Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/26/25

The Baltimore Ravens will look to turn their season around against the Chicago Bears. At 1-5 Baltimore has zero margin for error, and they’ll need Lamar Jackson back in top form for any turnaround to happen. Head coach John Harbaugh has been playing coy coming out of the bye, but the expectation is that Jackson is going to start. That’s great, but it’s not enough for me to lay this many points with a team that has mostly looked awful this year.

The Ravens’ issues didn’t only start with Jackson’s injury, as they were in the middle of getting embarrassed by the Lions on national TV when he went down. Their only win this year came against the lowly Browns, and Jackson being hurt doesn’t explain how the defense gave up 44 points to the Texans, or 37+ to each of the Chiefs, Lions and Bills. Chicago, on the other hand, is quietly one of the hottest teams in the league. Following a bumpy start, head coach Ben Johnson’s squad has now rattled off 4 straight wins. Their only poor showing of the year came on the road against the Lions — the same Lions team that demolished the Ravens at home. Derrick Henry appears to have lost a step from last year; he has only eclipsed 50 yards rushing in 2 of his 6 games.

It looks like the end might finally be in sight for one of the game’s most dominant players. And Zay Flowers is the only pass-catcher with a pulse. Given their struggles on defense, the lack of production from the skill position players, Chicago’s ascent and the fact that Jackson is coming off injury and hasn’t played in over a month, I don’t get how you could be feeling confident about laying over a touchdown with the Ravens.

Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens prediction: Chicago +7 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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I also like the under a lot in this game. Lamar Jackson has been dealing with a hamstring injury, and I don’t think it’s fair to expect him to be 100 percent coming off a leg injury after more than a month off. He should at the very least be rusty, and the fact that head coach John Harbaugh has still been talking this week like he might not play at all tells me that he might not be all the way recovered. Through 6 games, Zay Flowers is the only pass-catcher on the team who has more than 180 yards. When DeAndre Hopkins is averaging less than 30 yards per game and he’s your second leading receiver, you’ve got problems.

On the other side of the ball, I don’t think Baltimore’s defense is as bad as the metrics suggest. The Ravens have played a brutal slate of opposing offenses this year, with the Bills, Lions and Chiefs being 3 of their first 4 opponents. They are starting to make strides on defense and last week held the Rams to just 17 points and 241 yards of total offense. Caleb Williams has been better than last year, but he hasn’t been lighting it up by any means. He has thrown for more than 252 yards only once this season and has been held to 212 or fewer in 4 of 6 games. No way I could go over a total this high.

Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens prediction: Under 49.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 48.

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