Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/28/26
Frost Bank CenterNBC
1-3
Trail Blazers
Today
3-1
Spurs
Trail Blazers vs Spurs Pickswise Expert Predictions
Game Totals Pick
Under 215.5(-110)
Reasoning
This has been a fascinating series to this point, and the past couple of games in Portland have seen tremendous swings in momentum, as the Spurs have rallied from massive deficits in each of the last 2 games en route to a pair of road victories to secure total control of this series. San Antonio was able to knock off the Trail Blazers without the services of Victor Wembanyama in Game 3, and the French superstar returned to the court in a major way in Game 4 with 27 points and 12 rebounds while recording 7 blocks and 4 steals in the victory. Wembanyama should control the paint and severely limit the Trail Blazers offense once again in Game 5, but there is a path for Portland to keep this game respectable, and it comes on the defensive side of the ball.
Traditionally, close-out games are difficult for any team, and that should especially be true for a Spurs side that is in their first playoff series as a collective unit. Furthermore, every game in this series has been within single digits in the second half, and there’s a good reason for that. After all, the Trail Blazers are an above-average defense and they have proven to be a somewhat formidable opponent for this San Antonio offense. As long as the Spurs don’t have a super hot shooting game from beyond the arc, it’s hard to see the Spurs getting to 120 points in a game that should feature a fewer possession count and a higher level of defensive intensity from the visitors. On the other side of the ball, we know the kind of defense that San Antonio will bring with a fully healthy Wembanyama and the likes of Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell and Dylan Harper on the perimeter. With that in mind, let’s roll with the under on Tuesday.
Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction: Under 215.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 215.
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