Parlays

The Midshipmen are ranked, 9-2 SU, and on the brink of winning a 10th game. Meanwhile, Army is 6-5 and lost to Tarleton State, an FCS team, earlier this year. However, this rivalry throws all of that out the window. Regardless of where either team goes from here, we can be rest assured of one thing: this is the Super Bowl for both the Black Knights and Midshipmen. What does that mean? You don’t want to be laying points in this one, period.

This is the type of game where Army can do more than just cover, the Black Knights can win. Navy’s offense? Indeed, it is like a video game come to life. Blake Horvath and company lead the nation in rushing yardage, and they boast a top-25 offense in scoring — averaging 32.5 points per game. The problem? Navy’s defense. The Mids give up nearly 400 yards of total offense per game (112th overall in the FBS), and they surrender 27 points per contest. By those numbers alone, Army will be in position to cover if Navy’s usuals play out. But, if Army is in position to cover here, that means they will also be in a position to win. Given the volatility of America’s Game, an underdog that is live is an underdog that can win. Black Knights outright with the upset.

Army vs Navy prediction: Army Black Knights ML (+205) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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After a long and eventful college football regular season, the most wonderful time of the year is finally here. Bowl season might not be as essential across the college football landscape as it once was, but it still presents bettors with a plethora of games to handicap and wager on. The first matchup of college football’s unofficial postseason features a couple of strong programs, as the Boise State Broncos will take on the Washington Huskies in the LA Bowl on Saturday. Both teams are expected to be mostly intact in this game, and we shouldn’t see either side impacted all that much by opt-outs and potential transfers. With that in mind, I’m going to eschew taking a side on the spread and focus on the total in this contest.

For starters, Washington has been able to work through its injuries over the last few months and the Huskies should be healthier coming off a bye week. Furthermore, it looks like Washington is motivated to play in this game, as star running back Jonah Coleman and future NFL wide receiver Denzel Boston should be in the lineup on Saturday. Head coach Jedd Fisch recently stated that he expects all of his starters to suit up in this game, outside of those with long-term injuries. With that in mind, this offense is extremely dangerous, especially with quarterback Demond Williams playing behind an offensive line should be healthy for the first time in well over a month. Washington has shown that it can score with anybody when healthy (5th in success rate, 15th in EPA per play, 17th in points per drive), and it shouldn’t face much resistance against a Boise State defense that is 117th in points per quality drive allowed and has struggled against the run all season long.

On the other side, the Broncos offense should be largely intact for this game — including quarterback Maddux Madsen and the dynamic running back trio of Dylan Riley, Sire Gaines and Malik Sherrod. Latrell Caples and Chris Marshall should be able to generate success on the outside against a Washington pass defense that has struggled when stepping up in class this season. Both of these teams don’t play at an extremely fast pace, but given that it is the final game for a lot of key contributors on both offenses, I can’t imagine either unit taking their foot off the gas in a spot where they’ll both have a favorable matchup against their opponent. With nothing troubling in the weather forecast on Saturday, this game should finish in the mid-50s. Let’s start off bowl season with plenty of points.

Boise State vs Washington prediction: Over 52 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 52.5.

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I quite like what I’m seeing from the Knicks right now. Jalen Brunson and company are peaking at just the right time when they head to Vegas for the NBA Cup semifinals with big aspirations after winning their 8th game in 9 outings. A familiar foe awaits them in the semifinals when they take on the Orlando Magic for the 4th and final time this season. These two teams actually met just last Sunday with the Knicks coming out on top 106-100 to snap a mini 2-game win streak the Magic had put together in head-to-head meetings. Brunson in particular has looked unstoppable in this matchup. Through 3 games, he’s averaging 31.3 points and 8.7 assists per game.

