Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 12/07/25

We appear to have a major mismatch on our hands on Sunday in the AFC West, when the Denver Broncos head to Las Vegas for a date with the reeling Raiders. Despite the fact that Las Vegas has just two wins on the season, the Raiders played a bit better against the Chargers a week ago, and they did just cover against this same Broncos team in the previous meeting between these teams this season. Denver was a 9.5-point home favorite back on November 6 and nearly lost that game outright, as the Broncos mustered just 10 points in that matchup. When you adjust for the loss of home field (a fairly significant edge for the Broncos in the first meeting) this is a line that I make around Denver -6, so it’s hard to pass up the value we’re getting with Las Vegas as a home underdog of over a touchdown.

On one hand, the Raiders are one of the worst teams in football and shouldn’t be expected to score much on this excellent Denver defense. However, despite their gaudy record, I’m still not buying the Broncos offense, as Denver has been a pretty middling unit all season long, despite facing an easy schedule of opposing defenses. That won’t be the case against a Las Vegas defense that fared very well against Nix in the first meeting between these teams, and the Raiders’ zone looks flummoxed the young Denver quarterback throughout that contest. There’s no reason to believe that Denver should be laying over a touchdown in this spot, especially since the Broncos haven’t covered the spread in this situation (road favorite of over a touchdown) at any point this season. Denver thrives in close games, but it also finds itself in a lot of one-score games for a reason. Therefore, while the Raiders have been miserable for the majority of the campaign, I’ll back an ugly ‘dog to keep things within one possession on Sunday. 

Broncos vs Raiders prediction: Raiders +7.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to +7. 

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