Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/30/25

There is a lot of exciting football on offer throughout both the professional and college ranks during Thanksgiving week. One of those games is not the Atlanta Falcons vs the New York Jets. Nor is it a game that provides much value on either side against the spread, as both teams inspire little to no confidence. Given that the number is less than a field goal, however, my Falcons vs Jets pick is on the visitors to win and cover. With Michael Penix Jr. out for the year, Kirk Cousins is back under center in Atlanta. That’s hardly good news, but at least the veteran has a start under his belt — and it was a victory last week, albeit over lowly New Orleans. As mediocre as Cousins is, the offense will always have at least some kind of chance with Bijan Robinson in the backfield.

It’s not like the Falcons will have to score a lot on Sunday in order to win. Their defense is playing great and they are facing an atrocious Jets offense. First-round draft picks Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. have revitalized the pass rush, which is #3 in the NFL with 39 sacks — a shocking statistic for a franchise that is historically inept in that department. The Jets have turned from Justin Fields to Tyrod Taylor, which is probably a good move but not one that makes any difference. Taylor is not particularly good even when he has time to throw the ball; against the blitz-heavy Falcons, the 36-year-old will be under pressure and therefore probably even worse than usual — which is saying a lot. New York has lost 2 straight games and scored a grand total of 24 combined points in those 2 setbacks.

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets prediction: Falcons -2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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