Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 14 2025 for Sunday, 12/07/25

Lambeau FieldFOX
Bears
Bears
Sun Dec 7
Packers
Packers
WWWWW
Last 5
LLWWW
9-3Record8-3-1
8-4-0ATS Record5-7-0
6-6O/U Record6-6
Green Bay Packers

Bears vs Packers Best Bets

Point Spread PickBest Bet
GB Packers -6.5(-115)

The two oldest rivals in the NFL have plenty on the line this Sunday at Lambeau Field. The Bears (9-3) lead the NFC North heading into Week 14 and will visit the Packers (8-3-1), who are playing their third consecutive division foe. Green Bay has passed the first two tests, handling Minnesota at home, 23-6, followed by a 31-24 triumph at Detroit as 3-point underdogs on Thanksgiving. Now, the Packers look for the trifecta to pass the Bears for first place in the division.

Chicago has been impressive in Ben Johnson’s first season as head coach, overcoming an 0-2 start to win 9 of the last 10 games. During this span, the Bears have won 6 games by 5 points or less, but put together a strong road effort in the 24-15 Black Friday victory at Philadelphia as 7.5-point underdogs. The Bears have covered 3 straight games and are 5-1 against the spread in the last 6 opportunities in the underdog role. These teams will meet twice in the next 3 weeks, and both matchups last season were decided by a combined 3 points. Green Bay won at Chicago, 20-19 as 6-point underdogs, but the Bears knocked off the Packers in the season finale at Lambeau, 24-22 as 10.5-point dogs.

Two of the worst offensive efforts for Green Bay came at home against Carolina and Philadelphia in consecutive losses in early November. The Packers combined for 20 points in those defeats, but Green Bay has averaged 27.0 ppg in the past 3 victories. Green Bay went through a 1-7 ATS slump before picking up covers against Minnesota and Detroit. In last Thursday’s win over the Lions, the Pack were paced by QB Jordan Love’s 4 TD passes, his 6th multi-touchdown performance of the season. Interestingly enough, Love has not thrown a touchdown pass in Green Bay’s last 3 home games. Let’s look at backing the Packers here to pass the Bears for first in the NFC North with a home victory.

Bears vs Packers prediction: Green Bay Packers -6.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 7.

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Bears vs Packers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Under 44.5(-110)

Chicago has been one of the top over teams in the NFL this season at 8-4, although 3 of the last 4 games have finished under the total. The Bears’ defense has stepped up during this stretch, allowing 20 or fewer points 3 times, including in road wins at Philadelphia and Minnesota. Chicago will look to slow down Green Bay on Sunday, who scored 31 points in last Thursday’s triumph at Detroit.

The Packers’ offense hasn’t been particularly dynamic recently at Lambeau Field. Green Bay has combined for 43 points in the past 3 home games and scored exactly 27 points in each of its first 3 home victories. Head coach Matt LaFleur’s squad has not seen an over cash at home this season, going 5-0-1 to the under. On the road, the Packers are 6-1 to the over, so clearly this team has established a style at Lambeau and away from it. Green Bay and its opponents have not combined for more than 45 points in any of its 6 home games, as Sunday’s total sits at 44.5.

The Bears rushed for 281 yards in last Friday’s 24-15 victory at Philadelphia, including 100+ yard performances from Kyle Monangai (130) and D’Andre Swift (125). Chicago faces the 8th-ranked rushing defense from a yards per game standpoint as Green Bay has allowed 98.3 yards on the ground this season. During this 5-game winning streak, QB Caleb Williams has thrown 8 TDs and 1 INT, while throwing 1 TD in the two games against the Packers in 2024. Chicago leads the NFL with 17 interceptions and a +17 turnover ratio, while Green Bay QB Jordan Love has been picked off only 3 times. As Green Bay has struggled to score at home, let’s take the under here in this crucial division battle.

Bears vs Packers pick: Under 44.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 44.

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Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
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Top Trends
Game Totals

5 of the Bears' last 6 matchups against NFC teams have gone under the Total.

Point Spread

The Packers have covered the spread in 3 straight matchups against NFC North teams.

Money Line

The Bears have won 4 of their last 5 at NFC teams.

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