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Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 12 2025 for Today, 11/23/25

Caesars SuperdomeFOX
Falcons
Falcons
Today
Saints
Saints
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Last 5
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3-7Record2-8
4-5-1ATS Record3-7-0
4-6O/U Record3-7
New Orleans Saints

Falcons vs Saints Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
NO Saints -1.5(-110)

It will be a showdown in the NFC South when the New Orleans Saints host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon. It would have been hard to believe if before the season someone told you that the Saints – even at home – would be favored over the Falcons in Week 12. But that is, in fact, the case. It obviously has nothing to do with the Saints, who have been predictably bad. The Falcons, though, may be the most disappointing team in the entire league. Their 5-game losing streak has them at 3-7 overall and now both quarterback Michael Penix Jr. and wide receiver Drake London are sidelined. Penix will miss at least the next 4 games due to a knee injury; London is out 1 week at minimum with a knee issue of his own. Kirk Cousins under center and throwing to a group of pass-catches that doesn’t include London is a recipe for disaster.

The Saints own an even worse record than their division rivals, but they are a respectable 2-4 in their last 6 contests. Signs of improvement – however slim – are on display. They disposed of Carolina 17-7 in Week 11 – the same Carolina team that just swept the regular-season series against Atlanta. Now the Saints are coming off bye, which is a huge advantage heading into this matchup. New Orleans has won each of its last 3 home games against Atlanta. Expect that streak to continue this weekend.

Falcons vs Saints prediction: New Orleans Saints -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon
Game Totals Pick
Under 39.5(-110)

You can’t feel good about either offense in this matchup. The Falcons’ offensive attack went into the 2025 campaign with high expectations, but the receiving corps does not have much outside of London, Penix has underwhelmed at quarterback and the offensive line is in shambles. Tackles Kaleb McGary and Storm Norton are on injured reserve, while guard Matthew Bergeron is questionable for Sunday because of an ankle injury. Speaking of London and Penix, neither will play on Sunday. That is part of the reason why my Falcons vs Saints pick is Under 39.5.

Rookie QB Tyler Shough has taken over from Spencer Rattler in New Orleans — early returns are not overly encouraging. In 4 appearances (3 starts), the 26-year-old out of Louisville has completed 61.4 percent of his passes with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Shough has logged meaningful minutes in 3 games; in those 3 the Saints have scored 3, 10 and 17 points. Prior to the bye they played a boring 17-7 game against the Panthers. This one may not be quite that bad, but offense will almost certainly be minimal.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints prediction: Under 39.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon
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Ricky Dimon

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
@Dimonator133
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Money Line

The Saints have won 6 of their last 8 home games against the Falcons.

Point Spread

The Saints have failed to cover in 4 straight coming off a bye week.

Game Totals

The Under is 12-7-1 for the Falcons' and the Saints' games combined this season.

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