It’s been the Desmond Bane show for Orlando over the past couple of weeks. He has finally set in with his new team, and the last 6 games have seen him elevate his game offensively — scoring 37 points on 3 occasions. This type of play couldn’t have come at a better time for the Magic, who have had their fair share of injuries. Franz Wagner injured his ankle against the Knicks on Sunday, and it’s unclear if he will be able to gut it out and play in the semifinal. Paolo Banchero is back though, and while he hasn’t been the same player in these 3 games back, the Magic hope he can regain his touch sooner rather than later.

Elimination games are always fun to watch. It’s not often you can get this excited during an 82-game regular season, and I really look forward to these games in Vegas. As good as the Magic have been at times this season, I believe they lack the necessary experience playing in big time moments. The Knicks have been to back-to-back East Finals, playing in a bunch of Game 7s along the way. Combine that with their recent run of 8 wins in 9 games, I think they have the winning formula here. Take New York to advance.

Knicks vs Magic prediction: New York Knicks ML (-170) available at time of publishing. Playable to -185.

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The Thunder are the story of the season — 24-1, defending champs, and blasting opponents en route to the NBA Cup semifinals. Because of that, the market is pricing them at a premium, and anyone backing OKC here is paying for the hype as much as the team. That’s where the overlay risk comes in and makes the Spurs the sharp side but to back, but that leads more into what we are really here to talk about – the total.

San Antonio’s upset win over the Lakers in Los Angeles showed they are not simply passengers in this tournament. The Spurs have improved dramatically since last season, and while they don’t have OKC’s star power, they have enough structure and versatility to compete far better than the point spread or the over/under suggests. The thing is, the Spurs will have to lean into their offense to get the job done here. San Antonio is not built for a defensive showdown like the total suggests, so they will have to find a breakthrough against the Thunder’s stout defense to have a chance. We have to like those prospects, the Spurs put up over 130 against the Lakers in Los Angeles to come away with the W, a game that eclipsed the 240 mark in total. Then there is the other side of it, the Thunder can trample the Spurs and leave them in wreckage, but even if that happens, 225 seems a bit low overall. Take the over.

Spurs vs Thunder prediction: Over 225.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The top seed in the NFC is up for grabs heading into the final 4 weeks of the season. The Rams and Seahawks are tied atop the NFC West at 10-3 as the two squads meet next Thursday in Seattle. However, Los Angeles needs to take care of Detroit on Sunday at SoFi Stadium as the Lions are fighting for their playoff lives at 8-5. Detroit has alternated wins and losses in each of the past 9 games, coming off the 44-30 home triumph over Dallas last Thursday.

The Lions finished as the top NFC seed last season at 15-2, but were one-and-done in the playoffs after losing to the Commanders in the divisional round. Detroit hasn’t been able to find consistency since posting a 4-game winning streak following its opening week loss at Green Bay. Dan Campbell’s team is 3-3 away from Ford Field, which includes a 1-3 ATS mark as a road underdog. The Lions are averaging 18.5 ppg in the last 4 games off a victory, compared to 36.3 ppg in their first 3 games off a win.

The Rams bounced back from a shocking loss at Carolina 2 weeks ago to rout the banged-up Cardinals, 45-17 as 9.5-point road favorites. QB Matthew Stafford rebounded from a rough performance against the Panthers by throwing 3 TD passes and no interceptions. The Rams are back at SoFi Stadium, where they own a 5-1 record with the lone loss coming in overtime to the 49ers in Week 5. Los Angeles hopes to avenge a pair of defeats at Detroit the last 2 seasons, including in the 2023 Wild Card round, 24-23. Seeing Detroit’s inconsistency the last 2 months, let’s lay the points with the Rams here to take care of business at home.

Lions vs Rams best bet: Las Angeles Rams -6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 6.5.

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If anyone had Phillip Rivers playing a game this season on their bingo card, I’d like to know their Super Bowl pick! The 44-year-old QB was signed to the Colts’ practice squad this week, and it will either be him or rookie QB Riley Leonard under center for Indy this Sunday. Neither option is pretty for a Colts team that has dropped 3 of 4 and is slowly falling out of the AFC playoff picture. Losing QB Daniel Jones to an Achilles injury was a brutal blow for this squad, but Indiana Jones was already playing with an injured fibula, which had greatly affected the Colts offense. Indianapolis is averaging just 3.7 yards per rushing attempt in their last 3 games (23rd), which has been a big drop off from their 5.0 yards per carry average over the entire season (4th in the NFL).

