Best NBA player prop bets for today, 3/16: Gordon and Dinwiddie get it going early
First quarter NBA player props have consumed my mind in the last week. Watching “your guy” from tip to when he usually gets pulled for a sub can be the greatest sweat. Tonight, we have a small 5-game slate during the NCAA mens basketball tournament headlined by playoff teams facing off against “tanking teams”. Keep in mind when taking overs that your player may only see 3 quarters of action due to a blowout.
Let’s dive into my favorite 1st quarter NBA player prop bet in the Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons game and for the rest of the slate.
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Aaron Gordon, DEN, Over 4.5 1st quarter points (-110)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Aaron Gordon sees his most action in the 1st quarter and makes sure to make his statement in the game early. He averages over 8 minutes in the starting frame and attempts over 3 field goal attempts, by far his most action in any quarter.
The Nuggets are struggling at the moment which has caused back-to-back MVP winner Nikola Jokic to lose his MVP ground to Joel Embiid. They’ve dropped their last 4 games but still have a steady lead for the #1 seed in the Western Conference. Gordon will look to jumpstart the offense tonight against the Pistons, who allow the 5th most points in the 1st quarter and will be sure to find themselves in the top 3 in the NBA lottery. The Pistons have allowed over 30 points to start the game in 3 straight and will no doubt struggle to contain this loaded starting 5 from Denver.
The high-flying Gordon has scored at least 5 points in the opening frame in 4 of his last 5 and is coming off attempting 6 shots in his last game.
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Spencer Dinwiddie, BKN, Over 2.5 1st quarter assists (-111)
Line available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Other than Mikal Bridges, nobody has thrived more in the Nets offense than Spencer Dinwiddie since the Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving trade. Dinwiddie has exceeded over a 25% usage rate in the last 5 games which has cashed this bet in 4 of them. He’s dished out a whopping 5 assists in the 1st quarter in 3 of those games and is fresh off 7 assists in the opening frame on Tuesday.
The Brooklyn Nets will battle the surging Sacramento Kings, who are a win away from taking sole position of the 2 seed in the Western Conference. The Kings want to get out and run early with All-Star De’Aaron Fox running the show. They rank in the top 10 in pace which results in them allowing the 3rd most points in the 1st quarter.
Dinwiddie has showcased his passing ability as a whole since the all-star break. In his last 10 games, he’s averaging over 16 assist opportunities and is over this line in 7 of them. This game will feature fireworks from the start with a projected 60 points in the 1st quarter. Look for Dinwiddie to be the catalyst of the Nets offensive production early.
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