Parlays

Saturday's college football parlay
Tomorrow
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
Army @ Navy · Money Line
Army Win
Our Analysis

The Midshipmen are ranked, 9-2 SU, and on the brink of winning a 10th game. Meanwhile, Army is 6-5 and lost to Tarleton State, an FCS team, earlier this year. However, this rivalry throws all of that out the window. Regardless of where either team goes from here, we can be rest assured of one thing: this is the Super Bowl for both the Black Knights and Midshipmen. What does that mean? You don’t want to be laying points in this one, period.

This is the type of game where Army can do more than just cover, the Black Knights can win. Navy’s offense? Indeed, it is like a video game come to life. Blake Horvath and company lead the nation in rushing yardage, and they boast a top-25 offense in scoring — averaging 32.5 points per game. The problem? Navy’s defense. The Mids give up nearly 400 yards of total offense per game (112th overall in the FBS), and they surrender 27 points per contest. By those numbers alone, Army will be in position to cover if Navy’s usuals play out. But, if Army is in position to cover here, that means they will also be in a position to win. Given the volatility of America’s Game, an underdog that is live is an underdog that can win. Black Knights outright with the upset.

Army vs Navy prediction: Army Black Knights ML (+205) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Boise State Broncos
Washington Huskies
Boise State @ Washington · Game Totals
Over 52.0
Our Analysis

After a long and eventful college football regular season, the most wonderful time of the year is finally here. Bowl season might not be as essential across the college football landscape as it once was, but it still presents bettors with a plethora of games to handicap and wager on. The first matchup of college football’s unofficial postseason features a couple of strong programs, as the Boise State Broncos will take on the Washington Huskies in the LA Bowl on Saturday. Both teams are expected to be mostly intact in this game, and we shouldn’t see either side impacted all that much by opt-outs and potential transfers. With that in mind, I’m going to eschew taking a side on the spread and focus on the total in this contest.

For starters, Washington has been able to work through its injuries over the last few months and the Huskies should be healthier coming off a bye week. Furthermore, it looks like Washington is motivated to play in this game, as star running back Jonah Coleman and future NFL wide receiver Denzel Boston should be in the lineup on Saturday. Head coach Jedd Fisch recently stated that he expects all of his starters to suit up in this game, outside of those with long-term injuries. With that in mind, this offense is extremely dangerous, especially with quarterback Demond Williams playing behind an offensive line should be healthy for the first time in well over a month. Washington has shown that it can score with anybody when healthy (5th in success rate, 15th in EPA per play, 17th in points per drive), and it shouldn’t face much resistance against a Boise State defense that is 117th in points per quality drive allowed and has struggled against the run all season long.

On the other side, the Broncos offense should be largely intact for this game — including quarterback Maddux Madsen and the dynamic running back trio of Dylan Riley, Sire Gaines and Malik Sherrod. Latrell Caples and Chris Marshall should be able to generate success on the outside against a Washington pass defense that has struggled when stepping up in class this season. Both of these teams don’t play at an extremely fast pace, but given that it is the final game for a lot of key contributors on both offenses, I can’t imagine either unit taking their foot off the gas in a spot where they’ll both have a favorable matchup against their opponent. With nothing troubling in the weather forecast on Saturday, this game should finish in the mid-50s. Let’s start off bowl season with plenty of points.

Boise State vs Washington prediction: Over 52 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 52.5.

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Thursday's NHL parlay
Yesterday
San Jose Sharks
Toronto Maple Leafs
SJ Sharks @ TOR Maple Leafs · Money Line 3-Way
TOR Maple Leafs Win
Our Analysis

The San Jose Sharks continue their road trip with a game against the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday. The Sharks have had difficulty generating offense on the road this season, averaging fewer than 24 shots on goal per game, and that number decreases even further when playing away from SAP Center. Besides Macklin Calabrini and Will Smith, the team’s offensive options are quite limited. This matchup could be very challenging for them.

The Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games, demonstrating their ability to score goals in quick succession. The return of some key players has certainly had a positive impact, and they have also benefited from strong goaltending. This combination has contributed to their recent victories. Additionally, Toronto has a solid home record, putting them in a favorable position to secure a win in regulation.

Sharks vs Maple Leafs prediction: Maple Leafs 3-Way ML (-135) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

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Montreal Canadiens
Pittsburgh Penguins
MTL Canadiens @ PIT Penguins · Money Line
PIT Penguins Win
Our Analysis

Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins host the historic Montreal Canadiens for a big matchup on Thursday in the NHL. This is the first of 3 matchups, all taking place within the next 10 days. These teams have performed similarly up to the point and each has its own tight battles within its respective divisions. To get you set for the action, here is our Canadiens vs. Penguins prediction.