On the flip side, this Seahawks team is firing on all cylinders. After a slow start in Week 14 against the Falcons, they outscored Atlanta 31-3 in the second half en route to a 37-9 victory. Seattle has now won 7 of their last 8 games, with their only defeat coming at the Rams, 21-19. QB Sam Darnold has been elite this year, as the Seattle passing offense is averaging 8.9 yards per pass attempt (1st in the NFL), leading to 29.8 points per game (2nd in the NFL). A big story to watch will be whether Colts CB Sauce Gardner plays on Sunday because he missed last week’s loss to the Jags and didn’t practice on Wednesday due to a calf injury. The pass defense clearly struggled without Sauce, as Trevor Lawrence averaged 8.1 yards per pass attempt, which is much higher than the Colts’ season average (6.6).

The spread is huge, but I can’t find any reason to back the Colts in this one. Under Mike Macdonald, Seattle has been a 7+ point favorite 3 times at home, and they’ve won those games by 26, 22 and 31. Additionally, Sam Darnold has been a favorite of 6+ points 11 times as a starter, and he is 9-2 ATS in those games. Things won’t get easier for this Colts team, no matter who is under center, so give me Seattle in a blowout win.

Colts vs Seahawks prediction: Seattle Seahawks -13.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing, playable at that number.

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The Tennessee Titans picked up their 2nd win of the season last week with a 31-29 victory over the Browns, but could be brought back down to earth when they head to Levi’s Stadium to battle the San Francisco 49ers. Despite all those points, quarterback Cam Ward continued to struggle as he completed just 50 percent of his passes for 117 yards, while it was running back Tony Pollard who did the heavy lifting. Ward has been kept under 200 passing yards in 4 of his last 5 games and has thrown just 9 touchdown passes in 13 games, and 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh has to be salivating at letting his players loose on Ward.

But it’s the San Francisco offense that gives me confidence that they’ll be able to cover this lofty spread. The 49ers had their bye last week so will be raring to go in this one, and each of their last 5 victories have come by double digits. Christian McCaffrey has been in outrageous form even by his standards, and should dominate a Titans defense that has given up the 2nd-most rushing touchdowns along with the 2nd-most passing yards per attempt. With the San Fran attack getting healthy, we could see them run up the score here especially as they look to keep tight with the Rams and Seahawks, and it’s hard to see Tennessee having much of a response.

Titans vs 49ers prediction: 49ers -12.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 13.

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Detroit enters this rematch with momentum after a 120-112 win over Atlanta last week, where Cade Cunningham posted 25 points and 10 assists and Jalen Johnson added 23 points and 10 rebounds. The Pistons’ offense has been one of the more efficient units in the East, averaging nearly 119 points per game with strong interior scoring and balanced production across their starting group. Detroit has also performed noticeably better at home, executing well in the half court and controlling pace when they build early leads. Their physicality and ability to generate high quality looks late in games have consistently given them an edge over teams that struggle defensively inside — a weakness Atlanta has shown repeatedly in this matchup.

The Hawks have flashed competitiveness in spurts, yet lacking consistency. This including a 132-130 overtime win in their first meeting, but Atlanta has scored just 105 points per game against Detroit in regulation play this season. Their turnovers, inconsistent rim protection, and second half lapses have been recurring problems, especially when Detroit dictates tempo. In last week’s matchup, Atlanta was favored by 9.5 yet escaped with only a one point win, a performance that suggested Detroit was the more stable side despite the line. Given Detroit’s stronger offensive consistency, interior advantage, and the matchup trends leaning heavily their way, the Pistons are well positioned to cover this time.

