Best MLB player prop for Thursday's slate: Giants to pay the Price

David Price MLB player prop
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John Hyslop


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You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

Clear your schedules, people. I know what we’re doing today. It all begins and ends when the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants square off at 3:45pm ET on MLB Network. It’s hard to imagine a better way to end the work day than by gambling and that’s what we’re doing. It just makes sense. The MLB player prop market is giving us an absolute gift and it’s one that we simply can’t pass up. Our hands are tied on this one.

On top of this article, you should definitely check out our experts’ picks on all of the MLB action today. It’s just a smart thing to do. Also, bets can be added to the card (especially a MLB player prop when lineups are announced), so why not follow me on Twitter in case we get some last-second action?

David Price over 3.5 strikeouts (-130)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

If you read my posts regularly then you know I absolutely hate going as high as -130 on a MLB player prop. Today we just have to though because I think the number is that good. I’m looking at DraftKings for this one because FanDuel has this number at 4.5 for -110. Obviously DraftKings is the shop for Price today.

Price hasn’t been great since becoming a starter but he’s been good enough. He’s thrown more than 60 pitches only twice this season and both times he reached the 4 strikeout plateau. What’s impressive is both starts were against the Colorado Rockies, who don’t strike out much. In fact, only 8 teams have struck out less on the season. The same cannot be said for Price’s opponent today, the San Francisco Giants.

In the last seven days only two teams have struck out more than the Giants. One of those teams, the Atlanta Braves, had 82 more at-bats than San Francisco. In that span the Giants are whiffing at an absurdly bad 34.2%, so they are the exact type of team to target.

Price fanned 5 Giants in a spot start that only lasted 2.2 innings in May. He only faced 8 batters that day and none of his victims were pitchers, which is promising. It’s good to know he can get the ‘real’ guys because the opposing pitcher today, Johnny Cueto, doesn’t strike out much (only 7 in 28 plate appearances). This is my favorite MLB player prop of the day.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants

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