The Canadiens are in need of a rebound, after losing 2 straight games and being outscored 10-4 (both on home ice). However, I think the challenge will be too tough in this game. Pittsburgh continues to look like a highly motivated group, as they are 2-0-2 in their last 4 with 2 shootout losses coming to very strong Western Conference teams (Dallas Stars and Anaheim Ducks). They continue to defy the expectations as a veteran-savvy team. On home ice, they should have lots of energy and extend to a 5-game point streak. For our Canadiens vs. Penguins prediction, take Pittsburgh on the money line.

Canadiens vs. Penguins prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins ML (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to (-130).

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Florida Panthers
Colorado Avalanche
FLA Panthers @ COL Avalanche · Puck Line
COL Avalanche -1.5
Our Analysis

The Florida Panthers have won 3 consecutive games and aim to extend their winning streak against the Avalanche. Although the Panthers haven’t had much success on the road, they’ve consistently found the net. The challenge tonight is doing something no team has managed this season: beating them in regulation on home ice. It will be a tough task, but the Avalanche won’t make it easy.

Colorado has a strong road trip, but when they play at home, their game reaches another level. They shoot the puck frequently, which has led to them scoring over 4 goals per game. Their penalty kill is above average, and their defensive play has been dependable all year. There aren’t many weaknesses on this team, and with their ability to score, they should be able to win by multiple goals.

Panthers vs Avalanche Prediction: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+115) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

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Thursday's NBA parlay
Yesterday
Boston Celtics
Milwaukee Bucks
BOS Celtics @ MIL Bucks · Point Spread
BOS Celtics -9.0
Our Analysis

The Boston Celtics come into this matchup with significant momentum and statistical advantages, even without Jayson Tatum (out rehabbing from an Achilles repair). Boston is around 15-9 on the season and has been strong on both ends of the court. Nobody expected this rise in the standings once they started 0-3. Jaylen Brown leads the club with about 29.1 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game, shooting nearly 50% from the field, while Derrick White and Payton Pritchard provide consistent scoring and playmaking. Their offense has been balanced and efficient, and recent defensive effort — especially in transition and on the perimeter — has been notably improved. That blend of scoring depth and defensive focus has helped Boston string together multiple key wins and take control of games, even without Tatum.

The Milwaukee Bucks have struggled to find consistency, sitting near 10-15 and battling through injuries and roster changes. The biggest blow has been Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is sidelined with a calf strain and expected to miss multiple weeks. Giannis was averaging roughly 28.9 points, 10.1 rebounds, and 6.1 assists before the injury, and his absence leaves a massive void on both ends. In his place, players like Ryan Rollins (around 16.7 PPG and 5.4 APG) have stepped up, but they haven’t matched Milwaukee’s traditional two way impact. Combined with some recent defensive lapses and inconsistent scoring production, the Bucks lack the firepower and matchup versatility to outpace a balanced Celtics attack. Given Boston’s superior scoring depth, healthier rotation, and overall form, Celtics −9 looks like the stronger play tonight.

Celtics vs Bucks prediction: Celtics -9 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -9.5.

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Portland Trail Blazers
New Orleans Pelicans
POR Trail Blazers @ NO Pelicans · Point Spread
POR Trail Blazers -4.5
Our Analysis

Having 3 days in between games should be good for the Portland Trail Blazers as they try to regain some of the form they had before this run of just 1 win in 6 games. Thursday’s game concludes a 5-game road trip, and from a confidence perspective, it would benefit the Blazers mightily if they can pull off a win here. The struggling Pels are the perfect opponent for them right now. Portland has won 4 of 5 meetings and has covered in 5 of 6, as well. On the road in New Orleans, they’re 4-2 SU in 6 visits. Jrue Holiday might still be out, but even without him, the Blazers are a decent shout here.

New Orleans has seemingly fallen into a hole from which, unfortunately, they just cannot come out of. The consistent injury issues just won’t go away, as Zion Williamson looks to be lost for at least 3 weeks. There just seems to be no good news on the horizon for this team. They’ve dropped 7 games in a row, and dating back to last season, their record in December is 0-14 SU in the last 14 games played. Rookie Derik Queen had a triple-double in their latest loss to San Antonio, but relying on a rookie unless he’s a once in a generation player won’t get you far in today’s NBA.

