you would expect, and maybe the best that Greg Shiano has had there. The offensive line is veteran and good, and they have an experienced QB in Athan Kaliakmanis who can lead this team. The defense was a liability last year, as Rutgers lost multiple games in which they scored 30+ points, but they loaded up in the offseason to try to shore up that defense. Friday will be the first test to see where they really are. As for Iowa, they were supposed to have solved their perpetual and eternal offensive woes when they acquired South Dakota State transfer Mark Gronowski. He has been fine against the cupcakes, but he was dreadful against Iowa State, and that will probably push Iowa right back to being a run-and-punt offense. I think Iowa is still classic Iowa, but Rutgers might just have the firepower to pull off the upset, especially at home. I’ll take Rutgers +2.5.

Iowa vs Rutgers prediction: Rutgers +2.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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