Week 18 NFL Props: Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets: Josh Allen sets the tone

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) gestures in the second quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Highmark Stadium.
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Caleb Wilfinger

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Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Week 18 of the 2023 NFL continues on Sunday with plenty of action to whet your football appetite. The slate includes a few pivotal games in the AFC Wild Card race, while arguably the best weekend of the day pits the Miami Dolphins against the Buffalo Bills.

The Pickswise team has been absolutely on fire with their touchdown scorer prop picks throughout this 2023 NFL campaign, so let’s keep the momentum going! Here are my best TD scorer bets for Sunday’s slate, and also be sure to check out our full NFL predictions.

Josh Allen, QB, BUF (-120 at PointsBet)

The Bills have been in playoff mode for over a month now, and Buffalo has been able to climb back into prime position in the AFC playoff race thanks to its ground game and defense. However, one constant on offense during this recent surge by the Bills has been new offensive coordinator Joe Brady’s reliance on Josh Allen’s legs near the goal line. As I’ve mentioned in previous touchdown scorer pieces, the Bills often turn to Allen to dig them out of a hole when the chips are down, and he usually uses his legs to do so. I expect the same thing to continue in a showdown for the AFC East on Sunday, as the Bills have a chance to lock up the #2 seed with a win. Over his last 5 games, the Buffalo QB has a whopping 8 touchdowns on the ground. He’s also found the end zone with his legs in 9 of the Bills last 10 contests. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if Allen gets multiple opportunities in the red zone in Miami, so this is simply mispriced at the current number.

CeeDee Lamb, WR, DAL (-135 at BetMGM)

In what is one of the most significant games in the NFC on Sunday, the Dallas Cowboys are in a near must-win situation against the Washington Commanders if they want to lock up the NFC East division crown. I’m sure that Dallas has heard all week about its struggles on the road, but one player that continues to produce regardless of environment has been top wideout CeeDee Lamb. Regardless of the opponent, Lamb has often recorded a touchdown, along with plenty of receptions. Last week was the 8th straight game in which Lamb found the end zone, bringing his touchdown total up to 12 on the season. Given that this is a massive game for Dallas, there’s no reason to expect Lamb to record less than 8-10 targets and we know Dak Prescott will find him near the goal line. Even now that we’re no longer getting plus-money odds, I can’t pass up on betting Lamb to find the end zone once again.

 

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