Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 06/01/26

The Washington Nationals demolished right-handed pitching during the month of May. Across May they ranked 4th in wOBA with a 121 wRC+, posting a top 10 hard-hit rate and a bottom 10 strikeout rate. Washington will face off against Sandy Alcantara on Monday as they begin their series with the Miami Marlins. Alcantara is in poor form, having allowed 14 earned runs in his last 2 starts and a 7.39 ERA across May as a whole. In those last 2 starts he has surrendered 5 home runs to the Braves and Blue Jays. He has been at his worst away from home this season, posting a 6.07 ERA across 29.2 innings of work.

Cade Cavalli enters this matchup in better form than his counterpart. Cavalli made 5 starts in May, tossing 29 innings with a 3.41 ERA. His last 3 outings were all quality starts including 6 innings of 1-run ball against the Guardians in his last start. Cavalli presents the Nationals with a solid chance to win each start, and his underlying metrics support his success with a 3.96 xERA and even better 3.01 FIP. Miami ranked just 26th in wOBA with an 82 wRC+ against righties in May and I side with Washington in this game.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction: Nationals ML (-142) available at time of publishing. Playable to -155 odds.