Best player props for Saturday's MLB Slate: Wilson can fan the Fish
Today is a Saturday in September. It’s that glorious time of the year when we get full slates of college football and MLB action on the same day. What a time to be alive!
Our MLB player props here at Pickswise are on a roll: 12-2 over our last 14 to be exact. Personally, I am 15-4 over my last 19 and I have two props in mind for today’s action.
Before I get to those, be sure to check out all of our MLB game previews for every single game today. Also, you can follow me on Twitter for any added plays. Let’s have a Saturday.
Bryse Wilson over 3.5 strikeouts (+110)
Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Here’s a trend that stands out: Bryse Wilson has reached this number is alternating starts since being traded to the Pirates. In 7 starts with Pittsburgh, his strikeout numbers have gone 0, 7, 1, 7, 1, 4, 0. If we are going to back that trend to continue (which we are) that means he is due. It helps us out that he gets to face the Marlins today. Only 2 teams in all of baseball have struck out more than the Marlins this season. In addition, only Baltimore has struck out more than Miami over the last 15 days.
Wil Crowe struck out 5 Miami hitters through 5.0 innings in last night’s game, and I think Wilson can put together a similar performance tonight. Wilson has reached 5.0 innings in 5 of his 7 outings with Pittsburgh. If he can get through 5 frames tonight, I like this chances at reaching this total against a Miami team that is prone to punch out.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins.
Ryan Yarbrough under 4.5 strikeouts (-150)
Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Ryan Yarbrough is going through a tough stretch. The Tampa Bay left-hander has allowed 18 hits and 14 earned runs over his last two starts (4.1 innings). That is not exactly ideal. Aditionally, he has just 5 total strikeouts over his last 14.1 innings of work. Long story short, he is not known as a strikeout guy. Yarbrough has not punched out 5+ hitters since all the way back on July 25 against Cleveland. That was 8 starts ago. He ranks in just the 14th percentile among all MLB pitchers in terms of strikeout rate, and in the 16th percentile in terms of whiff rate.
The Tigers aren’t exactly the most daunting offense out there, but they can be pesky at times. They’ve also been able to limit their strikeouts at the plate so far in this series. Detroit struck out a total of just 6 times in Thursday’s series-opener, and 8 times in 10 innings last night. Luis Patino recorded 4 strikeouts through 6.0 innings of work, and it would be somewhat surprising if Yarbrough makes it through 6 frames. He has completed 6.0 innings or more in just 2 of his last 11 starts. I like Yarbrough to stay under this total this afternoon.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays.