Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 16 2025 for Sunday, 12/21/25

The Cincinnati Bengals head to Miami this Sunday for a matchup against the Dolphins, and both teams are already counting down the days until next season. Cincinnati had its season derailed when QB Joe Burrow exited their Week 2 game with a turf toe injury, but things haven’t been much better since he returned. After a big win over the Baltimore Ravens on Thanksgiving night, Cincinnati has dropped two in a row to the Bills and Ravens, and they weren’t even competitive last week against Baltimore, falling 24-0. Luckily for them, they’ll be going up against a 6-8 Dolphins team that will now be turning to rookie QB Quinn Ewers after head coach Mike McDaniels announced the benching of Tua Tagovailoa. Both teams are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but I expect the Bengals will be the team with a stronger response after last week’s embarrassing defeat.

The Phins started turning heads during their four-game win streak, but three of those wins came against the Commanders, Saints and Jets. Additionally, they showed little life in last week’s loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers and fell behind 28-3 before scoring 2 garbage-time touchdowns. Additionally, the Bengals being shut out last week actually gives them a boost based on historical trends; since 2015, teams that were shut out in the previous week are 35-17-3 against the spread in their next game and a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. This marked the Bengals’ first shutout with Burrow as the QB, and there’s no doubt in my mind that he’ll want to bounce back in a big way.Finally, McDaniel and the Dolphins have been awful on short rest; they’re just 3-10 since he took over, losing by 8.2 PPG. Although the Bengals have struggled this year, they’ll be facing a rookie QB in his first start after a disappointing loss; give me Cincinnati to win big on Sunday.

Bengals vs Dolphins prediction: Bengals -4 (-110) available at the time of publishing, playable down to -5.5.

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