Chicago Cubs vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/09/26

I favor the over on the posted game total in Saturday’s matchup between the Texas Rangers and the Chicago Cubs. The side seems correctly priced with Chicago favored from -135 to -140 in the market at the time of publishing. Their offense should find success in this spot as they take on Jack Leiter of the Rangers. Leiter enters play with a 5.45 ERA in his first 38 innings of work. His 4.87 xERA and 4.45 FIP are better, but still undesirable marks. He ranks just 25th percentile in hard-hit rate and 8th percentile in barrel rate this season. Chicago enters Saturday sitting 5th in wOBA with a 118 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.

Edward Cabrera is set to start this game for the Cubs. He is my preferred starter in this game, but I am still not overly fond of his form. Cabrera has allowed 5 home runs across his last 3 starts. They have combined for just 9 earned runs, but that now makes 5 consecutive starts with exactly 3 earned runs allowed for the right-hander. Texas also has a 103 wRC+ against righties this season and I expect them to contribute towards the over.

Chicago Cubs vs Texas Rangers prediction: Over 8.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to -110 odds.