Cleveland Browns
M&T Bank StadiumNBC
Browns
6-5
Browns
Yesterday
Ravens
7-3
Ravens
Baltimore Ravens

Cleveland Browns
Point Spread Pick
CLE Browns Win +3.5

The Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens have turned into two of the most untrustworthy teams for bettors in the NFL over the last month, and the best option for Sunday night’s game at M&T Bank Stadium is to take as many free points as you can and hope that the Browns can get it together for this AFC North rivalry game. Cleveland are 6-5, but that’s only good enough for last place in the division heading into Week 12, while the Ravens are 7-3, but might easily have lost 4 or 5 of the games they won. The Browns have hit a really bad patch as QB Baker Mayfield drowns under the weight of shoulder, knee and foot injuries that have led to calls for him to be taken out of the firing line for his own good. They should get a couple of key elements back this week, though, with Kareem Hunt hoping to rejoin Nick Chubb in the backfield and right tackle Jack Conklin set to return to complete the first-choice offensive line. What they lack at the moment is a field-stretching receiver with OBJ gone and young speedsters Anthony Schwartz and Donovan Peoples-Jones out of action last week.

The Browns have been awful in their losses against the Cardinals, Steelers and Patriots recently, and even in last week’s win over Detroit, but it will be a further disappointment if they can’t at least keep it close against the Ravens, as much worse rosters have managed that. In their last 4 games, the Ravens have been routed by the Bengals, scraped past the Vikings in overtime, lost by 12 to the Dolphins and pulled out a 16-13 win over the Bears. They should get Lamar Jackson back for Sunday night, but they’re not a team to trust to win by 5 or more. Take the Browns and the points.

Browns +4 available at time of publishing. Playable to Browns +3.

Baltimore Ravens
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$18.70
Cleveland Browns
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.5

There’s little in the trends to help us on the total for this game with the Browns going 6-5 to the over this season and the Ravens at 5-5, but neither offense has been at its best recently and the safer play looks to be to take the under when they meet in Maryland on Sunday night. The Browns got their act together to thrash the Bengals 41-16 3 weeks ago, but their team totals before that had been 14, 17 and 10 points, and since it they have posted 7 and 13. Things should be heading in the right direction thanks to players returning from injury, but with Baker Mayfield struggling, a ground-and-pound game plan seems likely.

The Ravens have posted team totals of 17, 10 and 16 in 3 of their last 4 games, managing 34 against the Vikings in the other, but their backfield committee of veterans has not been so effective lately. Devonta Freeman and Latavius Murray averaged 3.1 and 3.2 yards per carry respectively against the Bears on Sunday. The nagging stat for under backers is that when the teams last met in primetime, on Monday Night Football in Week 14 last year, the Ravens won an epic encounter 47-42, but it’s hard to see history repeating itself. Take the under.

Under 45.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to under 45.

Baltimore Ravens
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$19.09
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Phil Agius

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I've been writing about the NFL and a host of other sports for the UK's top daily betting paper the Racing Post for more than 20 years. An incurable Browns fan (1-31 survivor), I also specialise in all kinds of motorsport betting including F1, MotoGP, IndyCar and NASCAR.

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