Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/09/25

Hard Rock StadiumCBS
Bills
Bills
Sun Nov 9
Dolphins
Dolphins
WLLWW
Last 5
LLLWL
6-2Record2-7
4-4-0ATS Record4-5-0
4-4O/U Record6-3
Miami Dolphins

Bills vs Dolphins Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
MIA Dolphins +9.5(-110)

We’ve got an AFC East clash on our hands on Sunday when the Buffalo Bills head to Miami for a date with the reeling Dolphins. While the Bills have historically dominated this series in recent years, Miami did put up quite a fight earlier in the season in Buffalo, and the spot certainly favors the Dolphins this week. After all, the Dolphins are coming off a 3 touchdown loss at the hands of the Ravens on Thursday Night Football the week prior, while the Bills just dominated the Chiefs for their biggest win of the season to date.

Despite some obvious questions at the wide receiver position, Buffalo’s offense has been a machine to this point. Josh Allen leads an offense that is 2nd in EPA per play, 1st in EPA margin, 2nd in success rate and inside the top 10 in total touchdowns. However, I could certainly see this group coming out a bit flat following the massive win a week ago, and it certainly helps the Dolphins defense should see the return of Minkah Fitzpatrick and Bradley Chubb, a couple of massive difference makers at their respective positions. As a team, the Dolphins are inside the top half of the league against the run per DVOA, and given the fact that Buffalo runs the ball at the highest rate among all teams, this could be a lower-possesion game, which puts inherent value on the divisional home underdog in this one. I’ll take the points with Miami.

Bills vs Dolphins prediction: Dolphins +9.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Caleb Wilfinger
Game Totals Pick
Under 50.5(-110)

Regardless of what team covers the spread, the under is my preferred look on the total in this game. On one side, the Buffalo offense is one that lends itself to quicker games given how often this offense relies on the run game on early downs. Miami’s rush defense has gotten better and better over time, which leads me to believe that they should be able to at least moderately slow down James Cook and the Buffalo rushing attack. On the other side, given the Dolphins’ struggles with passing the ball, the Bills should be able to key in on stopping the Dolphins ground game, which should force Miami to take risks and potentially turn the ball over at least a time or two as a result. I’ll hone in on the under in this one.

Under 50.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 50.

Caleb Wilfinger
Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Point Spread

The Bills have covered the spread on their last 2 trips to Miami.

Money Line

The Bills have won 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with losing records.

Game Totals

6 of the Dolphins' last 8 home matchups against the Bills have stayed Under the total.

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