UFC Fight Night 276: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz Prediction

UFC Fight Night 276: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz Prediction for Saturday, 05/16/26

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Sat May 16
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UFC Fight Night 276: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz Pickswise Expert Predictions

Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - No(-220)

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 276 will see Malcolm Wellmaker take on Juan Diaz. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Wellmaker enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-1 and 3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.80 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Wellmaker absorbs 5.39 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 57%.

Diaz enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-1-1 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.82 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. Diaz absorbs 5.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 3.01 takedowns every 15 minutes, and has a takedown accuracy of 33%.

With this fight, we will be looking for it to end inside the distance. Wellmaker has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Diaz has seen his only UFC fight end inside the distance. Therefore, given that both fighters have shown a high finish recently, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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