Parlays

The Boston Red Sox offense finally came to life Saturday, erupting for 9 runs on 11 hits in a convincing win over the Cleveland Guardians. Cleveland struggled to generate offense, managing just 1 run on 6 hits, while committing 4 costly errors. Looking to secure a series win, the Red Sox will hand the ball over to the lefty, Ranger Suarez, who enters with a 2-3 record and a 3.02 ERA. For the Guardians, Tanner Bibee will get the nod, who is winless — holding a 0-7 record with a 4.57 ERA. 

Boston has been the hotter team offensively over the last 10 games, averaging 5.2 runs per game  while batting an impressive .293. As for Cleveland, they’re averaging 2.3 runs per game and hitting .227 in that span. Taking a look at the starting pitchers, Bibee is coming off one of his worst performances of the season against the Nationals, when he gave up 7 runs on 8 hits in 3 innings pitched. However, Suarez wasn’t much better in his last start, giving up 5 runs on 6 hits in 5 innings against the Braves. Taking everything into consideration, the Red Sox offense has shown it is more than capable of producing runs when it matters the most. Given Bibee’s struggles this season, I’m going to lean towards the Red Sox to secure a series win on the road behind Ranger Suarez.

Red Sox vs Guardians prediction: Boston Red Sox ML (-115) at the time of publishing. Playable to – 130.

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The Los Angeles Angels and Tampa Bay Rays wrap up a 3-game series at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, and it’s a rubber match. The Rays picked up an 8-5 win as moderate favorites (-162) on Friday, as the over (8) cashed, while the Halos trounced Tampa 14-3 as moderate underdogs (+144) on Saturday with another over easily cashing. It was a rare loss for the Rays at home, as they’re 20-6 under the Tropicana roof. It was equally as rare of a win for the Angels on the road, as they’re just 11-20 away from the Big A.

The Angels turn to RHP Jack Kochanowicz (2-3, 4.99 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) for Sunday’s start. He is a 1-1 with a dismal 6.25 ERA in 31 2/3 IP across 6 road starts, and his biggest issue has been walks — allowing 18 in 6 starts away from home. The Rays counter with LHP Shane McClanahan (5-2, 2.52 ERA, 1.04 WHIP), who has exhibited All-Star form through 10 starts and 50 IP. The secret to his success has been keeping the ball in the yard, as he has allowed just two homers. He has had a slight problem with walks, allowing 2 or more walks in 6 of his 10 outings, but he has managed to limit the damage. At home, McClanahan is a perfect 4-0 with a 2.10 ERA across 25 2/3 IP in 5 starts, and teams are hitting just .185 against him there.

Angels vs Rays prediction: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+115) at time of publishing. Playable to -110.

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The Dodgers were well on their way to their 7th straight win on Saturday, but the Phillies had different ideas, scoring 3 of their 4 runs in the top of the 8th thanks to Edmundo Sosa’s 2-run jack. The win marked the 4th in Philadelphia’s last 5. 

Sunday’s game is a rubber match that pits Philadelphia’s RHP Andrew Painter against Los Angeles’ RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Painter has struggled mightily this year, sitting 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. His advanced numbers suggest he’s been a bit unlucky and should regress back to the mean, but doing so against the defending champions is a tall order. For reference, the Dodgers lead the league in home runs against righties, while sitting 2nd in batting average and 1st in on-base percentage. 

Yamamoto comes into this contest 4-4 with a 3.09 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, but his home starts have left more to be desired than his road starts for some reason. He is 1-2 at home with a 3.77 ERA, surrendering 13 earned runs and 7 home runs in 31 innings. That said, he was meticulous over his last 2 starts, allowing just 2 earned runs combined in 14 innings against the Brewers and Padres. Fortunately for him, the Phillies are awful against right-handed pitchers, as they carry the 2nd-worst on-base percentage in the league and are bottom-6 in batting average against them. 

Given the pitching matchup, it’s hard to trust the Phillies in this spot – especially since they’ve been out west for a week. Look for Yamamoto and the Dodgers bullpen to have more success suppressing runs than the Phillies on Sunday.

Phillies vs Dodgers prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -115. 

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