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Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and NBA Playoffs Game 2 Picks for Today, 04/20/26

Ball ArenaNBC
Timberwolves
Timberwolves
Today
Nuggets
Nuggets
WLWWL
Last 5
WWWWW
0-1Record1-0
39-44-0ATS Record45-38-0
37-46O/U Record50-33
Denver Nuggets

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
MIN Timberwolves +6.5(-105)

Favorites dominated across Game 1 in the first round of the NBA Playoffs, as the favorite won and covered in 6 of the 8 games. If you believe that these trends could zig-zag and underdogs could have a better showing in Game 2, this game is one that you may want circled. The Denver Nuggets defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves 116-105 in Game 1 behind 30 points from Jamal Murray. The Timberwolves got off to a fast start in this game with an early double digit lead, but Denver eventually found their footing and broke this game open in their favor in the third quarter. It was a typical home playoff performance where Denver’s role players, with the benefit of their home arena, outplayed Minnesota’s role players. Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr, and Bruce Brown went a combined 5-9 from deep, making up for Murray’s 0-8 shooting from downtown. Murray benefitted from a beneficial whistle in this game with 16 of his 30 points coming from the free throw line.

Minnesota has the pieces to beat Denver in Game 2, but the Timberwolves will need the referees to allow them to play a more physical style of defense than they allowed in Game 1. That physical defense was the formula in the 2024 postseason to slow down Murray, as the Kentucky product averaged a career-playoff-low in that series with only 18.4 points per game on 40% shooting. If you remember, Murray was so frustrated by Minnesota’s physical defense that he threw a heating pad on the floor during play. With fewer trips to the line, Murray’s Game 1 would have fit in line with his 2024 performances. With that in mind, the Timberwolves once again come out aggressive defensively in this one with their backs against the wall. I’ll back the Timberwolves and take the points tonight on the road.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction: Timberwolves +6.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to +5.5.

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Ben Dezell
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Ben Dezell

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Game Totals

The Under is 4-1 in the Timberwolves' last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.

Point Spread

The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 matchups against Western Conference teams.

Money Line

The Nuggets have won 6 straight divisional matchups.

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