Parlays

Game 2 in the three-game series between the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels will be played Saturday night in LA. Game 1 of the series had some fireworks as the Angels won a barn burner by a score of 9-6. A total of five home runs were hit in this game. This could be a sign of good things to come for the Angels offense who desperately needed to put some runs on the board. Unfortunately, on Saturday they will be going up against Nathan Eovaldi. The veteran has been lights-out over his last three starts, all lasting 7.0 or more innings and he only surrendered one earned run in the three starts. The Rangers won all three of those games. He racked up 23 strikeouts as well. It is going to be tough for the Angels offense who has a team batting average of .226 on the season (third-worst in the MLB) to string together some hits against Eovaldi.

If the Rangers offense can be patient at the plate against Walbert Urena, who can struggle with finding the strike zone at times, they should be successful in this game. I think the Rangers will bounce back from Friday’s loss, so give me the road team in this one.

Rangers vs. Angels prediction: Rangers ML (-140) available at time of publishing. Playable to -150.

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In terms of arm talent at this stage in their careers, Saturday’s matchup between Paul Skenes and Patrick Corbin is about as lopsided as you’ll find. It is still baseball, and anything can happen, but the Pirates hold a massive starting pitching edge in Game 2 of this series. Corbin made 4 April starts totaling 19.1 innings of work. In those 4 outings the southpaw recorded 16 strikeouts with just 24 base runners and a 3.74 ERA. His 4 starts in May have been less effective. In 19 innings so far this month the veteran lefty has allowed 33 base runners with just 9 strikeouts, and his ERA has jumped to 4.74. Overall, his 4.23 ERA is shadowed by a 6.36 xERA, and I am not fond of backing Corbin moving forward. Pittsburgh has been weaker against lefties this season, but this is still a matchup they can take advantage of, especially with their young right-handed call-ups. 

Skenes is coming off his weakest start of the season. The reigning Cy Young Award winner allowed a home run and 5 earned runs total to the Phillies in a 6-0 Phillies win. I do expect a bounce back, however, as he has largely been dominant in 2026. Skenes enters Saturday with a 2.62 ERA, 2.64 FIP, and 2.07 xERA. His miniscule 3.8% walk rate ranks 99th percentile and his 30.3% strikeout rate sits 93rd percentile. He has been equally dominant on the road and at home, and he has been tough on either handedness of batter. At current pricing Pittsburgh is a best bet for me on Saturday.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction: Pirates ML (-154) available at time of publishing. Playable to -165 odds.

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The final game on Saturday’s loaded MLB slate pits the Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks in what will be the 3rd game of a 4-game weekend set. They split the first 2 games, as each team will be looking to take the series lead when Michael Lorenzen and Zac Gallen take the mound. 

I’m expecting runs on Saturday night; neither pitcher has been particularly reliable this year. Lorenzen is 2-6 with a 7.03 ERA and 1.91 WHIP, and while his advanced metrics suggest the results have been worse than expected, a 5.98 xERA, 4.40 xFIP and 4.50 SIERA aren’t exactly good marks, either. To make matters worse, Lorenzen just saw the Diamondbacks last week. In that game, he gave up 6 earned runs on 9 hits in just 4.2 innings, making it the 3rd time this season he surrendered at least 6 earned runs in a start. 

Gallen has been better, though not by much. His 2-4 record, 4.78 ERA and 1.43 WHIP are right around where they should be given his 5.16 xERA, 4.35 xFIP and 4.44 SIERA, while he has surrendered 16 earned runs in 20.1 May innings. He did not face Arizona last weekend, but in 42 career at-bats against Gallen, the Rockies are hitting .333 with 2 home runs and just 7 strikeouts. 

The first 2 games of this series were low-scoring, but it wasn’t for lack of baserunners. In fact, these teams combined for 16 hits last night, but they left 15 combined runners on base and were just 4-for-19 collectively with runners in scoring position. It was a similar story in Game 1, when they left 16 combined runners on base and were 2-of-16 with runners in scoring position. Given the pitching matchup, I expect those runners to cross the plate today. 

Rockies vs Diamondbacks best bet: Over 9 (-120) at the time of publishing. Playable to 9.5 (-105).

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