MLB Wednesday parlay at mega (+1138 odds) today 9/21: Pitching steals the show in Chicago

Cleveland Guardians catcher Austin Hedges (17) reacts as he scores the winning run during the fifteenth inning against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field.
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Keith

MLB · 1 week ago

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A Bostonian with a love for stats and baseball. Using knowledge and passion to find the right bet in MLB, NBA, NFL, and more. A lover of bold sports takes and sweat free plus odds picks.

Wednesday’s MLB slate continues with games on all day, and we’ve picked out 3 games for this mega parlay. I missed the last mega parlay I did, but I’m hoping to build off last week’s +804 win. This parlay could pay out at over 11/1 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, so be sure to check this out.

But before we dive in, be sure to read our MLB picks for every MLB side and total today.

Let’s get into our mega parlay for Wednesday and break down each of the legs one by one.

Houston Astros -1.5 over Tampa Bay Rays (+140)

Corey Kluber had a stellar start to the month by throwing 7 scoreless innings against the Yankees. That’s where the good news stops, however, as Kluber has been rocked in his last 2 starts as he’s allowed 10 runs and 17 hits in 7.1 innings. He’s only allowed 1 home run in those 7.1 innings, which indicates that its runs coming in bunches by stringing hits together. The Houston offense took down Drew Rasmussen in the series opener, and Kluber is a step down in talent level, so I expect the Astros offense to score several runs against Kluber and the struggling Rays bullpen. 

In Lance McCullers’ 6 starts this season, he’s posted a 2.34 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 34 innings. He’s allowed more than 2 runs in an outing only once, and he’s fortunate enough to have the Astros bullpen coming in behind him that ranks 1st in ERA since the all-star break and in the last two weeks. I like the value we’re getting on the run line, so back the Astros to win by multiple runs on Wednesday.

Be sure to check out our full Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions

Detroit Tigers ML over Baltimore Orioles (+140)

I never thought I would find myself betting on the Tigers at this point in the season, but here we are. It’s because Jordan Lyles is taking the mound for the Orioles, and not only has he once again had a poor year but he’s also been horrendous at home. In his last start at Camden Yards, he was shelled for 8 hits and 7 runs in 3.2 innings by the Red Sox, which raised the opponent batting average to .294 when Lyles starts at home. The bad news doesn’t stop there, however, as Lyles has slowly gotten worse as the season has progressed as opponents have a .297 batting average in his 10 starts since the all-star break. The Tigers’ offense isn’t the most dangerous, but Lyles has become one of the most hittable pitchers in baseball this season. 

Matt Manning is coming off one of his best starts of the season as he threw 7 scoreless innings against the White Sox and surrendered just 3 hits. The right-hander now has a 2.08 ERA through 3 starts in September and has proven that he deserves to be in the Tigers’ starting rotation next season. The Orioles are still fighting for a Wild Card spot, but they might be running out of time. I’ll happily take the plus-money odds with the better pitcher on the mound.

Be sure to check out our full Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles predictions

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox under 7 (+115)

With Lynn’s second-half surge and McKenzie’s outstanding performances against the White Sox this season, I predict a low-scoring contest. Ten runs were scored in Lynn’s most recent start against the Guardians, but it was with Cleveland’s Hunter Gaddis opposing him. The first half of the game should feature very little scoring because McKenzie is a far more talented pitcher than Gaddis, who has only made two MLB starts. Due to the Cleveland bullpen’s strong consistency since the all-star break and the White Sox bullpen’s recent surge, it should hold true for the game’s second half as well.

Since the White Sox had the day off on Monday, their bullpen should be well rested for this series. These arm barns rank 5th and 10th in ERA over the past two weeks. Back under 7 runs in Chicago because this pitching duel should result in an exciting game with limited scoring.

Be sure to check out our full Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox predictions

Today’s MLB mega parlay (9/21)

Astros -1.5 (+140)

Tigers ML (+140)

Guardians/White Sox under 7 (+115)

Best parlay odds: +1138 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Odds available at time of publishing. 

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