Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/09/26

The Washington National and Miami Marlins face off with an interesting matchup on the mound in Game 2 of the weekend series. Zack Littell (7.24 ERA, 1.61 WHIP) starts for the Nats while Janson Junk (2.82 ERA, 1.04 WHIP) gets the nod for the hosts. Frankly, Littell has been statistically one of the worst starting pitchers, if not the worst, in major league baseball in 2026; he posts a 8.37 xERA and is in the 10th percentile or worse in pitching run value, xERA, xBA, strikeout rate and practically every other relevant stat for a starting pitcher. 

His counterpart Junk is on the opposite side of the spectrum; the Marlins’ RHP has surrendered only 1 earned run over his last 16.1 innings of work. The Marlins haven’t been on the best stretch of offensive production here lately, but still sit 12th in MLB with a 103 wRC+ mark against right-handed pitchers like Littell. I’m taking the bullpens out of this one and fading Littell at all costs due to his recent lack of production; I’ve got the Marlins covering the first 5 innings run line.

Nationals vs Marlins prediction: Marlins First 5 innings -0.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable up to -120.

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