Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/17/26

Both the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins have struggled heading into this 3-game series. The Brewers have lost 6 of their last 10, averaging 3.9 runs per game while supporting a 4.65 ERA. For the Marlins, they’ve lost 7 of their last 10, averaging the same 3.9 runs per game while holding a 4.19 team ERA. As the Brewers look to get back on track, they’ll be handing the ball over to the rookie Robert Gasser, who will be making his first start of the season. In spring training, Gasser allowed 14 hits, giving up 7 runs and striking out 14 in 12.1 innings pitched. For the Marlins, Janson Junk will be looking for his first win of the season, entering with a 0-2 record and a 4.32 ERA through 3 starts. 

Despite their recent struggles, the Brewers still hold a 10-8 record and have shown signs of improvement on the mound, allowing just 2 earned runs over their last 2 games against Toronto. While the offense hasn’t been firing on all cylinders, this is still a dangerous lineup, as William Contreras (.317), Christian Yelich (.314) and Brice Turand (.300) offer plenty of production to challenge Junk in this matchup. The Marlins are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season compared to the Brewers 5.1, and they hold a slight edge in the bullpen with a 3.30 ERA versus the Brewers’ 4.00. Still, the overall lineup advantage sits with the Brewers.

While there’s a question mark around Gasser and how he’ll perform in his first major league start this season, Milwaukee has what it takes to get to Junk early and pick up a convincing win.

Brewers vs Marlins prediction: Milwaukee Brewers ML (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number.

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