Hawks vs Pistons Prediction: Pistons -7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -8

With back-to-back wins and 3 in 5 games, the Indiana Pacers have doubled their win total for the season. During this stretch, they beat the struggling Bulls twice and the Sacramento Kings on Monday, so I would hold off on saying they’re turning things around until they can beat a team that’s over the .500 mark. They can do exactly that on Friday when they face the Philadelphia 76ers on the road in the first of 4 meetings between these teams. Winning on the road has been an enigma for the Pacers, who are just 1-10 SU in 11 outings, but at least they’ve been consistent when it comes to covering the spread — doing so 8 times in their last 10 games overall.

Philadelphia just had a 3-game win streak snapped by the Lakers, who beat them 112-108 at home. Joel Embiid made a rare appearance, though he finished the game with 16 points on a horrible 4-for-21 from the field and 0-for-6 from three. It wasn’t the best of offensive displays by the Sixers, who have not played all that well in home games this season — winning just 7 of 14 games. On top of that, they’re just 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. The more I think about it, the less of a chance I give them to cover as 7-point favorites here. Against the Pacers, the Sixers have won just once in 6 meetings, and the last 15 games head-to-head have seen them cover only 5 times.

Despite all the injuries slowing them down, the Pacers still put in the effort on a nightly basis, and they have a bit of momentum on their side here after back-to-back wins over Chicago and Sacramento. Their head-to-head record is solid against Philly, so let’s try our luck by backing them plus the extra points here.

Pacers vs 76ers prediction: Indiana Pacers +7 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Brooklyn Nets and the Dallas Mavericks will meet for the first time this season in a cross-conference matchup. The Nets have a record of 6-17 this season and a record away from home of 4-7. Brooklyn has won 3 of its last 4 games, with its last win coming against the New Orleans Pelicans 119-101. Michael Porter Jr. led the Nets in scoring with 35 points on 14 of 23 shooting. He is the Nets leading scorer this season at 25.8 points per game.

The Mavericks have an overall record of 9-16 and a home record of 6-9. Dallas has won 4 of their its 5 games with its last win coming against the Houston Rockets 122-109. Anthony Davis led the Mavericks in scoring with 29 points. Davis averages 19.6 points per game and 10.2 rebounds in 10 games played this season. 

Both teams have gone on a roll and won recent games, but neither team has played since last Saturday, so momentum may not play a factor. I see this game as a great opportunity for the Mavericks to pick up another win against a bottom-tier NBA team, as they continue to try and get their way back to a .500 record. The Mavericks’ season certainly started rough. They had Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis out with injury and a young Cooper Flagg was left to lead the team at the genesis of his career. However, since the shaky start, players have started to return from injury such as Davis and Daniel Gafford, and Flagg continues to look more comfortable on the floor.

Through 24 games, Flagg is now up to 17.3 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game on 47.5% shooting, finally finding his place within the Mavericks’ offense. The Mavericks would love to be back at .500 by the time Irving returns in 2026, and tonight is a great chance for them to pick up another win on their home floor against a Nets team that ranks last in the NBA in points per game.

Nets vs Mavericks prediction: Dallas Mavericks -8 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Xavier enters this matchup at 7-3 and riding a four game home winning streak at the Cintas Center, where they’ve been particularly efficient on both ends. The Musketeers average 78.7 PPG, shoot 36.7% from three, and knock down over 10 triples per game, giving them the perimeter firepower to stretch defenses. Their ball movement has also been a major strength, posting nearly 18.5 assists per game, and forward Tre Carroll continues to drive the offense with 17.3 PPG and a recent 30-point outburst against Cincinnati. Defensively, Xavier has been solid at home, rebounding well enough to limit second chance opportunities.

