Parlays

Monday's MLB parlay

6:45 PM ETToday

6:45 PM ET

MIA Marlins @ WAS Nationals · Money Line

WAS Nationals Win

Reasoning

Our Analysis

The Washington Nationals demolished right-handed pitching during the month of May. Across May they ranked 4th in wOBA with a 121 wRC+, posting a top 10 hard-hit rate and a bottom 10 strikeout rate. Washington will face off against Sandy Alcantara on Monday as they begin their series with the Miami Marlins. Alcantara is in poor form, having allowed 14 earned runs in his last 2 starts and a 7.39 ERA across May as a whole. In those last 2 starts he has surrendered 5 home runs to the Braves and Blue Jays. He has been at his worst away from home this season, posting a 6.07 ERA across 29.2 innings of work.

Cade Cavalli enters this matchup in better form than his counterpart. Cavalli made 5 starts in May, tossing 29 innings with a 3.41 ERA. His last 3 outings were all quality starts including 6 innings of 1-run ball against the Guardians in his last start. Cavalli presents the Nationals with a solid chance to win each start, and his underlying metrics support his success with a 3.96 xERA and even better 3.01 FIP. Miami ranked just 26th in wOBA with an 82 wRC+ against righties in May and I side with Washington in this game.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction: Nationals ML (-142) available at time of publishing. Playable to -155.

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7:10 PM ET

KC Royals @ CIN Reds · Run Line

CIN Reds -1.5

Reasoning

Our Analysis

The Kansas City Royals were swept over the weekend by the Texas Rangers, extending their losing streak to 6 games. They have now lost 10 of their last 12 as they make the trip from Arlington, Texas to Cincinnati, Ohio to play the Reds on Monday night. The Reds avoided being swept by the Braves over the weekend with a 6-4 win on Sunday, breaking what was a 3-game losing streak.

Monday’s matchup pits Kansas City’s Luinder Avila against Cincinnati’s Chase Burns, which should be a massive advantage for the Reds. Avila was a relief pitcher but has been moved into the starting rotation despite not pitching more than 3 innings in any outing. Through 21.1 innings, he’s allowed 27 hits, 12 walks, 12 earned runs and 1 home run along with striking out 20. For what it’s worth, righties have a .841 OPS against Avila, while lefties are at .943.

Burns has been an absolute machine for Cincinnati this year. He is 7-1 in his 11 starts, boasting a 1.96 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. He may be due for some slight regression with an xERA almost a full run higher than his ERA and a completely unsustainable 94.5% left-on-base rate, but is Kansas City the team to force that regression? I doubt it. The Royals have one of the worst offenses in the league that lacks power and plate discipline.

The Reds have plenty of flaws, but they are capable of winning any game in which Burns toes the rubber. In fact, they are 8-3 SU in his starts. Look for them to push that to 9 wins on Monday in comfortable fashion against a reeling Royals team off cross-country travel. After all, about two-thirds of Kansas City’s losses in May were by at least 2 runs.

Royals vs Reds prediction: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-102) at the time of publishing. Playable to -110.

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7:40 PM ET

SF Giants @ MIL Brewers · Money Line

MIL Brewers Win

Reasoning

Our Analysis

The San Francisco Giants and Milwaukee Brewers will be opening up a 4-game series in Milwaukee on Monday. The Brewers have one of the best records in all of baseball right now, and they are very dominant at home with a 19-11 record at American Family Field. It appears to be a bull-pen day for the Brewers, which is alright because they give up the 4th-fewest runs per game as a team in the MLB. They average 3.5 runs allowed per game. Heading into action on Sunday where the Giants scored 19 runs at Coors Field, the Giants were the worst offensive team in the league, averaging 3.7 runs per game. This won’t be enough to keep pace with a solid defensive team in the Brewers, and a Brewers team that averages 4.8 runs per game, 6th-best in the league.

Landon Roupp will have to be good for the Giants to give them a chance in this game. The Giants are only 3-7 in their last 10, and I think they are out-classed in this matchup. I am going to side with the Brewers in this one.

