UFC Fight Night 276: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz Prediction for Saturday, 05/16/26

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 276 will see Malcolm Wellmaker take on Juan Diaz. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Wellmaker enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-1 and 3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.80 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Wellmaker absorbs 5.39 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 57%.

Diaz enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-1-1 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.82 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. Diaz absorbs 5.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 3.01 takedowns every 15 minutes, and has a takedown accuracy of 33%.

With this fight, we will be looking for it to end inside the distance. Wellmaker has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Diaz has seen his only UFC fight end inside the distance. Therefore, given that both fighters have shown a high finish recently, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our lean.