Missouri State, meanwhile, enters at 4-4 and hasn’t yet proven they can win away from home, sitting 0-2 on the road. Still, the Bears have shown competitive scoring ability at 78.6 PPG, even though their 29.7% three point shooting remains a major weakness. Defensively, they allow 73.9 PPG, which isn’t ideal against a spacing heavy Xavier team, but their top scorers — Keith Palek (16.8 PPG) and Michael Osei-Bonsu (13.7 PPG, 7.1 RPG) — give them enough offensive structure to avoid long scoring droughts. While Xavier holds clear advantages in shooting efficiency and home court performance, Missouri State’s balanced scoring and steady interior play make +18 a sizable cushion. With the Bears capable of keeping the pace manageable and preventing the game from turning into a complete runaway, the underdog cover has real value.

Missouri State vs Xavier prediction: Missouri State +18 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +17.

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No. 5 UConn heads into tonight’s matchup with Texas at full strength as they look to make it 6 wins in a row. The Longhorns feature a well-balanced offense with 3 players averaging double figures: Matas Vokietaitis (15.9 ppg), Dailyn Swain (15.7 ppg), and Jordan Pope (12.5 ppg). UConn has plenty of scoring options of its own, including Solo Ball (15.0 ppg), Tarris Reed Jr. (14.8 ppg), Alex Karaban (13.4 ppg), and Silas Demary Jr. (10.0 ppg). The Huskies have also been tested early this season, already facing 5 top-25 opponents. They went 4-1 in those games, with their only loss coming against Arizona without Reed.  

Texas hasn’t been through the same gauntlet as UConn, playing just 2 ranked opponents with a 1-1 result. The Huskies have an elite defense, and according to KenPom, they’re ranked 7th in adjusted defensive efficiency. That gives them a decent edge over Texas, who ranks 103rd in that category. However, the Longhorns have an experienced backcourt and are athletic enough to give this UConn team some trouble early on.

Both teams have multiple scoring threats, but Texas will lean on Dailyn Swan to carry his team offensively and Vokietaitis to battle on the glass and create second-chance opportunities. While the Longhorns have struggled on defense at times — surrendering 73.2 points per game compared to UConn’s 61.7 — they will look to control the tempo early on and should have plenty of success on offense to prevent this game from getting out of hand.  

Texas vs UConn prediction: Texas Longhorns +14.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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It’s a quiet night in the NHL on Friday, but we’ve got a Central Division battle between the Chicago Blackhawks and St. Louis Blues. This is the second of four meetings this season, after the Blackhawks dominated in an 8-3 win earlier in the season. To get you set for this one, here is our Blackhawks vs. Blues prediction.

It has been a miserable time for the St. Louis Blues. They are coming off a 7-2 loss to a weak Nashville Predators team, they lost 2 straight games being outscored 12-4, and are 2-4-0 in their last 6 games. Their overall record of 11-14-7 has them near the bottom of the entire NHL. While they are on home ice, they are on the second half of a back-t0-back, which included overnight travel, and they are welcoming in a team that hasn’t played since Wednesday night.

Chicago has been a fun team to watch with young phenom Connor Bedard looking like one of the NHL’s best players, and he Blackhawks have been consistently challenging for a playoff spot all season so far. There is a major dark cloud over St. Louis, and much has gone wrong for the Blues. For now, I expect that to continue. Take Chicago on the money line for our Blackhawks vs. Blues prediction.

Blackhawks vs. Blues prediction: Chicago Blackhawks ML (+105) available at time of publishing. Playable to (-105).

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The Seattle Kraken travel to Utah to face the Mammoth for the first time this season. Seattle earned an OT win against the Los Angeles Kings, ending their 6-game losing streak. The Kraken don’t score many goals, mainly because they don’t generate many shots. Lacking offensive firepower, every game becomes a challenge to find the back of the net.

The Mammoth come into this game having lost 3 in a row and remain one of the worst power plays in the league. Seattle is last on the penalty kill, but that isn’t enough of an advantage to help them score more. To make matters even worse, Logan Cooley will be out of the lineup for an extended period. This game is likely to be a tight-checking affair with few high-danger scoring chances.

Kraken vs Mammoth: Under 6.0 (-120) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

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