Best MLB player prop bet for today 6/5: Good spot for Logan Gilbert

Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Logan Gilbert (36) walks off the field at the end of the fifth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at T-Mobile Park.
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The Oakland Athletics continue to whiff on pitches at an alarming rate, and with their current plate discipline they are a team I am looking to attack in the strikeout prop department for the foreseeable future. Today they face off against the Seattle Mariners and Logan Gilbert, a pitcher with a ton of strikeout upside. Let’s dive into our best MLB player props for Wednesday, June 5, as we look to build on our 8-1 run! You can also find out our MLB picks for today’s games.

Logan Gilbert over 5.5 strikeouts recorded (-170)

Odds available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing. Risking 0.63u.

Logan Gilbert over 6.5 strikeouts recorded (+124)

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. Risking 0.37u.

In total, we are betting a unit on Logan Gilbert to record over 6 strikeouts, as we would get our money back if he lands exactly on 6 punchouts. The Seattle Mariners’ right-hander has been a steady presence in their starting rotation for several seasons now and today I am looking to back him in an advantageous matchup. The Oakland Athletics’ bats are displaying rather horrid plate discipline metrics at the moment, and right-handed starting pitchers have been feasting in the K department of late. Across the last 30 days of play, Oakland boasts the league’s 3rd-highest K% at 26.6%. In that span alone, 16 right-handers have accrued 6 or more strikeouts against this lineup, including each of the last 13 non-openers. Among those last 13, 10 of them have recorded 7 or more strikeouts which would cash our bet tonight.

I backed George Kirby against this lineup yesterday despite Kirby’s poor road splits and underwhelming strikeout totals overall. Kirby was able to produce 8 punch outs in just 5 innings of work, clearing his 5.5 mark in the 3rd inning. Gilbert enters this game having recorded 5 or fewer Ks in 4 of his last 5 outings and only 27 strikeouts in 36.1 combined innings during the month of May. His opponents had a lot to do with the decreased strikeout rate, however, as Gilbert saw a tough slate of K-averse lineups. In that span, he saw the Astros twice, the Twins, Royals, Yankees and Nationals. All of those teams are in the bottom 13 of K% against righties within the last month.

Gilbert’s season-long strikeout production is still impressive, ranking in the 73rd percentile with his 12.8% swinging strike rate. Only once in his last 7 starts has his swinging strike rate dipped below 11.0%. His 67.3% first-pitch strike rate should play well against an Oakland lineup with the league’s 11th-lowest first-pitch swing rate. In the last 30 days, Oakland has the 9th-lowest swing rate overall. This combined with their hefty swinging strike rate has resulted in the 2nd highest CSW% in MLB during that span. There are numerous strikeout targets in this lineup and with Gilbert’s outs line at 18.5, he should have numerous chances to find K’s.

Head to FanDuel Sportsbook to bet on our Logan Gilbert player prop pick, where new users can INSTANTLY receive $150 in bonus bets when they sign up right now and make a first wager of just $5! Click here to join FanDuel and secure some bonus bets.

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