MLB Tuesday parlay at mega (+868) odds, today 10/4: Justin Verlander stars for Astros

Spring Training-Houston Astros at New York Mets
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Ricky Dimon


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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email
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The penultimate day of the 2022 Major League Baseball regular season is upon us. A huge 18-game slate is on the table, as 3 double-headers are taking place. The New York Mets and New York Yankees are playing twice, as are the Seattle Mariners – who have clinched a playoff spot (finally!) but can improve their wild-card positioning.

For this parlay we are going with one favorite on the run line and two underdogs on the money line pick. Let’s break down each of the legs one by one.

Don’t miss our MLB picks for all 18 games today!

Toronto Blue Jays ML over Baltimore Orioles (-115)

With the Orioles having faded down the stretch, this series did not become a battle for an AL wild-card spot. The O’s are eliminated, while the Jays have locked up the #1 wild card and are simply looking to build momentum into the postseason. Baltimore is starting Mike Baumann, who was thrust back into the rotation almost exactly a month ago after pitching only 1 game since May. He has been back-and-forth between starting and in the bullpen and just slogged through a brutal September. Baltimore lost all 5 of his appearances, which began with a start against the Blue Jays in a contest his team lost 7-3. There is no reason why Toronto can’t victimize Baumann yet again.

Check out our full Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles predictions

Houston Astros -1.5 over Philadelphia Phillies (+130)

Justin Verlander will make his final start of the regular season as the heavy favorite to win the AL Cy Young Award (he was -20000 at FanDuel on Monday night). Verlander has thrown 170 innings this season and has posted a 1.80 ERA – the lowest of his 17-year career. The Astros have been careful with Verlander’s workload, limiting him to just 3 starts in September, but he posted a 1.50 ERA with a 0.78 WHIP. In 27 starts this year the right-hander has allowed more than 3 earned runs just twice. He will take on a Philadelphia offense that ranks 18th in OBP against right-handed pitching this season. The Phillies clinched the NL’s last wild-card spot on Monday and undoubtedly celebrated that result well into the night. An emotional letdown – especially having to go up against Verlander – feels imminent.

Check out our full Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros predictions

Minnesota Twins ML over Chicago White Sox (+125)

It’s difficult to back a wildly inconsistent White Sox club at the current price just because they are at home and facing a rookie starter. The value is clearly on the Twins in this one. Minnesota’s Josh Winder may be a rookie, but he can get the job done. He just did in his most recent start, which was also against the White Sox in an 8-4 win. Better yet, the youngster has beaten the Sox all 3 times he has pitched against them in 2022. If that wasn’t enough, they were all won by multiple runs. Chicago starter Lucas Giolito was thought to be a key piece for a club that had huge expectations heading into 2022, but that certainly has not been the case. He is 10-9 and saddled with a 5.00 ERA. Giolito began last month with a loss to the Twins, which was also at home.

Check out our full Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox predictions

Tuesday’s MLB mega parlay (10/4)

Blue Jays ML (-115)

Astros -1.5 (+130)

Twins ML (+125)

Parlay odds: +868

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