2022 NFL preview: Houston Texans Super Bowl odds, predictions & best bets

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Ricky Dimon


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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

The Houston Texans have been the laughing stock of the NFL over the past two seasons. In addition to a combined 8-25 record during this stretch, they dealt with the Deshaun Watson fiasco and are also on their fourth head coach – including an interim – dating back to 2019.

When are the Texans going to turn things around? They certainly aren’t expected to do so in 2022 even though there has been a fair amount of changes in terms of both player personnel and the coaching staff. Will Houston defy the odds and make considerable improvements following their 4-13 record in 2021? Let’s break down the team as this NFL season approaches.

Houston Texans breakdown

2021 record: 4-13

2021 ATS record: 8-9

2021 O/U record: 8-9

Key players in: Jerry Hughes (DE), Mario Addison (DE), Steven Nelson (CB), Marlon Mack (RB), A.J. Cann (G), Kyle Allen (QB)

Key players out: Deshaun Watson (QB), Tyrod Taylor (QB), David Johnson (RB), Marcus Cannon (OT), Terrance Mitchell (CB)

2022 NFL Draft class: Derek Stingley Jr. (CB), Kenyon Green (G), Jalen Pitre (S), John Metchie III (WR), Christian Harris (LB), Dameon Pierce (RB), Thomas Booker (DT), Teagan Quitoriano (TE), Austin Deculus (OT)

Houston Texans 2022 NFL season odds

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

Houston Texans Super Bowl odds

The Texans are +25000 to win Super Bowl LVII, which has them in dead last in the entire NFL. The Atlanta Falcons have the next-longest odds at +20000.

Houston Texans AFC Championship odds

Houston is +13000 to triumph in the AFC – also the longest shot in the conference. No other team is anywhere close to that number; the New York Jets are second to last at +7500.

Houston Texans AFC South odds

At +3000, the Texans are the longshots in the AFC South. The Indianapolis Colts are -135 favorites, while the Tennessee Titans are +170 and the Jacksonville Jaguars are +800.

Houston Texans win total odds

The Texans’ win quota is 4.5 games. Under 4.5 is a slight -120 favorite, while the over comes with +100 odds. As for making the playoffs, Houston is +1600. It is -3500 to miss the playoffs.

Head to our NFL Odds page for odds on all the main NFL betting markets

Houston Texans Schedule 2022

vs Indianapolis Colts, September 11
at Denver Broncos, September 18
at Chicago Bears, September 25

vs Los Angeles Chargers, October 2
at Jacksonville Jaguars, October 9
at Las Vegas Raiders, October 23
vs Tennessee Titans, October 30

vs Philadelphia Eagles, November 3
at New York Giants, November 13
vs Washington Commanders, November 20
at Miami Dolphins, November 27

vs Cleveland Browns, December 4
at Dallas Cowboys, December 11
vs Kansas City Chiefs, December 18
at Tennessee Titans, December 24

vs Jacksonville Jaguars, January 1
at Indianapolis Colts, January 8

We’ll have NFL picks for EVERY matchup of the 2022 season

Houston Texans 2021 season recap

Even with one extra game – as the NFL expanded its schedule from 17 weeks to 18 – the Texans were still unable to improve on their 4-win mark from 2020. They capitalized on a season opener against Jacksonville to start 1-0, but that was promptly followed by an 8-game losing streak heading into their bye week. For all intents and purposes the season was over at that point, but Houston didn’t tank for the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft and picked up 3 wins down the stretch – over the Jaguars again and somehow at the expense of the Titans and Chargers. Texans QBs threw almost as many interceptions (15) as TD passes (21) and the team scored a grand total of 8 rushing touchdowns. Their defense wasn’t any good, either, finishing second-to-last in yards allowed and 6th-to-last in the scoring department.

Read our Super Bowl 57 predictions and best bets, including a +4500 longshot

Houston Texans 2022 NFL season predictions

The Texans’ offseason was largely considered a success based on their draft and free-agent acquisitions – albeit mostly minor in stature. But this franchise would have had to make major moves in order in inspire confidence on the heels of disastrous years in 2020 and 2021. Davis Mills is not a long-term answer at quarterback, nor does he have particular impressive weapons around him for help. The defense has undergone plenty of changes – which is a good thing – but can Derek Stingley make the kind of immediate impact necessary for the whole unit to make a quantum leap? Probably not. With the Watson saga over and a head coach in Lovie Smith who will presumably last longer than one season, the Texans could be going in a better direction… but that isn’t saying a lot.

Best bet: Houston Texans under 4.5 wins (-120)

In the first 7 weeks of the year, the Texans’ only home games are against the Colts and Chargers. To say that isn’t good news would be a gross understatement. They also have the Cowboys, Chiefs and Colts (again) down the stretch. Stingley and a couple of other acquisitions may make the defense a bit better (how could it be worse?), but the offense figures to be one of the most hapless in football yet again. Houston has stayed under this number in each of the past 2 years and it will likely remain under it at least once more – perhaps even with some room to spare.

Houston Texans season record predictions

There is no reason to think the Texans are going to be an improved football team in 2022. Although the Titans may be worse they should still be good for a series sweep, and the Jaguars will likely be better so two of the easier games on Houston’s schedule will suddenly get tougher. As such, 3-14 is the prediction.

Find out which QBs we’re targeting for our NFL MVP best bets

Pickswise is the home of free expert NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Be sure to check out all of our season previews and NFL Futures Bets leading up to the 2022 NFL season.

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