Parlays

Monday's MLB parlay
Today
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
ATL Braves @ MIA Marlins · Money Line
ATL Braves Win
Our Analysis

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a series win against the Red Sox and they will be in Miami on Monday to open a four-game set with the Marlins. These teams have met three times already this season, the Braves have won two of the three. The Braves are the second-best offensive team in the MLB, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Even better, they are the best defensive ball clubs, allowing only 3.3 runs per game as a team. They will be in tough going up against righty Max Meyer who is 3-0 with a 3.21 ERA in 47.2 innings this season. He is coming off a shaky outing where he allowed four earned runs in 5.2 innings, including two home runs.

Considering the Braves are the best team in the majors at the moment, I will take them any day of the week in a pick ‘em. The Marlins own a below .500 record and I do not expect it to improve on Monday. I will be taking the Braves to get it done in Game 1 of this series.

Braves vs. Marlins prediction: Braves ML (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -125.

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Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
BOS Red Sox @ KC Royals · Money Line
KC Royals Win
Our Analysis

The Kansas City Royals have been a far better team when in their home park this season. So far in 2026 the Royals are just 20-27, but when at home they are 13-10. They just lost consecutive road series against the Tigers and Cardinals, but now they return to Kansas City for 3 straight home series. On paper, the easiest of those 3 series is this first one against the Boston Red Sox. It is crucial that Kansas City starts this home stand strong.

Boston enters this series at 19-27 following their 3rd consecutive series loss. They have the longer trip as they will go to Kansas City from Atlanta while the Royals are within a 4-hour drive. It has been a disappointing start for the Red Sox this season as they have seen underperformance from their rotation and lineup. Someone who has overperformed on paper is their starter for Monday in Sonny Gray. Gray enters his 8th start with a 3.18 ERA, but his 4.18 FIP and 5.15 xERA tell a different story. Sonny is earning a career low strikeout rate in 2026. He is also benefiting from the 2nd lowest BABIP and the 2nd highest strand rate of his career. This despite a 7th percentile xBA and 20th percentile barrel rate.

Seth Lugo has not been perfect either this season, as his 3.76 ERA is shadowed by a 4.84 xERA. Hitting conditions are set to be favorable in Kauffman Stadium, as they will be across much of the MLB landscape on Monday. Lugo has clear flaws and he could very well get lit up at any time, but I find it less likely to be in this spot given Boston’s offensive form. They enter this series bottom 5 in both wOBA and wRC+ against right-handed pitching. I think the Royals should be favored at home in this spot.

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction: Royals ML (-104) available at time of publishing. Playable to -115 odds.

San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
SF Giants @ ARI Diamondbacks · Game Totals
Over 9.0
Our Analysis

The Giants and Diamondbacks are set to begin a 3-game series at Chase Field on Monday night. San Francisco will send Robbie Ray to the mound, while Zac Gallen will toe the rubber for the home team. Ray has seen his fair share of struggles on the road this season, as his ERA jumps from 1.91 at home to 4.50 on the road. The Diamondbacks hit lefties exceptionally well, and they should be able to find some success against the 34-year-old southpaw. Specifically, Arizona ranks 3rd in baseball with a .266 batting average and 6th with a .742 OPS against lefties this season. Ray could have his hands full here.

Gallen is having a rough month of May. The Arizona right-hander has allowed 19 hits and 14 earned runs over 3 starts and 14.1 innings of work to begin the month. After ending April with a 3.14 ERA on the season, Gallen’s ERA now sits at 5.02. He seems to have lost control of the strike zone, as he’s issued 7 walks over his last 3 starts after collecting just 7 total walks over his first 6 starts of the season. Arizona’s bullpen has also been unreliable, ranking 23rd in the league with a 4.50 ERA. All in all, both offenses seem to have the edge in this NL West matchup.

Giants vs Diamondbacks prediction: Over 9 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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Free Picks and Parlays

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Free Parlay Picks, Strategies, Guides, and Must-knows

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