Giants vs. Brewers prediction: Brewers ML (-140) available at time of publishing. Playable to -150.

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8:30 PM ET

Knicks vs Spurs 2026 NBA Finals Game 1 Same Game Parlay

SGP

Player Threes Made

J. Brunson (NY) - 2+ threes

Player to Record a Double-Double

K.A. Towns (NY) to record a Double-Double

Player Points

D. Harper (SA) - 10+ pts

Player Assists

D. Fox (SA) - 6+ assists

Reasoning

Knicks vs Spurs parlay pick: Jalen Brunson 2+ made threes (-230)

Unlike in previous seasons where he would often run out of gas before even getting to the Conference Finals, this time around Jalen Brunson has gotten a lot more help from his teammates. Unlike Victor Wembanyama on the other side, Brunson has played 3 less full games and it shows. His scoring average and field goal efficiency are both up compared to the regular season, while his three-point shot has also been going in at a relatively efficient clip. He has a knack of doing well from the perimeter against the Spurs, the last 7 meetings have seen him clear this line 5 times.

During the regular season, Brunson shot the deep ball at a 47.4% clip against the Spurs, and he carried the offense in the NBA Cup Final win as well. I’m going with a slightly conservative approach for him in Game 1, making a pair of threes shouldn’t be too big of an ask. He’s done it 58 times in 89 games so far this season (65%), on the road that percentage goes up to 67% (30/45 games).

Knicks vs Spurs parlay pick: Karl-Anthony Towns to record a Double-Double (-240)

This is the moment of truth for Karl-Anthony Towns. The moment he arrived to New York City big things were expected from him and he has been under the spotlight ever since. In his first game as a Knick he wore a throwback shirt showing the Spurs vs Knicks NBA Finals match-up from 1999, making this the an ideal full circle moment for the big fella. However, he will have to adapt his game drastically if he wants his team to succeed in this series.

Going up against Victor Wembanyama will be a tall task, especially with Mitchell Robinson dealing with a broken pinky finger on his right hand. That means more minutes for Towns at the center position as the Knicks aren’t exactly equipped with tall centers that can go toe to toe with the alien down low. KAT is averaging 10.6 rebounds per game this postseason, that might look like it’s down compared to the regular season, but only because the Knicks were so good in the last two series that Towns didn’t even have to play his normal minutes. Look for him to be very active in Game 1 and dominante on the glass.

Knicks vs Spurs SGP pick: Dylan Harper 10+ points (-142)

Harper has risen to the occasion this postseason averaging 13.1 points per game which is an increase of 1.3 ppg compared to his season average. On top of that his efficiency also went up by 2% both from the field (52.5%) and from three (36.4%). He should feel right at home in this series, especially in games played at Madison Square Garden, given that he grew up in the tri-state area. I have Harper scoring at least 10 points in the opener as he has done so in 12 of his 18 games so far this postseason. For the season, the over on this bet has cashed 57 times in 88 games — good for a success rate of 65%. I quite like those odds, so let’s include him in our parlay for Game 1.

Knicks vs Spurs SGP pick: De’Aaron Fox 6+ assists (-130)

Playing on a bummed ankle did slow him down a bit, but De’Aaron Fox was still a major contributor in the series win over Oklahoma City, especially in Game 7 where he went off for 15 points and also dished out 5 assists. He finished the series averaging 6.2 dimes per game, which is in line with his postseason average of 5.9 per game. The Knicks had major problems guarding him in the two regular season meetings, his combination of speed and quickness was too much to handle for the likes of Brunson and others trying to contain him.

Fox averaged 6.5 assists in the regular season meetings, while he dished out 9 of them in the NBA Cup matchup, as the Spurs offense went through mostly him and Stephon Castle. Although he has not played on the biggest stage yet, Fox is one of the more experienced players on this Spurs roster and I’m convinced that’ll have a massive impact on the rest of his teammates as they try to feed off his playmaking.

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