Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 11 2025 for Today, 11/16/25

Mercedes-Benz StadiumFOX
Panthers
Panthers
Today
Falcons
Falcons
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Last 5
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5-5Record3-6
6-4-0ATS Record4-4-1
5-5O/U Record3-6
Atlanta Falcons

Panthers vs Falcons Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
CAR Panthers +3.5(-115)

The Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons will tangle in an NFC South showdown on Sunday afternoon in Atlanta. Given the home team’s current woes and its recent struggles in this particular matchup, my Panthers vs Falcons pick is on the visitors to cover. Atlanta is on a 4-game losing streak with setbacks against San Francisco, Miami, New England and Indianapolis. Head coach Raheem Morris’ club is not playing on a short week, but it did have to travel back from Berlin on the heels of an overtime loss to the Colts this past weekend. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has struggled and the Falcons are banged up on the offensive line, too (Chris Lindstrom and Matthew Bergeron are questionable for Sunday), so it’s hard to feel good about any aspect of this offense right now. Even Bijan Robinson has been held in check during this current skid.

This is a rematch of a Week 3 contest in Carolina, where Panthers rolled to a 30-0 victory while improving to 3-1 SU in the last 4 H2H. No, that 30-0 score is not misprint; that’s actually what happened the first time these 2 division rivals went head-to-head this season. Penix threw 2 interceptions and Atlanta’s offense constantly put the defense in terrible situations. Carolina had 4 scoring drives of 30 yards or fewer and only one of its 6 scoring drives trekked across more than half of the football field. Dating back to that result, the Panthers are a solid 5-3 in their last 8 outings. They have a good chance to win this one outright, but getting more than a field goal is too enticing to pass up.

Panthers vs Falcons prediction: Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-112) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 42.5(-110)

The first head-to-head encounter was nothing short of an offensive abomination. The Falcons did not score a single point…and still out-gained the Panthers by 108 yards. You read that right; a team that was shut out won the yardage battle by more than 100. Despite scoring 30 points, Carolina’s offense was useless. Bryce Young threw for just 121 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions, while the home side churned out only 110 rushing yards on 30 attempts (3.7 average). Mainly because of what happened between these 2 teams a couple of months ago, my Panthers vs Falcons pick is under 42.5.

Things have not improved a whole lot since then for Young, whose touchdown-to-interception ratio this year is a modest 11-to-7. The Alabama product has reached the 200-yard mark only once in 2025, and his most recent passing-yardage totals are 138, 102 and 124. Now he has to face an Atlanta defense that ranks #1 in the entire NFL against the pass (162.3 yards per game). To say that Carolina’s offense is going to be 1-dimensional on Sunday would be a gross understatement. Given Penix’s struggles and the Falcons’ offensive-line issues (which has contributed to Robinson’s lackluster numbers of late), it’s also impossible to have faith in the home team’s ability to score points on Sunday.

Panthers vs Falcons prediction: Under 42.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Money Line

The Falcons have lost 4 of their last 5 games as the favorite.

Game Totals

The Under is 4-1 in the Falcons' last 5 matchups against NFC teams.

Point Spread

The Falcons have covered the spread in their last 2 at home with Michael Penix Jr. starting at QB.

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