NFL Best Bets

The Chicago Bears have won 7 of their last 8 games heading into a home date with the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday afternoon. I’m hopping on the bandwagon, so my Bears vs Steelers pick is on the home side to win and cover. It is fair to say that the Bears have found their stride under first-year head coach Ben Johnson and second-year quarterback Caleb Williams. With Williams playing mistake-free football, D’Andre Swift balancing the offense by running the ball effectively and Johnson’s play-calling working its magic just as it did when he was offensive coordinator in Detroit, Chicago’s offense is humming. It is #4 overall (373.8 yards per game) and #8 in scoring (25.8 points per game). Williams has thrown only 4 interceptions to go along with his 16 total touchdowns (13 passing, 3 rushing).

Pittsburgh’s QB situation is far worse. On Sunday the visitors will either be playing with a banged-up Aaron Rodgers or a backup in Mason Rudolph. Rodgers is questionable after sustaining minor fracture in his left wrist during last week’s victory over Cincinnati. It was announced on Tuesday that that injury will not require surgery. Whatever the case, neither Rodgers nor Rudolph inspires much confidence. On the other side of the ball, the Steelers’ defense is overrated. Everyone just assumes it is good since TJ Watt is on the field, but that is hardly the reality. Head coach Mike Tomlin’s team is #28 league wide in total defense and dead last against the pass. Its 33 sacks are good for third most in the NFL, but keep in mind that Williams is a mobile quarterback who can avoid pressure for the most part. At home against an unspectacular opponent, I feel great about Chicago maintaining momentum.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears prediction: Bears -2.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -3.

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The Arizona Cardinals have lost 7 of their last 8 games heading into a home date with the Jacksonville Jaguars during Week 12 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. Once 2-0, the Cardinals are now 3-7 and aren’t even looking competitive. They have dropped 2 consecutive contests by at least 19 points. Arizona is only a slight underdog against Jacksonville because it is playing at home, but does that really matter? Probably not! After all, the Cards have lost 4 home games in a row — including to the lowly Titans. Tennessee (1-9) has not won a single other game this entire year. This is simply a fantastic time to fade head coach Jonathan Gannon’s squad, so my Jaguars vs Cardinals pick is on the visitors to win and cover.

Jacksonville, on the other hand, is playing solid football. Its worst loss since Week 2 is against the Texans — but even a 1-possession setback on the road in Houston is nothing to be ashamed about. The Jaguars are coming off a 35-6 beatdown of the Chargers this past weekend. It is true that the Bolts’ offensive line is in absolute shambles, but that is still an extremely impressive result any way you slice it. The Jags churned out 192 rushing yards, which bodes well for their chances of finding success against a mediocre Cardinals defense. This is a tale of 2 teams going in opposite directions, and I think that trend will continue on Sunday.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Arizona Cardinals prediction: Jaguars -2.5 (-112) available at time of publishing. Playable to -3.

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