Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/30/25

MetLife StadiumFOX
Falcons
4-7
Falcons
Sun Nov 30
Jets
2-9
Jets
New York Jets
Google News

Falcons vs Jets Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
ATL Falcons -2.5(-110)

There is a lot of exciting football on offer throughout both the professional and college ranks during Thanksgiving week. One of those games is not the Atlanta Falcons vs the New York Jets. Nor is it a game that provides much value on either side against the spread, as both teams inspire little to no confidence. Given that the number is less than a field goal, however, my Falcons vs Jets pick is on the visitors to win and cover. With Michael Penix Jr. out for the year, Kirk Cousins is back under center in Atlanta. That’s hardly good news, but at least the veteran has a start under his belt — and it was a victory last week, albeit over lowly New Orleans. As mediocre as Cousins is, the offense will always have at least some kind of chance with Bijan Robinson in the backfield.

It’s not like the Falcons will have to score a lot on Sunday in order to win. Their defense is playing great and they are facing an atrocious Jets offense. First-round draft picks Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. have revitalized the pass rush, which is #3 in the NFL with 39 sacks — a shocking statistic for a franchise that is historically inept in that department. The Jets have turned from Justin Fields to Tyrod Taylor, which is probably a good move but not one that makes any difference. Taylor is not particularly good even when he has time to throw the ball; against the blitz-heavy Falcons, the 36-year-old will be under pressure and therefore probably even worse than usual — which is saying a lot. New York has lost 2 straight games and scored a grand total of 24 combined points in those 2 setbacks.

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets prediction: Falcons -2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 40(-110)

I am far more enthused about the game total, for which my Falcons vs Jets pick is Under 40. Atlanta’s offense is mediocre at best — especially with Cousins running the show instead of Penix. Although Penix is nothing special in the early stages of his career, he can at least move around in and out of the pocket to extend plays. Cousins obviously cannot — which could be especially costly for Atlanta since the offensive line is currently depleted. The Falcons put up a respectable 24 points last weekend, but the Saints’ defense is not any good — plus a lot of that had to do with the defense setting up the offense in favorable spots. There was little production aside from a 47-yard touchdown bomb from Cousins to Darnell Mooney. Drake London is questionable with a knee injury that kept him out of the game against New Orleans, so Mooney may be tasked to step up once again.

As expected, the Jets’ offense has been a disaster in 2025. It is #29 overall and #27 in scoring. Since Week 5 they have exceeded the 14-point mark only twice. One of those occasions was against the Bengals, which should not even count. The other one saw 2 of their touchdowns come on special teams (1 kick return, 1 punt return) during a 27-20 victory over the Browns. Wide receiver Garrett Wilson missed last week’s 23-10 setback against Baltimore due to a knee problem and is expected to be sidelined for at least a few more games. The Jets probably won’t contribute much at all, and even the Falcons can’t be expected to post a big number.

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets prediction: Under 40 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 39.

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Ricky Dimon

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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