Parlays

Sunday brings us a handful of major conference games, for which we are thankful on this football-less Sunday afternoon. The TCU Horned Frogs head to Boulder to face the Colorado Buffaloes. TCU is having a middling season, sitting at 3-5 in the conference but winning 2 of its last 3 games. The Buffs are 2-6 in the Big 12, but those 6 losses have all come in a row — something that happens to a lot of teams in this brutal conference. This game is expected to be close, and I think the best play is Under 153.5.

The Frogs hang their hat on a top-25 defense, but they also struggle to score at times. Colorado is a good offense paired with an average defense. TCU has tended to play slow games for the most part, and Colorado has tended to match the style of their opponents. There is a possibility of this game turning into a track meet, but it doesn’t feel like that kind of a game. If it stays close, expect the final few minutes to be longer, deliberate possessions that will also help the under. To bust this number, somebody probably needs to get to 80 — and I’m just not convinced this matchup is built for that. Give me the under is a tight game.

TCU vs Colorado prediction: Under 153.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Iowa State Cyclones won in dominating fashion on Thursday, taking care of business at home against Colorado 97-67. The ‘Clones scored an insane 1.42 points per possession, connecting on almost 70% of 2-point attempts and nearly 48% of 3-point attempts while dominating the rebounding battle and holding the Buffaloes under 1.0 point per possession. It was their third win in a row after dropping 2 straight, pushing their record to 19-2. 

Kansas State is in the opposite predicament. With their loss at West Virginia on Tuesday, the Wildcats are 10-11 overall and 1-7 in conference play — and it’s tough to see things getting any better for the ‘Cats in the short term, as this team is extremely banged up right now. Leading scorer Abdi Bashir remains out, while the statuses of Khamari McGriff and Elias Rapieque remain unknown. 

Iowa State has one of the nation’s best defenses, ranking 6th in adjusted efficiency and 5th in forced turnover rate, which means Kansas State is fighting an uphill battle without Bashir. The Wildcats have scored just 62 and 54 points in their last 2 games, and it’s not going to get easier for them against an Iowa State defense that is 11th nationally in scoring, holding opponents to 65 points per game. That defense has traveled, as unders are 4-1 in Iowa State’s 5 true road games. Without much confidence that Kansas State will contribute to the scoring, I like the under in this Big 12 matinee. 

Iowa State vs Kansas State prediction: Under 155.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to 154.

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It’s been a forgettable season for the Oregon Ducks, and that might even be putting it lightly, as they are just 8-13 overall – including 1-9 in conference play. Much of their trials and tribulations are due to injuries. They’ve been without Jackson Shelstad for almost half of the year, while Nate Bittle is on the shelf, joined recently by Takai Simpkins and Ege Demir. As such, their recent results haven’t been particularly close. In fact, the Ducks have lost their last 6 games by double digits. 

Iowa has been solid in Ben McCollum’s first year at the helm, boasting a 15-5 overall record with a 5-4 mark in conference play. The Hawkeyes have won 3 in a row, and while the travel west is less than ideal for Big Ten teams, I have a hard time seeing Iowa meeting any resistance against what is a shell of Oregon’s team. Their offense can leave a bit to be desired, but the Hawkeyes will meet an Oregon defense that is 14th in the Big Ten in adjusted efficiency. The Ducks have been particularly bad at the rim and off the dribble, which is exactly where Iowa thrives with Bennett Stirtz running the offense. 

On the other end of the floor, Oregon’s offense has been even worse. The Ducks are either 2nd-worst or dead last in the Big Ten in adjusted efficiency, effective field goal percentage, turnover rate and free throw percentage thus far, and it’s difficult to see how that changes against an Iowa defense that is top-20 nationally in adjusted efficiency. 

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Iowa win this game by margin, but even with Oregon’s perpetual double-digit margins of defeat, I struggle to actually find the confidence to lay the inflated number with Iowa here. Instead, I’m going to target the under. These are 2 of the 3 slowest-paced teams in the conference, as Iowa is 338th in adjusted tempo and 340th in average possession length, while Oregon is outside the top 250 in both metrics. This Ducks team is playing even slower than that recently given all of the injuries, too. 

Iowa vs Oregon prediction: Under 133.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to 132.5.

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The Los Angeles Kings and Carolina Hurricanes are tentatively scheduled to play Sunday at 3:00 p.m. ET at Lenovo Center, but there is a possibility that the game is impacted due to a snowstorm that affected most of North Carolina with several inches of snow. The good news is that the Kings, who won in overtime in Philadelphia on Saturday afternoon, arrived at Raleigh/Durham International Airport around 6:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, right before the storm really cranked up. So if the start time has to be pushed back to treat the roads, parking lot, etc., or employees and fans need more time to get to the arena, at least the Kings are in Raleigh and ready for whatever happens.

If the game goes off as scheduled, the Kings look to stay somewhat hot. They are 4-1-0 in the past 5 games and have at least 1 point in 7 of the past 8 outings. The Hurricanes lost in Washington on Saturday afternoon and they arrived back to RDU around 10:15 p.m. ET, so technically the Kings will be more rested than they are. Rookie Brandon Bussi is expected to start. With the travel for both teams, no rest, the snowstorm and a matinee game, I’ll go low on the total. For L.A., the Under is 3-0 in the past 3 and 7-2 in the past 9.

Kings vs Hurricanes prediction: Under 5.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to -110.

