Parlays

The Miami Marlins and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in an interleague series finale at Rogers Centre on Wednesday afternoon. The Marlins opened with an 8-2 victory in Monday, but they were routed 8-1 in Tuesday’s game, as RHP Sandy Alcantara continues to have issues. The Over has cashed in both games of the series, too, so keep that in mind if you’re taking a look at same-game parlay (SGP) opportunities. The loss by the Marlins on Tuesday snapped a 4-game winning streak, which had the Fish creeping back toward the surface of .500.

For Toronto, it sends RHP Kevin Gausman (4-3, 3.23 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) to the bump, while Miami will counter with the less effective RHP Eury Perez (3-6, 4.91 ERA, 1.30 WHIP). The 23-year-old Perez has quality starts in two of his past three outings, but he is still 1-5 across his previous 6 outings, and he has served up 7 homers across 32 2/3 IP in the past 6 outings. Gausman has 3 quality starts in the past 4 outings, and he has whiffed 18 batters in 17 1/3 IP in the previous 3 appearances. Let’s back Gausman at home, as the Blue Jays are 5-3 in his past 8 starts.

Marlins vs Blue Jays prediction: Blue Jays ML (-160) at time of publishing. Playable to -175.

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After the Angels picked up a 10-6 victory over the Tigers in the series-opener on Tuesday night, Wednesday’s contest could be of the lower-scoring variety. Los Angeles will send Jose Soriano to the mound, and he has put together a sensational first 2 months of the season. The 27-year-old right-hander has allowed just 44 hits through 66.1 innings of work this season, and he has allowed the fewest hits per 9 innings in the American League. Furthermore, he is holding opposing hitters to a minuscule .187 batting average to go along with a .537 OPS. The Detroit offense has struggled mightily to generate runs in the month of May, as the Tigers rank dead last in all of baseball with a team OPS of .603 this month. Thus, Soriano seems to have a favorable matchup on his hands.

On the other side, Casey Mize will toe the rubber for the home team. Aside from the now-injured Tarik Skubal, Mize has been Detroit’s most reliable starting pitcher this season. The former No. 1 overall pick owns a solid 2.47 ERA and 0.98 WHIP through 8 starts and 43.2 innings. He is set to face a Los Angeles lineup that currently ranks 23rd in baseball with a .685 team OPS against right-handed pitching, Mize has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 7 of his 8 starts, and he should be able to limit the damage from the Angel offense in this one. With a total of 7.5, look to the under.

Angels vs Tigers prediction: Under 7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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Boston’s 9th-inning rally fell just short on Tuesday, dropping the first game of the series against Atlanta 7-6. Ranger Suarez turned in his worst start of the year, surrendering 5 earned runs on 6 hits, 3 home runs and 4 walks in 5 innings. Meanwhile, Spencer Strider was okay, yielding 3 runs on 3 hits, 2 home runs and 6 walks in 5 innings, but he came away with the win. 

The projected pitching matchup for Wednesday’s Game 2 is Bryce Elder vs. Connelly Early. Edler’s numbers are very good this season, boasting a 4-2 record with a 1.97 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. His advanced metrics aren’t as good, so expect some regression eventually, but an xERA right around 3.00 and an xFIP under 4.00 is still solid. Early is also 4-2, but he carries a 3.33 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP – both respectable marks in their own right. Like Edler, Early will probably regress a bit, as his xERA is 4.66 and his xFIP is 4.20. 

Boston can’t seem to figure it out at home. Thanks to this current 4-game losing streak, the Sox are 8-18 SU at Fenway this season. Oddly enough, the Braves are one of the best road teams in the league at 20-8, and I’m looking for that trend to continue Wednesday. Moreover, the Braves lead the league in hits and RBIs against lefties this year, while sitting top 3 in home runs. I’m taking the Braves here at an affordable price. 

Braves vs Red Sox prediction: Atlanta Braves ML (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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