Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 06/02/26

The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles have both won 2 games in a row entering this game, but the home team is hoping that Fenway Park can bring them some good luck this week, as they sit last in the American League East, two games back of their opponent. The Orioles send Shane Baz to the mound to attempt to pad their cushion and climb closer to the third-place Toronto Blue Jays, while the Red Sox counter with Connelly Early.

There will be no shortage of confidence for Baz entering this game after his last couple of starts, where he faced his old team, the Tampa Bay Rays, in both and allowed just 9 hits and 2 earned runs over 13 innings. With Baz giving up some hard contact, the Rays were a team that sits near the bottom of the league in those categories, and the Red Sox could similarly struggle to take advantage.

Early is coming off a 7-inning scoreless gem where he allowed just 4 hits. He has been a consistent presence for Boston this season, owning a 2.95 ERA and allowing more than three earned runs in just one of his 11 starts. While the ERA looks great, his xERA is a 4.63, showing that his occasional control issues and lack of strikeout ability put him in line to take on some damage. The Orioles aren’t in the upper echelon of dangerous offensive teams, but they sit near the top 10 in most categories, including xwOBA, which could expose Early’s weaknesses.

Orioles vs Red Sox prediction: Orioles ML (+120) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number. 

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