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The 2026 NHL Stadium Series is here, and what a matchup it will be. The Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning hit the ice outdoors at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay. The second-ever outdoor game in Florida brings an amazing spectacle and an important Atlantic Division showdown we are here to provide a Bruins vs Lightning prediction.

The current team to beat in the NHL looks to be the Lightning, who are an astonishing 16-1-1 in their last 18 games and showing no signs of slowing down. They are heavy favorites in this game and I expect them to uphold that standard. The Bolts score at the second-highest pace in the league (3.46 per game), have the second-best penalty kill (84.6%), and the second-best goals against average (2.48 per game). Other than missing star forward Brayden Point and depth piece Charle-Edouard D’Astous, the team is healthy and extremely deep. Star defenseman Victor Hedman is expected to return to the Lightning lineup, which is a huge boost to an already elite lineup. The Lightning has also already showed they can take down this respectable Bruins team, after a 4-3 victory in October. In the bright lights in front of their home crowd, I see this as an opportunity the Lightning will not let go to waste. Let’s roll with Tampa Bay to win in regulation in the Stadium Series.

Bruins vs Lightning prediction: Tampa Bay 3-way ML (-135) available at time of publishing. Playable to -150.

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The Vegas Golden Knights are travelling to Anaheim to face the Ducks for the third time this season. In their previous two matchups, the teams combined for a total of 14 goals, so scoring shouldn’t be an issue tonight. Goaltending has been a concern for both teams, but it has been particularly troubling for Vegas. This season, four different goalies have made at least one start for them, and none has a save percentage above .900. Additionally, the Golden Knights are on a four-game losing streak and are playing the second game of a back-to-back.

The Ducks perform significantly better on home ice, boasting a record of 15 wins, 8 losses, and 1 overtime loss. However, injuries to Mason McTavish and Leo Carlsson have begun to impact the team, particularly on the defensive end. While Lukas Dostal has shown moments of brilliance, he has been overall disappointing this season. Both teams should create plenty of scoring opportunities tonight, which should lead to a high-scoring game.

Golden Knights vs Ducks Prediction: Over 6.5 (-120)  available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

This match-up between the Bulls and the Heat is starting to look like a playoff series. These two teams have seen each other twice in the past 3 days, they go at it one more time tonight less than 24 hours after their clash at the Kaseya Center. The venue doesn’t change for Sunday’s game, oddly enough the road team has triumphed in all 3 meetings so far this season. Chicago escaped with a win last night thanks to 3 players scoring 20+ points, led by Ayo Dosunmu who had an efficient 29 and 9 assists. The win stopped the bleeding for Chicago who had lost 3 straight going into that game, the question is can they beat the Heat in back-to-back games?

Miami is hoping to get Norman Powell back from injury, he missed Saturday’s game due to personal reasons and the Heat offense just isn’t the same without him. With him coming back things should look substantially better, Miami is 5 games over the .500 mark in games in which Powell plays, while without him they’ve been able to win just twice in 7 games total. With 15 wins in 24 home games you could say Miami has been a reliable bet at home, they also have a 13-11 ATS record in those 24 games. This team has nurtured a run and gun style of play all year long, when the long ball starts going in early they are hard to beat.

These two play a very similar style, they’ve split the two meetings in Chicago and Miami over the past few days. Miami leads the regular season series 2-1, I think it’s time a home team finally came out on top in this match-up. As favorites the Heat are 15-9 SU this season, I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt and back them to cover at home.

 Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Predictions: Heat -4 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

The Phoenix Suns have picked up 3 straight wins, which is a great achievement since Devin Booker is still unavailable and Jalen Green has been limited while returning from injury. They will now face a Los Angeles Clippers team that has picked up 8 wins over the last 10 games. The Suns have won 2 games against them so far this season but both of those games came in November. The visitors are a completely different team now in terms of their level of play. Over the last 10 games they have ranked seventh in net offensive and defensive rating. As a result, they will feel confident they can take down a Suns team that is missing so much of its firepower.

One of the reasons that the Clippers have been so successful is that they have been incredibly efficient, ranking sixth over the last 10 games in true shooting percentage. During that stretch the Suns are just 26th in opponent second-chance points per game, so even if they can force stops the Clippers will have a great chance to clean up their misses. Ivica Zubac is among the top 10 players in the league this season in offensive rebounds per game and will be well equipped to exploit that weakness. Look for the Clippers to continue their climb up the standings here and cover the spread in the process.

Clippers vs Suns prediction: Los Angeles -1 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.5.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers kicked off a 5-game road trip in Phoenix with a 126-113 loss as -2 favorites in Phoenix on Friday. While that was a bummer, they are still 4-1 SU across the past 5 games, including a 129-99 annihilation of the visiting Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. The Cavs are also 3-1 against the spread in the past 4 games while going 4-1 ATS in the past 5 outings on the road. The Cavs won 122-111 in Portland last season, cashing as a -6.5 favorite. In fact, Cleveland is 4-0 SU/ATS in the past 4 visits to PDX since January of 2022.

The Trail Blazers are coming off a 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS road trip through the Eastern Conference, wrapping up the trip Friday with a 127-97 beatdown by the New York Knicks. The Blazers have lost 4 in a row and they’re 1-3 ATS in that span. The bad news for the Blazers is that leading scorer Deni Avdija remains questionable due to a strained lower back. With Avdija shelved, this team has looked much different — and certainly not for the better. If he plays, the Cavs are still worth a look — but if he is ruled out, go a little more aggressively on Cleveland.

Cavaliers vs Trail Blazers prediction: Cleveland -2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -3.5.

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