Best player prop bets for Tuesday’s NBA slate: LeBron to lead with A.D. out

Lebron James Playing Against Magic
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

NBA· 1 year ago

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

It’s LeBron James’ team now that Los Angeles Lakers big man Anthony Davis is sidelined by an Achilles’ injury. Of course, it’s always LeBron’s team no matter the circumstances; that fact is simply ameliorated by Davis’ absence. The Lakers will try to get back in gear when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Also on the NBA schedule is a double-header on TNT featuring the New Orleans Pelicans, Memphis Grizzlies, Brooklyn Nets, and Phoenix Suns.

Let’s take a look at the four best player prop bets for Tuesday.

Kyle Anderson to score more points than Lonzo Ball (+106)

At plus money, there is good value on Anderson to outscore Ball when the Grizzlies host the Pelicans. Anderson has scored at least 15 points in four of the last five games, including 21 points on one occasion and 27 on another. Backup small forward Desmond Bane is out, as is backup shooting guard De’Anthony Melton. Anderson has logged at least 29 minutes in four of the last five and that kind of usage should continue on Tuesday. Interestingly, his 27-point performance came when he got only 24 minutes of playing time. Ball is also in fine form, but he is forking up three-pointers at an alarming rate (27 in the past three games) and Memphis generally defends that shot relatively well. The Grizzlies allow only 12.5 three-pointers per contest (12th fewest in the NBA) and they just limited Sacramento to an 8-for-33 effort from deep during Sunday’s 124-110 win.

Khris Middleton Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-106)

Middleton, on the other hand, should be in line for another successful day from the land of plenty when his Milwaukee Bucks entertain the Toronto Raptors. Toronto is much better at defending the paint (second in the league in that department, behind only Miami) than it is at guarding the perimeter (it allows the fifth-most three-pointers per game to opposing teams). Unsurprisingly, Middleton went 5-for-8 from deep when the Bucks beat the Raptors 115-108 on Jan. 27. Middleton is shooting 44.4 percent on triples this season and he has logged at least 35 minutes in four straight outings (well over his 32.8 mpg average). All signs point to plenty of opportunities for the veteran sharpshooter on Tuesday—and to plenty of success.

Khris Middleton of the Milwaukee Bucks

LeBron James to record a triple-double (+350)

Obviously a game without Davis doesn’t automatically mean a triple-double for LeBron, but it definitely gives the 35-year-old a better chance than under normal circumstances. No, LeBron is not going to deliver a triple-double every time out until A.D. returns in March. But he is almost certainly going to turn in a few, and one could come on Tuesday night against Minnesota. The Timberwolves play at the seventh-fastest pace in the NBA, and more possessions naturally mean more numbers for everyone involved. LeBron came within one assist of getting a triple-double against Denver on Sunday and he was three combined assists and rebounds short against Memphis two days earlier. With Davis out, it only stands to reason that LeBron’s stats will improve enough to get him over the hump. Needless to say, +350 is great value for the best player in basketball.

Deandre Ayton Over 11.5 rebounds (-114)

There is no need to overthink this one. Ayton is averaging 12.3 rebounds per game, comfortably more than his 11.5 quota for Tuesday’s date with Brooklyn. The Nets play at the third-fastest pace in the association and generally launch shots with reckless abandon. That leads to a lot of makes, of course, but also to a lot of misses. In terms of percentage, Phoenix is fourth best in the NBA at defending the three-ball. If James Harden and Kyrie Irving are forking up bricks from the perimeter, Ayton will be happy to corral the ensuing rebounds. He has grabbed at least 11 boards in 13 of his last 15 games, including at least 13 on 11 of those occasions. It should also be noted that with Kevin Durant out, DeAndre Jordan is the only player in the Nets’ rotation taller than 6’8’’.

Pickswise is the home of free NBA picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our NBA parlays and ‘NBA prop bets‘ tabs for more expert picks. 

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 on either NYY or CWS to win the Sunday Night Baseball matchup (30-1 Odds)!

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Place a $5 bet on the Yankees or White Sox to win the Sunday Night Baseball matchup

If your teams, get 30-1 odds and win $150!

Must be 21 years or over to participate. Reward paid in site credit. Offer valid for new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If ANY NBA Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NBA game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game makes a 3-pointer

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on any NBA team, Get $150 in Free Bets if they win!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any team to win an NBA playoff game

Win $150 in free bets if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If A Goal Is Scored In ANY NHL Game!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NHL game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game scores a goal

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,100

Get up to $1,100 in First Bet Insurance!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.