Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/17/26

Both the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins have struggled heading into this three-game series. The Brewers have lost six of their last 10, averaging 3.9 runs per game while supporting a 4.65 ERA. For the Marlins, they’ve lost seven of their last 10, averaging the same 3.9 runs per game while holding a 4.19 team ERA. As the Brewers look to get back on track, they’ll be handing the ball over to the rookie, Robert Gasser who will be making his first start of the season. In spring training, Gasser allowed 14 hits, giving up seven runs and striking out 14 in 12.1 innings pitched. For the Marlins, Janson Junk will be looking for his first win of the season, entering with a 0-2 record and a 4.32 ERA through three starts. 

Despite their recent struggles, the Brewers still hold a 10-8 record and have shown signs of improvement on the mound, allowing just two earned runs over their last two games against Toronto. While the offense hasn’t been firing on all cylinders, this is still a dangerous lineup. William Contreras who is batting .317, Christian Yelich batting .314, and Brice Turand hitting .300 – plenty of production to challenge Junk in this matchup. The Marlins are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season compared to the Brewers 5.1, and they do hold a slight edge in the bullpen with a 3.30 ERA versus the Brewers 4.00. Still, the overall lineup advantage sits with the Brewers. While there’s a question mark around Gasser and how he’ll perform in his first major league start this season, I think Milwaukee has what it takes to get to Junk early and pick up a convincing win, making them my best bet of the day. 

Brewers vs Marlins prediction: Brewers ML (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.