Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/09/25

The NFL’s International Series continues in Week 10 with a Sunday showdown between the Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts in Berlin, Germany. It has been a tale of 2 different seasons for these 2 teams. Atlanta had relatively high aspirations heading into this season, but it has slumped to a 3-5 record. Indianapolis, on the other hand, has been one of the most surprising teams in the league at 7-2. However, was it only a matter of time before the Colts got exposed? Maybe. They — and quarterback Daniel Jones in particular — appeared to fall back down to Earth with a 27-20 loss at Pittsburgh this past weekend. Jones threw 3 interceptions and was sacked 5 times. One poor result does not make the Colts frauds, but perhaps they aren’t quite as good as everyone thought. Whatever the case, a spread of 6.5 points is too much. My Falcons vs Colts pick is for the underdogs to cover.

Atlanta boasts a good enough defense to keep this contest competitive. It ranks #4 in the NFL in total defense (282.5 yards per game allowed) and #1 against the pass (158.1 yards). The Falcons have already come up with 22 sacks, ranking them in the top half of the league in that statistical category. That is a massive improvement for a unit that was second-to-last in sacks (31) during the 2024 campaign. Atlanta sacked Patriots quarterback Drake Maye 6 times during a 1-point loss this past Sunday. Head coach Raheem Morris’ squad has been blown out twice this year — but more often than not, it manages to stay close. With the way the defensive side of the ball is showing out, this matchup should be no exception.

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts prediction: Falcons +6.5 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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