Parlays

The St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers get a series started on Monday afternoon. The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 to the Dodgers over the weekend, while the Cardinals battled the weather in Cincinnati, ultimately raining out Sunday’s contest. American Family Field has a roof though, so no worries on Monday afternoon. Monday is a Miz day as Jacob Misiorowski takes the ball for the Brew Crew. This game comes down to whether you think Miz will continue to do amazing things, and I am not betting against that. So give me the Brewers on the Run Line at -1.5.

Misiorowski is doing incredible things. He has a 1.89 ERA and a WHIP of just 0.88, and he has 88 Ks in just 57 innings. He is virtually untouchable, hasn’t given up a run all month, and has struck out at least 8 guys in 6 straight games. Oh, and something like the fastest 80 or so pitches thrown by starters this season are all by Miz, and he is routinely hitting 102 or 103. Good luck hitting him. On the other side is Matthew Libertore, who is having a fine season, but he has logged two straight short outings while allowing 4 runs. This game comes down to whether the Brewers show up on offense, and whether you want to bet on the Miz finally coming back to earth a bit. I’ll ride the hot hand.

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction: Brewers -1.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -120.

The New York Yankees picked up a dramatic 2-0 victory over the Rays yesterday thanks to a walk-off two-run homer from Aaron Judge in the bottom of the ninth. Now, New York heads to Kansas City looking to build some momentum as they open a new series against the Royals.  The Royals are coming off a solid series win over the Seattle Mariners and they’ll send Michael Wacha to the mound. Wacha enters with a 4-2 record, 2.70 ERA, and a 1.03 WHIP. For the Yankees, they’ll hand the ball to Will Warren who enters with a 6-1 record, 3.61 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP. 

Wacha has been slightly sharper over his last five starts, posting a 2.90 ERA compared to Warren’s 4.67 ERA during that same stretch. However, both offenses have struggled recently. The Yankees are averaging 3.1 runs per game and batting .220 in their last 10 matchups compared to the Royals who are averaging 2.8 runs per game and hitting .227. Both teams have also gone just 5-10 over their last 15 games. Even with Kansas City holding a slight edge on the mound, the Yankees still have the more dangerous lineup overall. One major concern for the Royals is their bullpen, which owns a 4.62 ERA this season, which could become a problem if this game remains right heading into the final innings. It’s hard to trust either team given their recent performance, but I think the Yankees will find a way to get it done on the road and pick up the win. 

Yankees vs Royals prediction: Yankees ML  (-140) at the time of publishing. Playable up to – 155.

The Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers meet in a setting that strongly points toward offense, especially with two young starters still trying to establish consistency at the major league level. Colorado turns to Tanner Gordon, who enters this matchup still searching for stability within the Rockies rotation. Gordon has struggled to consistently put hitters away this season, and pitching against the Dodgers lineup is one of the toughest assignments in baseball. Los Angeles continues to rank near the top of the league in runs scored, OPS, and home run production, with the middle of the order consistently generating traffic on the bases. The Dodgers have also been especially dangerous at home, where their offense has routinely forced opposing pitchers into elevated pitch counts early in games.

Los Angeles counters with Emmet Sheehan, who possesses strong strikeout upside but still carries volatility as he works his way back into a consistent major league role. Sheehan’s raw stuff can dominate stretches of games, but command inconsistency and occasional home run issues have also created scoring opportunities for opposing offenses. That could become important against a Colorado lineup that has quietly swung the bats better lately, particularly from the middle of the order. The Rockies bullpen has also remained one of the least reliable relief units in baseball, while the Dodgers’ bullpen has shown occasional inconsistency in higher scoring games this season. With Los Angeles capable of putting up runs in bunches, Colorado likely needing offense to stay competitive, and both starting pitchers still carrying question marks, this matchup profiles as a game where offense should continue building throughout the night rather than settling into a pitching duel.

Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction: Over 8.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 9