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I’m ready to bring in the New Year with profit in the NBA. Let’s dive into our best NBA player prop bet for games on Sunday, December 31. Also make sure you also read our NBA predictions for today’s games.
Domantas Sabonis, C, SAC, Under 41.5 points/rebounds/assists (+110)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Line shop ladies and gentlemen. It’ll not only make you profit but also make you a better sports bettor. This player prop bet is a great example. FanDuel comes in with Domantas Sabonis at 40.5 pts/rebs/asts with vig on the under. Meanwhile, DraftKings has a better number and price – over 20 cents better. That massive edge will make a difference in the long run. Let’s dive into why we’re fading Sabonis against the Memphis Grizzlies.
Sabonis has been a menace the last few weeks, but it’s come against soft matchups. The Hawks, who Sabonis played last game, allow the 6th most points to the center position. Before Sabonis played Atlanta, he faced off against the Portland Trail Blazers, who rank in the bottom 10 in defense versus the center position. Now Sabonis has the challenge of Jaren Jackson Jr, one of the most pulverizing defensive players in the league. As a team, the Grizzlies allow the 7th fewest points and rank in the top 5 in assists allowed to the center position – both things Sabonis does exceptionally well.
For those that are into the numbers, Sabonis is under this line in 14 of 24 games this season when De’Aaron Fox suits up. I expect a challenging game down low, and for Jackson Jr. to limit Sabonis on the offensive glass.