Almost a month ago, these teams met in New Orleans and the Blazers won 125-117 thanks to 35 points by Shaedon Sharpe. Portland led by as many as 15 in that game. It’s quite clear this match-up suits them so I’ll have a wager on the road team here.

Trail Blazers vs Pelicans prediction: Portland Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Denver Nuggets
Sacramento Kings
DEN Nuggets @ SAC Kings · Point Spread
DEN Nuggets -10.0
Our Analysis

The Denver Nuggets have won 10 straight games. They will look to make it 11 straight when they travel Thursday night to take on the Sacramento Kings. The Nuggets have an overall record of 17-6 and a road record of 11-2. They have won their last 3 games overall with their last win coming this past Sunday against the Charlotte Hornets 115-106. Jamal Murray led the Nuggets in scoring with 34 points on 14 of 25 shooting, and he averages 25 points per game this season.

The Kings have a record of 6-18 and are 3-7 on their home court. Sacramento has lost 5 of its last 6 games and are coming off a 116-105 loss against the Indiana Pacers. Russell Westbrook led the team in scoring with 24 points on 10 of 16 shooting. Westbrook averages 13.9 points, 7 rebounds, and 7.3 assists a game this season for the Kings. 

This will already be the 4th time these teams have played each other this season. The Nuggets currently lead the season series 2-1. The Nuggets defeated the Kings 130-124 on November 3rd and 122-108 on November 11th. The Kings got the best of the Nuggets in their last meeting on November 22nd, beating them 128-123. Westbrook led the Kings in scoring against his former team in 2 out of the 3 matchups, while Nikola Jokic dominated in all 3 by averaging 37.7 points per game. With Domantas Sabonis out of the lineup for Sacramento with an injury, Jokic may even be able to increase that number.

The Kings offense is not a unit I like to back. They rank 28th in the NBA in points per game at 111.4. The Kings also rank 28th in points differential at -10.6. With that number being right around tonight’s spread, and the Nuggets showing no signs of slowing down on their road winning streak, I like for the Nuggets to win and extend their streak tonight. 

Nuggets vs Kings prediction: Denver Nuggets -10 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF Same Game Parlay
SGP
Point Spread
TB Buccaneers -4.5
Game Totals
Over 43.5
Player Receiving Yards
B. Irving (TB) - Over 20.5 rec yds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5 over Atlanta Falcons (-105)

For the first leg of our Falcons vs Buccaneers Same Game Parlay, we’re going to be backing the home team laying the points. Tampa Bay has been quite poor in recent weeks, as the Bucs have dropped 4 of their last 5 games. Despite the fact that Todd Bowles’ team appears to be in the midst of a massive slide, this presents the Buccaneers with a nice bounce-back spot in a game where Tampa Bay should finally have the likes of Mike Evans and Tristan Wirfs back in the lineup.

It goes without saying that this should be the healthiest the Bucs offense has been in some time, and that should put them in position to succeed against a Falcons defense that is on the decline of late. I can only look toward the hosts on TNF.

Over 43.5 (-125)

This is an instance where I’m bullish on a higher-scoring game than what the market is expecting. On one side, the Buccaneers offense isn’t what it was earlier in the season, but Tampa Bay has a pretty favorable matchup on Thursday against an Atlanta defense that has been trending downward in recent weeks. In fact, the Falcons have surrendered 28 points per game over the last 7 weeks, and Atlanta has allowed 30 or more points in 4 of those contests.

On the other side, the Falcons offense has shown flashes of life with Kirk Cousins back at the helm in recent weeks, and Tampa Bay’s defense (20th in EPA per pass) just struggled against Tyler Shough and the anemic Saints offense a week ago. With that in mind, let’s roll with the over on TNF.

Bucky Irving over 20.5 receiving yards (-114)

Bucky Irving has dealt with a ton of injuries in his 2nd season in the NFL, and while the Buccaneers’ running back has struggled on the ground in his 6 games this season, he’s been very active in the passing game out of the backfield. Irving shouldn’t get as much of a workload on the ground given that this game is taking place on a short week and Rachaad White should split the carries in this matchup.

The Oregon product has been a consistent target for Mayfield in the passing game, with Irving racking up 23 receptions in his 6 games played this season to go along with 240 receiving yards. Irving has cleared this number in each of his last 5 games played, so let’s go back to that well on Thursday Night Football.

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