Best MLB prop bet for today 9/23: Brady Singer shines against Seattle

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Read below to see the props I am eyeing up on Friday’s MLB slate.

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Brady Singer (KC) over 4.5 strikeouts (-140) (0.5u)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -145. 

Brady Singer has been a constant bright spot for the Kansas City Royals this season. The 18th overall pick in the 2018 MLB draft has shown why he was so highly regarded, especially in the 2nd half of the season. Singer is 9-4 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.14 WHIP but has been very good in the strikeout department as well. He ranks in the 58th percentile in K%, having recorded 5 or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 18 starts made. Singer is efficient as he ranks 85th percentile in BB% and records a strikeout every 15.98 pitches thrown. His last 2 starts have resulted in 13 innings of scoreless ball while clearing this line in both starts. He has thrown 88 or more pitches in 15 consecutive starts and that type of consistency is what I love to see.

Possibly my favorite aspect of this play is Singer’s called strike plus whiff rate. He ranks in the 77th percentile in that category and has the 2nd-highest percentage of his strikes from looking strikes of all qualifying pitchers. 35.3% of Singer’s strikeouts come from a looking 3rd strike which ranks as the 5th-highest mark among qualifying pitchers. He has a skillful ability to bring a pitch back onto the plate that was out of the zone for seemingly 90% of its path to home. He often makes batters foolish with backdoor pitches and his matchup tonight is ideal for his skillset.

Seattle batters rank behind only the Angels and Padres in terms of the percentage of their strikeouts that have come from a looking 3rd strike. Their strikeout rate against right-handed pitching in the last month overall is rather poor as well. The Mariners rank 10th-worst in K% against RHB in the last 30 days at 24.3%. This includes 22 strikeouts combined from the last 3 right-handed starters they have faced including 6 from James Kaprielian and Michael Lorenzen each. The Royals’ bullpen is far from rested and Singer should once again see around 90 pitches in this game, which should be more than enough to cover this line.

Be sure to check out our full Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals predictions

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