Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 11/02/25

Gillette StadiumCBS
Falcons
Falcons
Tomorrow
Patriots
Patriots
LWWLL
Last 5
WWWWW
3-4Record6-2
3-4-0ATS Record6-2-0
1-6O/U Record4-4
New England Patriots

Falcons vs Patriots Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
NE Patriots -5.5(-105)

The New England Patriots will try to extend their winning streak to 6 games when they entertain the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon. This hot stretch includes a victory over Buffalo, which is a big reason why New England (6-2) finds itself atop the AFC East. Meanwhile, the Falcons (3-4) are going in the other direction. They have dropped 2 straight, falling back under .500 for the second time this season. There isn’t any real reason to envision the tide turning for either team, so my Falcons vs Patriots pick is for the home side to win and cover. The Patriots have gotten stellar quarterback play from Drake Maye, already throwing for more than 2,000 yards to go along with 15 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions. Over the past 5 contests, Maye boasts a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 10-to-1.

Atlanta should have its QB back this weekend after Michael Penix Jr. missed 1 game with a bone bruise. However, that still doesn’t inspire much confidence  even if Penix is 100 percent. In the last game started by the left-hander, the Falcons scored only 10 points against an extremely banged-up 49ers defense. Since going wild in a Sunday Night Football win over the Bills earlier this month, Bijan Robinson has gained a mere 65 rushing yards over the past 2 outings. That is simply unacceptable for the offense as a whole. Atlanta’s defense is dealing with a ton of injuries, so it’s hard to feel good about the visitors on either side of the ball.

Falcons vs Patriots prediction: New England Patriots -5.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.

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Ricky Dimon
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.0(-110)

The Falcons will either be working with a possibly banged-up Penix or Kirk Cousins. Neither option is especially encouraging for Atlanta’s offense — an offense that is already sputtering. Even casual fans know that the Falcons’ recipe for success involves running the football with Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Somehow, though, that seems to have escaped the coaching staff. Even if the visitors do try to run the ball on Sunday, it won’t be easy. New England is second league wide in run defense and is holding opponents to just 3.5 yards per carry. That is a big reason why my Falcons vs Patriots pick is Under 45.

This looks like a favorable matchup for both defenses. Atlanta is #1 in the entire NFL in pass defense, allowing just 149.1 yards per contest through the air. I expect the Pats to engineer their fair share of scoring drives, but they may be more methodical than usual — taking a lot of time off clock. I don’t anticipate a boatload of possessions in this game. It is not with the utmost confidence because both offenses can be dangerous, but it’s a lean toward the under for me.

Falcons vs Patriots prediction: Under 45 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon
Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Game Totals

The Under is 5-1-1 in Falcons' games this season

Money Line/Game Total

The New England Patriots have conceded 20 points or fewer in five consecutive games

Money Line

The Patriots have won four of their last five matchups against NFC South teams

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