Filip Tomic
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Another day, another winner! Last night I cashed my Knicks vs Nets Same Game Parlay at +420 odds and I’m going at it once again tonight with the Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks game. I’ve prepared a Suns vs Mavericks Same Game Parlay to make things a bit more interesting, with tip-off slated for 8:30 pm ET on ABC. You can also read our NBA Picks for all of Wednesday’s other big matchups.
Suns ML (-120)
Bradley Beal over 1.5 made threes (+130)
Luka Doncic to record 10+ rebounds (+130)
Same Game Parlay odds: +735
Phoenix Suns ML over Dallas Mavericks (-120)
The Suns have been cooking lately as they’re the owners of the longest win streak in the Western Conference right now at 6 straight. Things have finally settled down in terms of injuries and we can only hope it stays that way with their big 3 of Kevin Durant, Bradley Beal and Devin Booker. During the win streak, the Suns are posting strong offensive numbers with 122.1 points per 100 possessions, which is the 6th-best mark in the NBA. Their defense has also improved quite a bit as they’re up from 16th to 8th in efficiency on that end, so the Mavs could be up against it in this one.
Dallas has been up and down lately, and they’re coming off back-to-back losses to the Lakers and Celtics. Over their last 6 games they’ve recorded just 2 wins. Kyrie Irving also injured his finger in the Celtics game which could rule him out of tonight’s contest, and we all know about Luka Doncic’s chronic back issues which have slowed him down quite a lot this season. All in all, I think the Mavs are just trying to survive until the trade deadline. As currently constructed, they aren’t considered a threat to the very top of the West, so I’d expect them to make a splash in the coming weeks. Until then, I’m staying away from them. Take the Suns to get the dub here.
Read our full Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks predictions
Bradley Beal over 1.5 made threes (+130)
If we disregard the 2 big men who are averaging 0.1 and 0.4 threes per game, only 2 players have a higher efficiency from three-point land than Bradley Beal this season. He’s at almost 39% of makes despite injuries ruining his rhythm for the most part over the first couple of months of the season. We’ve seen a significant improvement from him in the last few weeks and that’s reflected the team’s success accordingly. Beal has been really good on the road, and in 5 games away from the Footprint Center he’s averaging a whopping 57.1% of made threes. Just 10 days ago, we saw him have 8 and 4 threes in back-to-back games against the Lakers and Blazers. He also cleared this line in his last game against Chicago on Monday and at this price I think he’s a really good bet to continue his hot shooting. Dallas ranks only 17th in the NBA in opponent three-point percentage, I don’t believe Kyrie Irving is a good enough defender to slow Beal down here.
Luka Doncic to record 10+ rebounds (+130)
The Mavs rely on Luka Doncic for many things and one of the more important ones is his rebounding. He’s averaging 8.5 boards per game for the season and that has gone up to 9.2 per game in his last 6. In the 2 games since coming back from injury, he’s recorded 13 and 18 rebounds against the Lakers and Celtics, notching a triple-double in both of those games. There’s a good chance he continues his double-digit rebounding run here, as the Suns are allowing opponents to grab 3 more rebounds per game in their last 3 outings compared to what they’re giving up on the season. Jusuf Nurkic isn’t exactly elite when it comes to cleaning the glass and Doncic has recorded at least 10 rebounds 4 times in his last 10 games against Phoenix. At +130 odds, I think this is a really solid bet.
