We had a great NFL Week 4 on ThriveFantasy with our top picks and player props. We went 3-1 on last week’s plays and now look to ride that momentum into Week 5. There are some NFL player picks that are ready for us to use to rack up some points and win some money on ThriveFantasy!
If you are looking for some NFL Picks for Week 5 and you are playing over at ThriveFantasy, you have most certainly come to the right place.
Tom Brady, Matthew Stafford, Joe Burrow and Mark Andrews are the guys you should look at targeting this week on Thrive. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy, but be sure to check out our NFL best bets and our NFL Prop Bets pages before locking in any NFL player props.
Last week: 3-1
2022 Season: 7-5 (58.3%)
ThriveFantasy NFL Player Props Week 5
Tom Brady over 270.5 passing yards
There are numerous concerns along the offensive line for Tampa Bay, but Atlanta has the second-lowest pass rush grade in the NFL this season, per Pro Football Focus, and Brady has picked apart this Falcons team for most of his career, but most notably since coming to Tampa Bay. As a Buc, in four games against Atlanta, here are Brady’s total passing yards: 390, 399, 276, and 368. Atlanta wants to run the football, but if they can’t run it, and are forced to throw, they can’t bleed the clock, and after a primetime loss to the Chiefs, you know that Brady is coming for blood.
Be sure to check out our full Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions
Matthew Stafford over 2.5 passing touchdowns and interceptions
Dallas may only have allowed three passing touchdowns so far on the season, but they do have four interceptions, and with a lack of a running game for L.A, it will be on the back of Stafford to get this team to victory. Stafford has surpassed this mark in half of his games this season, but if we look back to last year, including the playoffs, here is what we find:
- Including the playoffs, Stafford has eclipsed this mark in four of his last six games
- Excluding the playoffs, he’s eclipsed this mark in 14 of his last 16 games
- Since the start of 2021, in 21 regular season games with Sean McVay, Stafford has eclipsed this mark in 18 of 21 games
Stafford has enough weapons to be a threat for multiple scores, but he’s not afraid to push the boundaries, which increases his likelihood of an interception or two.
Be sure to check out our full Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams predictions
Mark Andrews over 54.5 receiving yards
Yes, Andrews disappointed against Buffalo, but prior to that game, he was averaging 7.3 receptions and 81.7 yards per game! This game against Cincinnati should be high scoring, and quite a good game to watch. Last year, Cincinnati handled Baltimore by 20 or more points in each contest, so if that’s the case again, the game script will be in his favor. He posted 48, and 125 yards against Cincinnati last year, and the Bengals have allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to tight ends this season.
Joe Burrow over 24.5 completions
Cincinnati is desperately trying to get Joe Mixon and the ground game established, but it just hasn’t been there this season. Through the first four weeks of the season, Mixon is averaging just 2.7 yards per carry this season, and his numbers on the ground against the Ravens for the majority of his career aren’t particularly exceptional. Last year, he accumulated just 124 yards on 30 carries, good for 4.1 yards per carry.
It’s hard to run on Baltimore, but you can throw all over this defense, as they have allowed the most passing yards in all of the NFL. Burrow went 60-for-84 with 941 yards and seven touchdowns against this team last season. I expect Cincy to essentially scrap the run game at some point, and just let Burrow sling it all around the yard. Short passes will likely serve as the more potent part of the run game, and Burrow will complete over 24.5 passes, given that he’ll throw the ball 35+ times like he has in three of four games this season.
Be sure to check out our full Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens predictions
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