Parlays

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With 11 games left the Spurs are 3-games off the OKC Thunder for the 1st seed in the East and with the defending champs racking up wins it’s becoming less likely by the day that San Antonio will catch them. Still, that shouldn’t discourage us from looking at a Spurs bet in Monday’s game in Miami. Victor Wembanyama has been a menace over the past 9 games averaging 28.7 ppg, 10.9 rpg and 3.3 blocks per game. He’s doing all this in 30.6 mins per game, Bam Adebayo in particular will have his hands full trying to stop the Spurs big man. Miami as a team ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint this season, it would be a good idea for San Antonio to get the ball early and often to their center here.

The Heat have struggled over their last 4 games losing to Orlando, Charlotte, the Lakers and Houston. It’s not often you see a coach dabble with his starting unit 70 games into the season, but that’s exactly what Erik Spoelstra has been doing which could explain why Miami has been unable to win games. Norman Powell has been in and out of the starting line-up, it’s unclear if he’ll play on Monday due to a lingering calf injury. Miami wasted a 31 point and 10 rebound game from Adebayo the last time these two teams met, which ended in a 6-point Spurs victory. If there’s one encouraging factor for the Heat entering this game it’s the fact that they’ve shot over 50% in their last two games, however the defense will need to improve after 123, 134 and 136 points allowed in their last 3 outings.

The sense of urgency to win here is a lot higher for Miami, but the Spurs are the more in-form team. With the likes of Jaime Jaquez, Norman Powell and Andrew Wiggins all questionable to play, it could be a struggle against one of the deeper teams in the NBA. The Spurs have won 9 of 10 on the road and they’re also 4-1 ATS in 5 games vs East opponents. I’ll take Wemby and co. here.

Spurs vs Heat prediction: Spurs -5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

The Indiana Pacers will travel to Orlando to take on the Magic Monday night as both teams aim to end their losing streak. The Pacers are amidst their franchise’s longest losing streak at 16 straight losses. Indiana has had multiple double digit losing streaks this season, leading to the worst record in the NBA. Their last loss was against the San Antonio Spurs 134-119. Despite shooting 52% from the field and 46% from three, the Spurs still blew the Pacers out, even leading by 28 at one point in this game. The Pacers got dominated inside, losing the rebounding battle 49-26 and allowing 76 points in the paint. The Magic will be looking to snap a four game losing streak. They haven’t been able to find success against a group of solid teams. The teams they have lost to during this streak have been the Hawks, Thunder, Hornets, and Lakers, so playing the Pacers should be a welcoming sight to play a non-playoff team. Orlando needs every win it can get down the stretch. They currently sit as the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference, but they are only one game back of the 5th seed. The Magic should be able to avoid a poor showing tonight on their home floor. They have a record of 21-13 this season when playing at the Kia Center. On top of that, Indiana has been the worst road team in the NBA with a record of 5-31. The Pacers haven’t just lost road games, they have been non-competitive. Indiana’s record against the spread on the road this season has been 12-24. Pascal Siakam, Obi Toppin, Andrew Nembhard, and Aaron Nesmith are all listed as questionable heading into this game. Even if they do play, it is not clear how many minutes they will play. With the Pacers seemingly trying to lose games down the stretch, I like for the Magic to break their losing streak by a big number tonight. 

Magic -13 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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This is a line that sticks out like a sore thumb. Golden State is 33-38 and only spotting a bucket on the road against Dallas, which is 23-48. That just doesn’t make sense. The game is billed as toss-up from a spread perspective, but it’s really saying that Dallas is actually more trustworthy. There is of course, context. The W’s are without the face of their franchise, Stephen Curry, and his absence has been horrific for Golden State — which has gone on quite the skid without him.

There is motivational geometry in play here, but it is nothing more than fodder. Golden State can eliminate Dallas from postseason contention with a win, which sounds like a huge edge for the Warriors. Dallas’ postseason plans have long since been culled, but that doesn’t mean that they haven’t quietly kept playing hard. This is a team that just pushed the Clippers to overtime on Saturday. That matters because effort is often the separator in these late-season coin-flip games between flawed teams. The fact of the matter is that the Mavericks don’t need to be dramatically better. They just need to turn this into another grind and let Golden State prove it can finish one. The number says that the Warriors are a question mark, so give me the home ‘ dog outright.

Warriors vs Mavericks prediction: Dallas ML (+110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.