Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 11 2025 for Today, 11/16/25

U.S. Bank StadiumFOX
Bears
Bears
Today
Vikings
Vikings
WWLWW
Last 5
WLLWL
6-3Record4-5
5-4-0ATS Record4-5-0
5-4O/U Record7-2
Minnesota Vikings

Bears vs Vikings Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
CHI Bears +3.0(-110)

It will be a battle in the NFC North when the Minnesota Vikings host the Chicago Bears on Sunday afternoon. It is a rematch of Week 1, when the Bears lost a 27-24 heartbreaker. I think they can be competitive once again if not even win outright, so my Bears vs Vikings pick is on the visitors to cover. Chicago has caught fire since beginning the season 0-2, reeling off 6 victories in its past 7 games. First-year head coach Ben Johnson has his offense rolling, producing at least 24 points in all but 2 contests during this 2025 campaign and failing to exceed the 20-point mark just once. Quarterback Caleb Williams is making massive strides; he has accounted for 16 total TDs (13 passing, 3 rushing)

It has been a rough, up-and-down season for the Vikings (4-5). They have not won back-to-back games, but at the same time they have lost 2 in a row only once. Head coach Kevin O’Connell’s team is by no means bad, but it has been unable to sustain any kind of momentum. Quarterbacks JJ McCarthy and Carson Wentz have taken turns being injured; Wentz is now out for the year, so McCarthy is back under center. The Michigan product has thrown more interceptions (6) than touchdowns (5) this his first 4 appearances in the NFL. It’s also worth noting that the Vikes don’t have much a home-field advantage these days. They have won just a single game in its own stadium so far this season.

Bears vs Vikings prediction: Chicago Bears +3.0 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 48.5(-110)

The first meeting between these 2 division rivals produced 51 points, but it’s worth diving deeper into that game. Chicago led 17-6 going into the fourth quarter before a whopping 28 points were scored in the final 12 minutes and 13 seconds. For the most part that matchup was a defensive struggle. I think the rematch could produce something similar, so my Bears vs Vikings pick is Under 48.5.

Minnesota has scored more than 22 points in a game only once since Week 3. Some of that can be pinned on Wentz, but McCarthy has also been unspectacular. The 2024 first-round draft pick did not do a whole lot even when he led his team to a comeback win over Chicago in the season opener, finishing with just 143 passing yards and 25 on the ground. The Vikings gained just 254 yards of total offense in that game. Things were not much better for the Bears, who amassed 317 yards and averaged just 5.0 yards per play. Running back D’Andre Swift has been dealing with a groin injury for several weeks and now he is also plagued by a hip issue. Swift is questionable for Sunday. Receivers Rome Odunze and DJ Moore are also questionable. All things considered, the over is took risky.

Bears vs Vikings prediction: Under 48.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 47.5.

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Point Spread

The Vikings have covered in 4 of their last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.

Game Totals

6 of the Bears' last 8 road games have gone Over the total.

Money Line

The Bears have lost 8 of their last 9 matchups against divisional opponents.

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