Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli French Open Tennis Men’s Singles Final Predictions, Picks & Best Bets: Can Cobolli keep it close?

The French Open wraps up on Sunday with the men’s singles final between Alexander Zverev and Flavio Cobolli. Regardless of the outcome, a first-time Grand Slam champion will emerge. Heck, no former slam champ even reached the round of 16. 

I went a perfect 3-0 on the women’s singles final between Mirra Andreeva and Maja Chwalinska, so let’s keep the momentum going as we take a look at the best French Open bets to make on the Day 15 schedule.   

Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli Over 36.5 games (-120)  

Is it finally time for Zverev? The 29-year-old has long held “best player to never win a major” status, losing 3 Grand Slam finals and consistently finding himself ranked in the top 3 despite being unable to claim any of the biggest trophies. For the first time in his career, however, Zverev is a heavy favorite in a slam final. It’s not Carlos Alcaraz (French Open 2024) or Jannik Sinner (Australian Open 2025) standing in his way. It’s not even Dominic Thiem (U.S. Open 2020). It’s Cobolli, who is #14 in the world and had previously never advanced to a slam semi. All of that means Zverev should take care of business – but it also means the pressure on him could not be greater. The #3 seed dropped a set against both Quentin Halys (third round) and Jakub Mensik (semifinals), both times getting tight briefly after taking the first 2 sets of those matches. There is no reason to think that he will suddenly close out the biggest opportunity of his career without at least running into some kind of stumbling block. Moreover, Cobolli could not be more physically and mentally rested after getting a semifinal walkover from an ill Matteo Arnaldi. Neither Zverev nor Coblli is very easy to break, so at least 1 tiebreaker can be expected. As long as the final goes to a fourth set, it should sail over 36.5. 

Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli Under 8.5 service breaks (-120) 

At first glance, it might seem like this play goes against Over 36.5. After all, more total games means more chances to break. Remember, though, we are not asking for a marathon with a 36.5 number. We are just asking for any kind of relatively competitive match. There is no reason why the number of service breaks can't be kept to a minimum even over the course of 4 sets, for example. Zverev is serving at a awesome level so far at Roland Garros -- 72 percent of his first serves in play and only 7 times losing serve through 6 rounds. Despite serving at just 58 percent during this tournament, Cobolli has been broken only 10 times through 5 matches. Zverev leads the head-to-head series 3-1; in his last 2 wins over Cobolli, the 24-year-old has failed to break serve a single time. 

Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli Under 6.5 double-faults (-125)  

Yes, big pressure can obviously lead to double-faults -- but it shouldn't matter in this case. A 6.5 number is sizable, and it's one that Zverev and Cobolli should stay under. If Zverev continues to serve above of 70 percent like he has pretty much all fortnight long, his second-serve volume -- and in turn his opportunities for double-faults -- will naturally be reduced. The German has struck just 14 double-faults in 6 matches. Cobolli has double-faulted only 12 times through 5 rounds even though he has served at a meager 58 percent. In other words, the world #14 is mostly avoiding double-faults even though he is being forced to hit a lot of second serves. For the tournament as a whole, both Zverev and Cobolli are averaging fewer than 2.5 doubles per match.