Andrew Ortenberg
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The 2021 NFL season has been epic and the Week 13 slate was a ton of fun. Before we turn our attention to Week 14, we’ve still got one week left to go. We have a division rivalry game for Monday Night Football as the Buffalo Bills host the New England Patriots. What better way to make this AFC East showdown even more exciting than by betting a same game parlay? I just hit our mega parlay for Week 13 on Sunday at +1255, and I also just hit the Week 11 mega parlay at +1762, so I’m feeling it right now when it comes to big money parlays.
Here we go:
New England Patriots ML (+120)
Damien Harris to score 2+ touchdowns (+1300)
Parlay odds: +1870
We have a 2-leg same game parlay which pays out at almost 20/1 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s break it down:
New England Patriots ML (+120)
To start this same game parlay we have the Patriots on the money line. I think Buffalo is being overrated, and when you look at their schedule they haven’t beat anybody. The whole offense has regressed, and Josh Allen doesn’t look nearly the same as he did last year. There’s supposed to be significant wind and adverse weather here, which will hurt the Bills more than the Patriots. Buffalo leans a lot more on the kind of vertical passing that weather will impact than New England does.
Allen has thrown multiple interceptions in three of his past four games, and the only game he didn’t in that span was against the Jets. The Pats’ defense is peaking, and they’ve only given up a measly 26 total points over their past four contests. The only good team the Bills have faced lately is the Colts, and Indy kicked their teeth in.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills
Damien Harris to score 2+ touchdowns (+1300)
This correlates strongly with the first leg of our same game parlay. If Harris is scoring multiple touchdowns, New England is very likely to be winning. Oddsmakers are acting like just because the total is low, that’s supposed to be bad news for Harris. But this total has dropped because of weather concerns, which should actually mean more touches for a traditional back like Harris. Harris just had a two-touchdown game a little over a month ago, and he has at least one score in six of his past seven contests. As Jonathan Taylor just showed in his five-touchdown game against the Bills a couple of weeks ago, the key to beating Buffalo is punishing them on the ground. Bill Belichick is surely keenly aware of that.
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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