KBO baseball: Picks, predictions and best bets for Thursday 7/28 - Kelly shuts down SSG

Former Major League Baseball outfielder Yasiel Puig of Kiwoom Heroes gestures during the opening game of the 2022 regular season for the Korea Baseball Organization between Lotte Giants and Kiwoom Heroes at Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul, South Korea, Saturday, April 2, 2022.
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Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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The KBO rolls on this week and our experts are back to help you find the best value on Thursday’s slate. Whether you are looking for a single money line pick or a KBO parlay, we have you covered. Note that all these games start at 5:30 am ET on Thursday morning.

KBO betting odds

Here are the KBO betting odds for Thursday, July 28 courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Hanwha Eagles (+100) vs Samsung Lions (-122), O/U 7.5
  • LG Twins (+102) vs SSG Landers (-124), O/U 7.5
  • Lotte Giants (-120) vs Doosan Bears (-102), O/U 7.5
  • NC Dinos (-128) vs Kia Tigers (+104), O/U 7.5
  • Kiwoom Heroes (-152) vs KT Wiz (+126), O/U 7.5

KBO picks and predictions

Thursday’s slate features plenty of opportunities for value. Let’s dive into the day’s best bets.

Hanwha Eagles ML (+100) over Samsung Lions

The Hanwha Eagles lost to the Samsung Lions on Wednesday morning by a score of 11-10. They are now 27-62-1 on the season and remain in last place by a wide margin. The Eagles will start Yefry Ramirez on Thursday morning, who is 1-1 on the season and has an ERA of 1.03. In 5 starts this season, he has allowed 3 earned runs over 26.1 innings.

With the win on Wednesday, the Lions are now 37-53 on the season. They are currently 8th place in the league standings. The Lions will counter with Won Tae-In, who is 4-5 on the season and has an ERA of 3.62. In 16 starts this season, he has allowed 39 earned runs over 97.0 innings.

Normally, the Eagles are a team to stay away from, but this is a spot for them where they have a pitching advantage. For that reason, backing the Eagles to win on Thursday will be the play.

LG Twins ML (+102) over SSG Landers

The SSG Landers beat the LG Twins on Wednesday morning by a score of 6-3. They are now 60-27-3 on the season and remain in 1st place in the league standings. The SSG Landers will start Kim Kwang-Hyun on Thursday morning, who is 9-1 on the season and has an ERA of 1.52. In 16 starts this season, he has allowed 17 earned runs over 100.2 innings.

With the loss on Wednesday, the Twins are now 54-34-1 on the season. Even with the loss, they are still comfortably in 3rd place in the league standings for the moment. The Twins will counter with Casey Kelly, who is 12-1 on the season and has an ERA of 2.24. In 17 starts this season, he has allowed 26 earned runs over 104.2 innings.

This is a very evenly pitching matchup and both starters are having fantastic seasons. However, Kwang-Hyun has struggled against the Twins, while Kelly has completely shut down the SSG Landers. For that reason, backing the Twins will be the play.

Doosan Bears ML (-102) over Lotte Giants

The Doosan Bears beat the Lotte Giants by a score of 6-5 on Wednesday morning. The Bears are now 38-48-2 on the season, have won 2 games in a row and are in 6th place in the league standings. The Bears will start Robert Stock, who is 7-6 on the season and has an ERA of 3.01. In 19 starts this season, he has allowed 37 earned runs over 110.2 innings.

With the loss on Wednesday, the Giants are now 38-49-3 on the season, have lost 5 games in a row and are still in 7th place in the league standings. They will counter with Charlie Barnes, who is 9-7 on the season and has an ERA of 2.89. In 21 starts this season, he has allowed 42 earned runs over 130.2 innings.

Both starters have had great seasons so far, but Stock has been a little more consistent over his last couple of starts. There is also the fact that the Giants’ losing streak is increasing by the day, therefore backing the Bears will be the play.

Looking for a bigger payout? Play these picks as a 3-team parlay with odds of +700.

Bonus KBO picks and predictions for Thursday, July 28

NC Dinos ML (-128) over Kia Tigers

The NC Dinos lost to the Kia Tigers on Wednesday morning by a score of 9-5. However, they will have a great chance to bounce back on Thursday as they will start Koo Chang-Mo. He has an ERA of 1.39, so backing the Dinos to win looks to be worth a play.

Kiwoom Heroes ML (-152) over KT Wiz

The Kiwoom Heroes lost to the KT Wiz 5-4 on Wednesday morning, but will have one of their better starters on the mound for Thursday morning. They will start An Woo-Jin, who has an ERA of 1.92. For that reason, backing the Heroes will be the top play.

Make sure you check out all of our picks for KBO action every single day!

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