Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tomorrow
Atlanta Falcons
0-1
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons

Resident Expert Predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Point Spread Pick
ATL Falcons Win +12.5

It will be a battle between NFC South rivals when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon. The Bucs took care of business in their season-opening victory over Dallas last Thursday night, but they certainly didn’t cover the spread as a last-second field goal was required for them to prevail 31-29. Tom Brady threw 2 interceptions as part of 4 total turnovers (Chris Godwin and Ronald Jones II also lost fumbles). Much was made of the fact that Tampa Bay brought back all of its starters from an already stellar defense, but Dak Prescott completed 42 of 58 passes for 403 yards with 3 TDs and 1 INT.

It is true that the Bucs’ run defense dominated, but the Falcons won’t mind that. Atlanta’s offense still goes through quarterback Matt Ryan and WR1 Calvin Ridley. This team has rarely been committed to running the ball and nothing figures to change under Arthur Smith now that the former Tennessee offensive coordinator no longer has Derrick Henry at his disposal. With a game under his belt, rookie tight end Kyle Pitts should get on track and have a big game along with Ridley. The bottom line is don’t overreact to a small sample size of failure (Atlanta lost to Philadelphia 32-6 last weekend) and give more than 12 points in a division rivalry game this early in the season. Atlanta is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 Week 2 contests. The Bucs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 as a home favorite. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the teams.

Falcons +12.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Atlanta Falcons
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
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$19.09
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game Totals Pick
Under 52.0

Although the Falcons should score a lot more than 6 points, you can’t expect them to go completely crazy at the expense of Tampa Bay’s defense. An under play correlates with the Atlanta spread bet, as the visitors may not be able to keep it close if the Bucs turn this into a shootout. Four turnovers by Brady and company were alarming in Week 1 and 31 points scored really isn’t much to write home about considering that the Cowboys’ defense is borderline terrible.

This could be an ugly and surely physical affair between NFC South rivals who have clearly not yet found their groove on the offensive side of the ball. The under is 6-2 in the Falcons’ last 8 overall and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Go with the under.

Under 52 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Atlanta Falcons
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.09
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Ricky Dimon

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

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