Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 11 2025 for Today, 11/16/25

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Bengals
Bengals
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Steelers
Steelers
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3-6Record5-4
3-6-0ATS Record4-5-0
7-2O/U Record5-4
Pittsburgh Steelers

Bengals vs Steelers Best Bets

Point Spread PickBest Bet
CIN Bengals +5.5(-108)

The Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers will collide for the second time this season when these 2 AFC North rivals meet again on Sunday afternoon, this time in Pittsburgh. This is a fantastic spot for Cincinnati. It is coming off a bye, whereas the Pittsburgh just got beat up by the Chargers on Sunday Night Football this past weekend. The Bengals have not lost by more than 5 points since Week 6; I expect that streak to continue. As such, my Bengals vs Steelers pick is for the visitors to cover.

Head coach Zac Taylor’s team just defeated the Steelers 33-31 in the first head-to-head matchup of 2025 on October 16. Joe Flacco lit up the scoreboard in that contest and he remains on an absolute roll, with an 11-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 4 games since being traded from the Browns. Aaron Rodgers, on the other hand, has been picked off 4 times in the last 4 games including twice during the Steelers recent 25-10 setback against the Chargers. With some obvious occasional exceptions, rivalry matchups in the AFC North are often hard-nosed and competitive regardless of any discrepancies in talent. I will rarely give more than 3 points in such a situation, and there is no way I’m giving 5.5 in this particular instance.

Bengals vs Steelers prediction: Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.5.

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Game Totals PickBest Bet
Over 48.5(-115)

Thursday Night Football matchups tend to be low-scoring slogs, but Cincinnati is an exception to any defensive rule whenever it takes the field. Its TNF matchup with Pittsburgh in Week 6 was an absolute shootout that produced 64 points. The Steelers averaged an absurd 7.3 yards per play…and lost! The Bengals were not too far behind at 6.7. Combined, the 2 teams were 14-for-24 on third downs (and 1-for-1 on fourth downs). Flacco (342 passing yards) and Rodgers combined to throw 7 touchdown passes. Obviously we can’t expect quite as many points in the rematch, but it should be another high-scoring affair. My Bengals vs Steelers pick is Over 48.5.

Pittsburgh’s offense has sputtered a bit in recent outings, but a date with Cincinnati should be just what the doctor ordered. The Bengals are dead last in the NFL in total defense by a country mile, surrendering 426.6 yards per contest (no other team is giving up more than 398). They are also rock bottom in scoring defense, allowing 33.3 ppg. As if that isn’t enough, they are last against the run and third-to-last against the pass. This should be the highest total of the entire Week 11 slate by a considerable margin. The fact that it isn’t has me hammering the over.

Bengals vs Steelers prediction: Over 48.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 50.

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Money Line

The Bengals have won 4 straight divisional matchups.

Point Spread

The Steelers have covered the spread in their last 4 home games against teams with losing records.

Game Totals

The Over has cashed in the Bengals' last 3 games coming off a bye week.

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