2022 NFL preview: Houston Texans Super Bowl odds, predictions & best bets

Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

NFL

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

The Houston Texans have been the laughing stock of the NFL over the past two seasons. In addition to a combined 8-25 record during this stretch, they dealt with the Deshaun Watson fiasco and are also on their fourth head coach – including an interim – dating back to 2019.

When are the Texans going to turn things around? They certainly aren’t expected to do so in 2022 even though there has been a fair amount of changes in terms of both player personnel and the coaching staff. Will Houston defy the odds and make considerable improvements following their 4-13 record in 2021? Let’s break down the team as this NFL season approaches.

Houston Texans breakdown

2021 record: 4-13

2021 ATS record: 8-9

2021 O/U record: 8-9

Key players in: Jerry Hughes (DE), Mario Addison (DE), Steven Nelson (CB), Marlon Mack (RB), A.J. Cann (G), Kyle Allen (QB)

Key players out: Deshaun Watson (QB), Tyrod Taylor (QB), David Johnson (RB), Marcus Cannon (OT), Terrance Mitchell (CB)

2022 NFL Draft class: Derek Stingley Jr. (CB), Kenyon Green (G), Jalen Pitre (S), John Metchie III (WR), Christian Harris (LB), Dameon Pierce (RB), Thomas Booker (DT), Teagan Quitoriano (TE), Austin Deculus (OT)

Houston Texans 2022 NFL season odds

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

Houston Texans Super Bowl odds

The Texans are +25000 to win Super Bowl LVII, which has them in dead last in the entire NFL. The Atlanta Falcons have the next-longest odds at +20000.

Houston Texans AFC Championship odds

Houston is +13000 to triumph in the AFC – also the longest shot in the conference. No other team is anywhere close to that number; the New York Jets are second to last at +7500.

Houston Texans AFC South odds

At +3000, the Texans are the longshots in the AFC South. The Indianapolis Colts are -135 favorites, while the Tennessee Titans are +170 and the Jacksonville Jaguars are +800.

Houston Texans win total odds

The Texans’ win quota is 4.5 games. Under 4.5 is a slight -120 favorite, while the over comes with +100 odds. As for making the playoffs, Houston is +1600. It is -3500 to miss the playoffs.

Head to our NFL Odds page for odds on all the main NFL betting markets

Houston Texans Schedule 2022

vs Indianapolis Colts, September 11
at Denver Broncos, September 18
at Chicago Bears, September 25

vs Los Angeles Chargers, October 2
at Jacksonville Jaguars, October 9
BYE
at Las Vegas Raiders, October 23
vs Tennessee Titans, October 30

vs Philadelphia Eagles, November 3
at New York Giants, November 13
vs Washington Commanders, November 20
at Miami Dolphins, November 27

vs Cleveland Browns, December 4
at Dallas Cowboys, December 11
vs Kansas City Chiefs, December 18
at Tennessee Titans, December 24

vs Jacksonville Jaguars, January 1
at Indianapolis Colts, January 8

We’ll have NFL picks for EVERY matchup of the 2022 season

Houston Texans 2021 season recap

Even with one extra game – as the NFL expanded its schedule from 17 weeks to 18 – the Texans were still unable to improve on their 4-win mark from 2020. They capitalized on a season opener against Jacksonville to start 1-0, but that was promptly followed by an 8-game losing streak heading into their bye week. For all intents and purposes the season was over at that point, but Houston didn’t tank for the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft and picked up 3 wins down the stretch – over the Jaguars again and somehow at the expense of the Titans and Chargers. Texans QBs threw almost as many interceptions (15) as TD passes (21) and the team scored a grand total of 8 rushing touchdowns. Their defense wasn’t any good, either, finishing second-to-last in yards allowed and 6th-to-last in the scoring department.

Read our Super Bowl 57 predictions and best bets, including a +4500 longshot

Houston Texans 2022 NFL season predictions

The Texans’ offseason was largely considered a success based on their draft and free-agent acquisitions – albeit mostly minor in stature. But this franchise would have had to make major moves in order in inspire confidence on the heels of disastrous years in 2020 and 2021. Davis Mills is not a long-term answer at quarterback, nor does he have particular impressive weapons around him for help. The defense has undergone plenty of changes – which is a good thing – but can Derek Stingley make the kind of immediate impact necessary for the whole unit to make a quantum leap? Probably not. With the Watson saga over and a head coach in Lovie Smith who will presumably last longer than one season, the Texans could be going in a better direction… but that isn’t saying a lot.

Best bet: Houston Texans under 4.5 wins (-120)

In the first 7 weeks of the year, the Texans’ only home games are against the Colts and Chargers. To say that isn’t good news would be a gross understatement. They also have the Cowboys, Chiefs and Colts (again) down the stretch. Stingley and a couple of other acquisitions may make the defense a bit better (how could it be worse?), but the offense figures to be one of the most hapless in football yet again. Houston has stayed under this number in each of the past 2 years and it will likely remain under it at least once more – perhaps even with some room to spare.

Houston Texans season record predictions

There is no reason to think the Texans are going to be an improved football team in 2022. Although the Titans may be worse they should still be good for a series sweep, and the Jaguars will likely be better so two of the easier games on Houston’s schedule will suddenly get tougher. As such, 3-14 is the prediction.

Find out which QBs we’re targeting for our NFL MVP best bets

Pickswise is the home of free expert NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Be sure to check out all of our season previews and NFL Futures Bets leading up to the 2022 NFL season.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet on Colts vs. Broncos!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5+ on Colts or Broncos ML, Get $200 If Your Team Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game ML in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet on Colts vs. Broncos

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets on Colts vs. Broncos

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply